2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

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Taylor Larimore
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2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Taylor Larimore » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:28 pm

Bogleheads:

We are pleased to announce Registration for the thirteenth annual Boglehead Contest.

2012 Boglehead Contest
Last January, we had 396 Bogleheads forecast where the S&P 500 Index would be at the end of 2012. Their guesses ranged from 12579 to 600. The Index closed at 1426.19 for a gain of 12.4% (16% if dividends were included). The average Boglehead guess was 1384. Fourteen of Wall Street "experts" did worse with their average forecast of 1368. Anyone in the top half of Boglehead guesses should be smiling.

http://www.lostsprings.com/diehards/con ... index.html

Boglehead, Tainted-Meat, won our 2012 Boglehead Contest with an almost perfect guess of 1426.31. He wrote:
I'm 26 and started investing in the company 401k after I graduated from college four years ago. I found this site about a year and a half ago after a few promotions allowed me to have more income to invest and wanted to become more educated. This is hands-down the best site on the web.

Tainted-Meat will receive the latest edition of The Bogleheads' Guide to Investing. He will also receive his choice of an autographed copy of any of Jack Bogle's books. The 2013 winner will receive the same prizes.

Rules for the 2013 Boglehead Contest:

* Forecast the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2013.
* Only one guess (no percentages).
* Registration ends 12:00 am midnight ET January 10, 2013.
* In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
* The winner must PM Taylor by January 10, 2014 to confirm your username and mailing address.
* Post your forecast below.

HAPPY NEW YEAR and GOOD LUCK!
Taylor and Ralph Arvesen (programmer)
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle

STC
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby STC » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:30 pm

1604.24

I got this one in the bag!

555
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby 555 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:31 pm

1468.36

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BBL
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby BBL » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:31 pm

1492.55
To win without risk is to triumph without glory. Pierre Corneille

goalie
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby goalie » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:32 pm

Our Boglehead expertise tells us 1313.13

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Average Investor
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Average Investor » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:34 pm

1567.82
Tomorrow never knows.

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BigFoot48
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby BigFoot48 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:34 pm

1,471.00

Year end 2012 escalated by pi.
Retired | Two-time Top-10 Diehard S&P500 Picker; Ten-Time Loser

HardSphere
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby HardSphere » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:37 pm

1534.56

NYBoglehead
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby NYBoglehead » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:37 pm

1580.35

CoastieLifer
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby CoastieLifer » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:38 pm

1584.65

sunnyday
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby sunnyday » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:38 pm

1444.44

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englishgirl
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby englishgirl » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:41 pm

1611.38
Sarah

ks289
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby ks289 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:42 pm

1483.00

nonroom
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby nonroom » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:42 pm

1555.2
You cannot control the actions of others. You can only control your reactions to their actions.

earlyout
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby earlyout » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:50 pm

1563.19 What good is a guess if it is not precise?

Dave_M
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Dave_M » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:52 pm

1547.43

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FrugalInvestor
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby FrugalInvestor » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:53 pm

1601.25
"Some men worship rank, some worship heroes, some worship power, some worship God, and over these ideals they dispute and cannot unite, but they all worship money. - Mark Twain

nolabogle
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby nolabogle » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:55 pm

1515 - Fifteen, fifteen.

LynnC
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby LynnC » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:55 pm

1600.06

LynnC

Thanks, Taylor

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Sally
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Sally » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:57 pm

1517.83

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k66
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby k66 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:58 pm

Rearranging the digits comprising 2012's closing value naturally provides an indication of 2013's, ergo:

2061.24

Sam I Am
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Sam I Am » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:00 pm

Message deleted.
Last edited by Sam I Am on Mon Oct 07, 2013 12:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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abuss368
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby abuss368 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:03 pm

1464.25
John C. Bogle: "You simply do not need to put your money into 8 different mutual funds!" | | Disclosure: Three Fund Portfolio + REITs

mark18068
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby mark18068 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:03 pm

1,614.88

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Boglenaut
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Boglenaut » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:05 pm

1585.

serge
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby serge » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:06 pm

1633.99

One can only hope.

Serge

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JMacDonald
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby JMacDonald » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:07 pm

1554.67
Best Wishes, | Joe

Drew31
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Drew31 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:07 pm

1501.01

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elgob.bogle
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby elgob.bogle » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:07 pm

1313.13 Apparently, I was a year early when I guessed this last year, so I'll try again.

elgob

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Boglenaut
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Boglenaut » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:08 pm

k66 wrote:Rearranging the digits comprising 2012's closing value naturally provides an indication of 2013's, ergo:

2061.24



I hope you win. :)

investor
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby investor » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:08 pm

1640.12 is my bullish guess.

investor

shantster
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby shantster » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:11 pm

1504.31

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mlewis
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby mlewis » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:13 pm

1568.50

hudson
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby hudson » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:14 pm

1497

up 5%

ftobin
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby ftobin » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:15 pm

1533.15

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xystici
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby xystici » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:17 pm

1547.42

To a great 2013. :wink:

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wilpat
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby wilpat » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:21 pm

1531.21
Contrary to the belief of many, profit is not a four letter word!

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pennstater2005
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby pennstater2005 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:26 pm

1594.26

Thanks Taylor and Ralph.

MitchL
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby MitchL » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:27 pm

1300.

longinvest
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby longinvest » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:28 pm

1654.32
Bogleheads investment philosophy using a three-fund portfolio (VCN,VXC, and VAB)

Cuzz35
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Cuzz35 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:31 pm

1602.46

Congrats to TaintedMeat and good luck to everyone in 2013.

HawkeyeMike
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby HawkeyeMike » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:32 pm

1550.98

jaekwilson
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby jaekwilson » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:33 pm

1575.50

Steve K
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Steve K » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:34 pm

1500.35

RTR2006
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Location: Near SF...

Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby RTR2006 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:35 pm

1528.91

Good luck to all...

RTR

dad2000
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby dad2000 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:36 pm

1616.16

mikeast
Posts: 129
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1529

Postby mikeast » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:43 pm

1529.

Cherokee8215
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby Cherokee8215 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:44 pm

1355.74

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theduke
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby theduke » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:47 pm

1555.0

rr2
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Postby rr2 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:49 pm

1283.63


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