john94549 wrote:Question: where will CD rates be in 10 years?
That 3.5% loan might look pretty tasty down the road.
SpaceCommander wrote:That's exactly what I did. No regrets. Consider a tip from Dave Ramsey: go ahead and pay it off, and if you don't like it, you can always remortgage yourself in the future.
SpaceCommander wrote:That's exactly what I did. No regrets. Consider a tip from Dave Ramsey: go ahead and pay it off, and if you don't like it, you can always remortgage yourself in the future.
Rainier wrote:What if you need the cash? You'd have to sell stock or get equity out of your house somehow.
Also, if you "remortgage" the interest is not tax deductible. That's not a reason not to pay off, but something to think about when doing calculations.
Rainier wrote:Also, if you "remortgage" the interest is not tax deductible. That's not a reason not to pay off, but something to think about when doing calculations.
am wrote:I have a 30 year fixed at 3.5% and about 340k left. Does it make sense to take my bond and some of my cash allocation and pay off mortgage given the poor expected returns of bonds in the future- specifically TBM? I will then be 100% stocks but maybe the volatility will be easier to stomach given that I will have no debt at all?
retiredjg wrote:I'm not opposed to paying off a mortgage early. I'm opposed in letting that push a person into 100% equities. Just does not make sense to me.
Harold wrote:retiredjg wrote:I'm not opposed to paying off a mortgage early. I'm opposed in letting that push a person into 100% equities. Just does not make sense to me.
He's already 100% equities.
If that's his only concern about paying off the mortgage, he needs to sell stocks as at least part of the mortgage payoff.
retiredjg wrote:Harold wrote:retiredjg wrote:I'm not opposed to paying off a mortgage early. I'm opposed in letting that push a person into 100% equities. Just does not make sense to me.
He's already 100% equities.
If that's his only concern about paying off the mortgage, he needs to sell stocks as at least part of the mortgage payoff.
What did I miss? His post does not say that.
Harold wrote:His bond and mortgage allocations offset each other. He's got the illusion of having a solid bond allocation, but really doesn't.
As I put in my post above yours, if that's part of a well-reasoned plan, everything's good...
retiredjg wrote:Harold wrote:His bond and mortgage allocations offset each other. He's got the illusion of having a solid bond allocation, but really doesn't.
I think you see it that way because the concept of "negative bonds" makes sense to you. It does not appear to make gut sense to the original poster though.As I put in my post above yours, if that's part of a well-reasoned plan, everything's good...
I'll disagree. It might be good for you, but I don't think it is good for someone who might see things differently.
I think the original poster might not fall into the same category as you because s/he said "maybe the volatility will be easier to stomach". That does not seem like it comes from a person who sees a mortgage as a negative bond. I think this person sees his/her investments as a compartment. Having some bonds in that compartment is probably a good idea for this poster.
Rodc wrote:I would not sell every bond to pay off a house, leaving only stocks and home equity. I'd rather have some bonds for rebalancing. Selling some bonds to pay down the mortgage might well make sense.
Harold wrote:Rodc wrote:I would not sell every bond to pay off a house, leaving only stocks and home equity. I'd rather have some bonds for rebalancing. Selling some bonds to pay down the mortgage might well make sense.
There doesn't seem to be anything precluding him from selling stocks along with bonds to pay off his mortgage, thereby leaving him with both stocks and bonds afterwards.
NYBoglehead wrote:I like the idea of paying off the mortgage INSTEAD of contributing more to fixed income, but wouldn't be so quick to sell anything in order to pay off the mortgage.
Keep in mind, with the interest deduction 3.5% is effectively 2.63% in the 25% bracket. Might be even lower if you've got state income taxes and they deduct it as well. Run your own numbers.
I'm a huge advocate of no debt whatsoever but that said I don't think it makes sense to sell taxable investments that will incur taxes to do it. Throw extra money at it every month if you've got the cash flow.
Dario33 wrote:NYBoglehead wrote:I like the idea of paying off the mortgage INSTEAD of contributing more to fixed income, but wouldn't be so quick to sell anything in order to pay off the mortgage.
Keep in mind, with the interest deduction 3.5% is effectively 2.63% in the 25% bracket. Might be even lower if you've got state income taxes and they deduct it as well. Run your own numbers.
I'm a huge advocate of no debt whatsoever but that said I don't think it makes sense to sell taxable investments that will incur taxes to do it. Throw extra money at it every month if you've got the cash flow.
This is probably the question I most struggle with. Whether to pay down mortgage or invest in a taxable account.
FWIW, I plan on taking an approach like you outline above. While not the exact situation as the OP, I do have a sizeable taxable account. The question at this point is whether to invest in VG mutual funds (bonds would likely be a component) or pay down the mortgage. Since the effective interest rate on the house is closer to 2.6% after interest write-off as you point out, the question becomes can I get a return of this same amount or more in a long-term taxable account w/ VG? Obviously no guarantees, but a reasonable answer would be 'yes'. Assuming tax-efficient fund placement, of course.
That said, I do accelerate my mortgage payment by contributing new money to it, just not existing money. Another thought I have is that mortgage rates could continue to fall to < 3% for 30yr. Not sure what the likeihood of this is, but if so, might make sense to refi and continue to invest in a taxable acct (for me at least).
NYBoglehead wrote:Dario33 wrote:NYBoglehead wrote:I like the idea of paying off the mortgage INSTEAD of contributing more to fixed income, but wouldn't be so quick to sell anything in order to pay off the mortgage.
Keep in mind, with the interest deduction 3.5% is effectively 2.63% in the 25% bracket. Might be even lower if you've got state income taxes and they deduct it as well. Run your own numbers.
I'm a huge advocate of no debt whatsoever but that said I don't think it makes sense to sell taxable investments that will incur taxes to do it. Throw extra money at it every month if you've got the cash flow.
This is probably the question I most struggle with. Whether to pay down mortgage or invest in a taxable account.
FWIW, I plan on taking an approach like you outline above. While not the exact situation as the OP, I do have a sizeable taxable account. The question at this point is whether to invest in VG mutual funds (bonds would likely be a component) or pay down the mortgage. Since the effective interest rate on the house is closer to 2.6% after interest write-off as you point out, the question becomes can I get a return of this same amount or more in a long-term taxable account w/ VG? Obviously no guarantees, but a reasonable answer would be 'yes'. Assuming tax-efficient fund placement, of course.
That said, I do accelerate my mortgage payment by contributing new money to it, just not existing money. Another thought I have is that mortgage rates could continue to fall to < 3% for 30yr. Not sure what the likeihood of this is, but if so, might make sense to refi and continue to invest in a taxable acct (for me at least).
I think that's a good plan. While obviously there are no guarantees, I think investing in the TSM in a taxable account will give you a reasonable expectation of getting a 2.6% return annually after taxes. The dividend yield alone is somewhere around 2.1%, so even with 15% taxes on dividends you're getting ~1.78% right there. Obviously it will go up and down. I recommend you offset any increase in stocks in taxable by shifting to bonds in your tax-advantaged space to maintain your AA, trying to avoid bonds in taxable due to tax purposes.
am wrote:An update. Went ahead and liquidated taxable account. IRAs are now mostly TSM and TISM. Got rid of the dead weight TBM. A few days away from mortgage payoff.
Feel good about my decision. No debt. No dead asset (yes I know the purpose of bonds in a portfolio). Expenses down. Early retirement feels much closer than with my bigger portfolio. I also feel more free as far as future career options.
Yes I know having mostly stocks is not the most efficient, but now that my house is nearly paid off, I kind of look at it as a big bond that will hopefully appreciate with inflation. I feel like I can handle more volatility. Will see how it feels in a couple of months.

am wrote:An update. Went ahead and liquidated taxable account. IRAs are now mostly TSM and TISM. Got rid of the dead weight TBM. A few days away from mortgage payoff.
Feel good about my decision. No debt. No dead asset (yes I know the purpose of bonds in a portfolio). Expenses down. Early retirement feels much closer than with my bigger portfolio. I also feel more free as far as future career options.
Yes I know having mostly stocks is not the most efficient, but now that my house is nearly paid off, I kind of look at it as a big bond that will hopefully appreciate with inflation. I feel like I can handle more volatility. Will see how it feels in a couple of months.
dmcmahon wrote:I'm a fan of paying off or paying down the mortgage. Did so myself, and no regrets. But would not have done so if it meant zeroing out my bond holdings. Also don't forget to keep enough cash for emergencies. The warning about paying off an acquisition mortgage is correct - if you later decide to take out a new mortgage, only $100k is deductible (unless, under some conditions, the money's used for improvements). One idea for you to consider is paying it down but not paying it off. Take $100k or $200k and knock down the balance. Your payments will remain the same, only now you'll be further down the curve wherein much more of that monthly payment is principal, and much less is interest, and the time remaining before the loan is paid off will drop dramatically. Just an idea.

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