BOGLEHEAD CONTEST -- One month to go.

[Taylor Larimore]

Bogleheads:

At the end of November the S&P 500 Index is 1416.18 compared to 1257.60 at the beginning of the year--an 8.9% gain.

Congratulations to our current leaders and their forecasts made 11 months ago:

1 Peter Foley 1415.90
2 grok87 1417.00
3 Roverdog 1415.23
4 tomd37 1415.16
5 tarheal93 1414.14
5 Wabbit 1414.14
5 schellhase 1414.14
8 VennData 1414.14
9 goggles 1419.00
10 dade 1413.12

2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Registration for the 2013 Boglehead Contest will be on this forum during the first 10 days in January.

Best wishes
Taylor

[abuss368]

Bogleheads:

At the end of November the S&P 500 Index is 1416.18 compared to 1257.60 at the beginning of the year--an 8.9% gain.

Congratulations to our current leaders and their forecasts made 11 months ago:

1 Peter Foley 1415.90
2 grok87 1417.00
3 Roverdog 1415.23
4 tomd37 1415.16
5 tarheal93 1414.14
5 Wabbit 1414.14
5 schellhase 1414.14
8 VennData 1414.14
9 goggles 1419.00
10 dade 1413.12

2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Registration for the 2013 Boglehead Contest will be on this forum during the first 10 days in January.

Best wishes
Taylor

I always "give it a shot" each year. For me personally, it is amazing how this contest always humbles me. Maybe I should start a hedge fund!

[grok87]

Bogleheads:

At the end of November the S&P 500 Index is 1416.18 compared to 1257.60 at the beginning of the year--an 8.9% gain.

Congratulations to our current leaders and their forecasts made 11 months ago:

1 Peter Foley 1415.90
2 grok87 1417.00
3 Roverdog 1415.23
4 tomd37 1415.16
5 tarheal93 1414.14
5 Wabbit 1414.14
5 schellhase 1414.14
8 VennData 1414.14
9 goggles 1419.00
10 dade 1413.12

2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Registration for the 2013 Boglehead Contest will be on this forum during the first 10 days in January.

Best wishes
Taylor

Hey I'm in second place in the Boglehead S&P 500 contest and 9th place in the Boglehead Hedge Fund contest...
http://libra-investments.com/hf/bh.html
Maybe it's time to start my own newsletter!
NOT!
cheers,

[englishgirl]

Yeah, 311th place so far. I'm a genius!

[BBL]

At the end of November the S&P 500 Index is 1416.18 compared to 1257.60 at the beginning of the year--an 8.9% gain.

I think that percentage change is more like 12.6

To pick a nit as nisi would say....

[Taylor Larimore]

At the end of November the S&P 500 Index is 1416.18 compared to 1257.60 at the beginning of the year--an 8.9% gain.

I think that percentage change is more like 12.6

To pick a nit as nisi would say....

BlackBeltLurker:

Thank you for the correction. I worked in the government.

Best wishes.
Taylor

[BBL]

At the end of November the S&P 500 Index is 1416.18 compared to 1257.60 at the beginning of the year--an 8.9% gain.

I think that percentage change is more like 12.6

To pick a nit as nisi would say....

BlackBeltLurker:

Thank you for the correction. I worked in the government.




Best wishes.
Taylor

I've had that same experience And I am trying to stop doing math in public as it usually goes South in a hurry....

Looks like I'm doing pretty poorly in the contest [298] but I won the 'first guy to post a prediction' contest - that must qualify for the boobie prize.

[grok87]

S&P @ 1418 today. Looks like a dead heat between goggles and me...

[zhiwiller]

Nisi's guess of 12579.10 is wonderfully optimistic. I'm rooting for him.

The first time I played was in the 2007 contest. The S&P was around 1442. I remember saying "maybe it will be a good year" and added 15% to get 1659.06. I've played 1659.06 every year since (on the years I've remembered to play). A stopped watch being right twice a day and all. Someday.

[mptfan]

Bogleheads:

At the end of November the S&P 500 Index is 1416.18 compared to 1257.60 at the beginning of the year--an 8.9% gain.

Actually, that is a 12.61% gain.

Also, I think many people get confused and think that the percentage "gain" in the S&P 500 500 index represents the "total return" of the stocks in the index-- it does not. The total return of the stocks in the S&P 500 index year to date as of the end of November is 14.88%. As you can see, the total return of the stocks in the index is more than 2% higher than the increase in the index... that is because the total return includes the dividends paid, and the index does not.

[YDNAL]

Bogleheads:

At the end of November the S&P 500 Index is 1416.18 compared to 1257.60 at the beginning of the year--an 8.9% gain.

A 187 point drop from today (1418.07) is in the cards, I can feel it.

Code: Select all

363 YDNAL 1231.12 186.95

[letsgobobby]

No, it is a 219 point gain you are feeling... 1635, on the way.

[HomerJ]

The total return of the stocks in the S&P 500 index year to date as of the end of November is 14.88%.

And yet... how many doom and gloom posts have we seen on these boards this past year?

[peppers]

Bogleheads:

At the end of November the S&P 500 Index is 1416.18 compared to 1257.60 at the beginning of the year--an 8.9% gain.

A 187 point drop from today (1418.07) is in the cards, I can feel it.

Code: Select all

363 YDNAL 1231.12 186.95

It is the holiday season and YDNAL is trying out for the part, Mr. Scrooge. Bah Humbug.

[Sheepdog]

It ain't over till it's over, said Yogi.
Anyway, I don't want to win. I was obviously pessimistic.
Jim

[YDNAL]

A 187 point drop from today (1418.07) is in the cards, I can feel it.

Code: Select all

363 YDNAL 1231.12 186.95

No, it is a 219 point gain you are feeling... 1635, on the way.

It is the holiday season and YDNAL is trying out for the part, Mr. Scrooge. Bah Humbug.

letsgobobby: Be greedy when others are fearful, be fearful when others are greedy!

• Don't take smiley faces (or winkey faces) for granted, they mean something.

peppers:

• A 187 point drop from 1418.07 means exactly what?.... 12.31.12.

[gkaplan]

I'm lurking in 369th place, so people here should be wary.

[peppers]

YDNAL...Fair Enough...

Game On..............