alec wrote:If they've a lready been foreclosed on, and the banks won't loan them money, how do they have the money to put 20-35 % down?
alec wrote:If they've a lready been foreclosed on, and the banks won't loan them money, how do they have the money to put 20-35 % down?
roymeo wrote:I'd rather lend in a diversified way via Prosper, LendingClub, etc. etc.
Muchtolearn wrote:This has to be a troll thread. Nobody would make this loan.
ilmartello wrote:it's a good deal.....
for the guy taking 1 percent and 10 percent interest commission
dickenjb wrote:I would consider this if it was done as a partnership where I held 25% of the debt on 4 properties with 3 other partners. Would not be so keen on holding all the debt on one property. Can you find some investors like yourself and form a partnership? Maybe the broker would even assist you to meet like minded investors.
And I don't think the argument that you are taking a deal the banks won't touch compelling. Banks have to lay off their mortgages onto others and just because this don't meet their underwriting / securitization standards doesn't mean it isn't an ok deal risk adjusted wise.
RenoJay wrote:started to sound better because it's an expected 10% rate of return
xerty24 wrote:I think you guys are being too harsh, which just means higher returns for the more enterprising hard money lenders out there. It should be pretty simple - if the collateral is good and they're putting 35% down, you've got a highly secured asset paying ~10%. Do you really think home prices are going to fall another 35%+? Do you think they're going to destroy the home? Otherwise, what's the problem?
CaliJim wrote:xerty24 wrote:I think you guys are being too harsh, which just means higher returns for the more enterprising hard money lenders out there. It should be pretty simple - if the collateral is good and they're putting 35% down, you've got a highly secured asset paying ~10%. Do you really think home prices are going to fall another 35%+? Do you think they're going to destroy the home? Otherwise, what's the problem?
are these first deeds of trust?
RenoJay wrote:CaliJim wrote:xerty24 wrote:I think you guys are being too harsh, which just means higher returns for the more enterprising hard money lenders out there. It should be pretty simple - if the collateral is good and they're putting 35% down, you've got a highly secured asset paying ~10%. Do you really think home prices are going to fall another 35%+? Do you think they're going to destroy the home? Otherwise, what's the problem?
are these first deeds of trust?
Yes, I would have the first deed of trust. The more I study this, the less I'm seeing the down side IF, as CaliJim points out, I vet the collateral pretty well. If I do, then I would need to expect values to drop roughly another 35% before I'm really at significant financial risk. (I understand there's significant "headache risk" doing a foreclosure, but apparently there are firms out there that handle all the details.) Regarding needing 30 loans for diversification, that would be great but it seems like vetting the particular collateral and finances of the buyer are most important when getting started.
If I go through with this, it seems to me like the most important criteria are:
1) Assess borrower's financial condition. If steady income based on paystubs and tax returns is there, that's step one.
2) Determine why the borrower can't get a better loan. If the loan size is either smaller than a bank will do (i.e. $50k) or if the borrower had a strategic default for a deeply underwater home but otherwise kept up on all their other payments, then I can see merit in the borrower's "story".
3) Assess the property. My belief is that single family homes in decent parts of town are pretty close to their bottoms for price, or at least are not likely to drop another 35%. Even if they do drop that much and I foreclose with an asset worth less than my original investment, the cash flow from bringing in a tenant would be pretty decent. (I recently bought a very nice $150k single family home nearby that was built in 2010. I have a tenant paying $1,375/month on it. So the back up question is what kind of rent can I get it I end up needing to sit on a foreclosed asset.)
4) Make sure that the 35% down payment truly belongs to the borrower and is not a loan from someone else. I guess the way to do this would be to make sure the $$$ has been in their bank account for some time. It seems to me that if someone is risking that much of their own money, they're more likely to act in a responsible way toward the home and the mortgage than if they have no skin in the game.
Any other suggestions from people who have real advice as opposed to simply scolding me for considering something they would never consider themselves? There's an element of entrepreneurial risk-taking involved with this concept that does not necessarily lend itself to the Boglehead philosophy, but I feel like Ben Bernake came to me in a dream and said, "Take some more risk if you intend to ever get any yield in the next five years."
xerty24 wrote:I think you guys are being too harsh, which just means higher returns for the more enterprising hard money lenders out there. It should be pretty simple - if the collateral is good and they're putting 35% down, you've got a highly secured asset paying ~10%. Do you really think home prices are going to fall another 35%+? Do you think they're going to destroy the home? Otherwise, what's the problem?
RenoJay wrote:There's an element of entrepreneurial risk-taking involved with this concept that does not necessarily lend itself to the Boglehead philosophy
MossySF wrote:I know of somebody who does this kind of business and the key to making money is the repeat factor. You buy cheap houses and do owner-financing to those with bad credit. They inevitably default so you kick them out, keep their small down payment and repeat with the next set of suckers. It's not really a passive investment -- more like being a slumlord. The 35% down is unrealistic though -- 3.5% is more like it.
RenoJay wrote: I believe they probably do exist in my area because lots of steadily employed people did strategic defaults on their homes in the past few years. For them, the math works out. If they defaulted on a home in 2009 when they owed $350k, they could probably now buy a similar home for $150k. They could pay 10% interest for a few years until their credit improves, and then refi to a more reasonable rate.
rrosenkoetter wrote:If my years on this planet have taught me anything, it's that there is no risk-free 10% out there.
Jerilynn wrote:Ok, lets run some numbers. Assume they owed $350k on their home and somehow had $52.5k in cash (the 35% downpayment), would they be 'allowed' to strategically default without the mortgage company coming after that $52k somehow?
Muchtolearn wrote:I suggest we all stop feeding this OP. He obviously wants to make the loan. Everybody here thinks he shouldn't. I don't know why he asked his question. Let him make the loan if he wants and let's stop feeding him.
MossySF wrote:Probably the best way to do private lending is to offer owner financing for properties you own outright. Target the bad credit segment and continually foreclose on defaulters.
madbrain wrote:MossySF wrote:Probably the best way to do private lending is to offer owner financing for properties you own outright. Target the bad credit segment and continually foreclose on defaulters.
Wouldn't it be simpler to just rent it out ?
xerty24 wrote:Simpler, yes. But with owner financing, you get to keep the house and their downpayment and their principle payments when they eventually default. Sure it's some headache to foreclose, but maybe you're a lawyer and that's pretty easy for you.You can always pay them a couple grand to leave without trouble.
madbrain wrote:MossySF wrote:Probably the best way to do private lending is to offer owner financing for properties you own outright. Target the bad credit segment and continually foreclose on defaulters.
Wouldn't it be simpler to just rent it out ?
market timer wrote:I hope you do it and please kept us posted. There are many opportunities that exist outside of index funds, and many reasons why Corporate America misses opportunities like this.
CaliJim wrote:
One scenario is that the buyer defaults, you end up in some variation of this situation:
neighborhood goes to seed
new owners trash the place and stop paying the mortgage and pmi
you need to spend money for a lawyer to foreclose,
you need to spend money for a professional eviction,
you spend money fixing the place up
you can't find a new buyer at any reasonable price,
you cant find a renter you approve of,
you end up paying for ongoing maintenance
you end up paying for property tax
In no way is this a passive investment - it is a job
Another way to do this would be to buy property yourself, and rent it out on a rent-to-own basis. Easier to handle the eviction if needed. And if they choose to buy and you choose to carry back paper, you'd have history with the guy and have some idea of his reliability.
RenoJay wrote:Muchtolearn wrote:I suggest we all stop feeding this OP. He obviously wants to make the loan. Everybody here thinks he shouldn't. I don't know why he asked his question. Let him make the loan if he wants and let's stop feeding him.
Actually I was looking for constructive thoughts from people who had any type of experience with this, not a bunch of scolding from people who cannot think past stock mutual funds and bond mutual funds and had no valuable input. To those who provided constructive feedback, whether or not it agreed with my original hypothesis, I am grateful. For the rest, by all means stop "feeding" me.
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