What about 2013?

[EternalOptimist]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

[FinancialDave]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

Optimistic with regard to what -- better than this year or greater than 0?

I suspect it will be slightly less or about equal to this year, by the time all gyrations are done.

fd

[Rob5TCP]

I would be MORE than pleased to replicate 2012. As for a guess, who knows. I try not to guess or time. Not always successful.

[sscritic]

I would be MORE than pleased to replicate 2012.

Huh? It ain't over 'til it's over. Come back in 2013 and say that if you wish. What about replicating 2010 or 2011?

[tludwig23]

Why not just wait for the 2013 Boglehead Contest? Then you'll know where everyone stands, and if nisi still believes that the S&P 500 will end up at 12,579!

[Jerilynn]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

None of the above.

For 2013, I'm realistic.

[FrugalInvestor]

The answer to your question is a definitive 'yes.'

[peppers]

I am tendentiously ambivalent.

[EternalOptimist]

Why not just wait for the 2013 Boglehead Contest? Then you'll know where everyone stands, and if nisi still believes that the S&P 500 will end up at 12,579!

Thanks, wasn't aware of this.

[bertilak]

At first I was feeling indecisive but now I'm not sure.

Actually, ya gotta believe or why be in the game at all?

[mptfan]

At first I was feeling indecisive but now I'm not sure.

Classic!

[Toons]

For what it is worth ,I received a 2013 Economic Forecast from Wells Fargo .
Predicting S&P 1525-1575, 2013 year end.

[Phineas J. Whoopee]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

I'm optimistic that I will succeed at staying the course.

PJW

[cheese_breath]

Absolutely no idea. I'll just stick to my AA, rebalancing as necessary, and trust it will work out for the best in the long run.

[EyeYield]

The Mayan calendar stops on Dec. 21st and many people (zombies) believe that the world will end that day and there will be no 2013.
What many people don't realize (and why the Mayan's are extinct) is that they never finished their calendar, because they failed to stay the course.

2013?? The best thing that can happen is that I'll make it to the end of the year. Other than that, well, I like the number 13, so maybe I'll gamble and buy some junk bonds.

[tludwig23]

For what it is worth ,I received a 2013 Economic Forecast from Wells Fargo .
Predicting S&P 1525-1575, 2013 year end.

Probably worth about what you paid for it.

[The Wizard]

We will have improving conditions and a mild bull market in 2013.
The S&P 500 will go up approximately 10% next year...

[chaz]

In 2013 I will continue to stay the course.

[Taylor Larimore]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

Eternal Optimist:

Bogleheads can show their opinion, and maybe win a Boglehead and Jack Bogle book, by entering our 2013 Boglehead Contest on this forum during the first 10 days in January. Our current leader is "goggles."

Bogleheads Contest

Best wishes.
Taylor

[ruralavalon]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

Next year things will change, unless they stay the same.

[midareff]

In the Bogleish scope of staying the course what the market does next year is of little (or no) consequence to anything other than short term bean counting. Money needed next year should not be in the market to start with.

[midareff]

For what it is worth ,I received a 2013 Economic Forecast from Wells Fargo .
Predicting S&P 1525-1575, 2013 year end.

Probably worth about what you paid for it.

Did they charge for it?

[NYBoglehead]

For what it is worth ,I received a 2013 Economic Forecast from Wells Fargo .
Predicting S&P 1525-1575, 2013 year end.

Probably worth about what you paid for it.

Did they charge for it?

I'll sign up for that 7.5% gain over today's value right now. Throw in another ~2%+ in dividends and it'll be a nice year.

[EternalOptimist]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

Eternal Optimist:

Bogleheads can show their opinion, and maybe win a Boglehead and Jack Bogle book, by entering our 2013 Boglehead Contest on this forum during the first 10 days in January. Our current leader is "goggles."

Bogleheads Contest

Best wishes.
Taylor

Good stuff...

[Hub]

For 2013, if it goes up I'll feel like I have more money. If it goes down I'll feel like I'm buying on sale. It's good to be an accumulator.

[STC]

For 2013, if it goes up I'll feel like I have more money. If it goes down I'll feel like I'm buying on sale. It's good to be an accumulator.

This.

By the way, if you have your near term liquidity needs taken care of... i.e. dont get greedy. Then this is a mindset that you can comfortably manage. Its when you have a liquidity crunch due to poor planning or an extreem event that this mentality becomes a very difficult thing to maintain.

[spanky123]

Most forecasts indicate that the return of the S&P500 will be lower than that of 2012. Some sectors, however, may perform slightly better, such as health care, consumer non-cyclical, utilities and real estate.

[sschullo]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimistic, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

I am prepared for optimism, pessimism and sitting on the fence.

[baw703916]

Why not just wait for the 2013 Boglehead Contest? Then you'll know where everyone stands, and if nisi still believes that the S&P 500 will end up at 12,579!

And if VictoriaF still thinks it will end up at 666.

[stratton]

I think MSCI or FTSE Global is much more interesting stock measure. Especially since Vanguard is playing footsie with FTSE.

Paul

[arcticpineapplecorp.]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

Hope to not need this money until 2041 when I retire. What do I care what happens in 2013? When I get to 2041, will I remember (or care) how 2013 performed?

[zaboomafoozarg]

Dunno about 2013, but I'd be willing to bet that when I retire in 30 years it'll be up.

[leonidas]

S&P 1340....plus or minus 200 points??

[Joe S.]

Generally speaking, with regards to S&P growth in 2013 are you optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence

The best answer would be "I don't know." However if forced to give a number I might say I expect a total return of say 8% with a standard deviation of 15%. Do you consider that number optimist, pessimistic or sitting on the fence?

[Taylor Larimore]

Bogleheads:

This is a reminder that Registration begins next week for our Boglehead Contest to forecast the S&P 500 Index.

Merry Christmas!
Taylor