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  Topic: Impersonating a surgical patient--possible?
czeckers

Replies: 13
Views: 1056

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Sat Nov 07, 2009 8:54 am   Subject: Impersonating a surgical patient--possible?
It could be theoretically possible, but risky.

Places are supposed to check ID and insurance cards. Many even photo copy them. So you'd have to know in advance of a surgicenter that is sloppy abo ...
  Topic: VG will not cancel the order
czeckers

Replies: 97
Views: 5354

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 06, 2009 2:27 pm   Subject: VG will not cancel the order
There is a misunderstanding here between fund-to-fund exchanges and orders to buy/sell. If you are putting in an order though the brokerage, whether at VG or elsewhere, then you can change/cancel you ...
  Topic: Predicting long-term stock market performance
czeckers

Replies: 41
Views: 2261

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 12:28 pm   Subject: Predicting long-term stock market performance
This really shows how difficult it is to plan for retirement. I see a number of threads discussing the replacement of various percentages of one's pre-retirement income. However, even if I calculate ...
  Topic: Predicting long-term stock market performance
czeckers

Replies: 41
Views: 2261

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 11:46 am   Subject: Predicting long-term stock market performance
I was refering to Peter Bernstein in this case as Adrian kindly provided a link to a couple of his interviews earlier in this thread. However, I think most here would agree that whether you are liste ...
  Topic: Predicting long-term stock market performance
czeckers

Replies: 41
Views: 2261

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 11:27 am   Subject: Predicting long-term stock market performance
So I decided to explore this a little further. Looking at s&P 500 data from 1972 to 2008 (date range of convenience), I entered data for annual returns, dividend yield, 10-year treasury note yiel ...
  Topic: Predicting long-term stock market performance
czeckers

Replies: 41
Views: 2261

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 9:44 am   Subject: Predicting long-term stock market performance
Mr. Bernstein's interviews are always informative, but my question is not one of risk.

Let me try to put my question in context. Part of any investment plan is a determination of how much one need ...
  Topic: Predicting long-term stock market performance
czeckers

Replies: 41
Views: 2261

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2009 7:52 pm   Subject: Predicting long-term stock market performance
I would have to say that the market, though still unpredictable, certainly becomes more predictable the longer the time horizon. If you look at one year returns, they are all over the place. Now loo ...
  Topic: Predicting long-term stock market performance
czeckers

Replies: 41
Views: 2261

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2009 12:01 pm   Subject: Predicting long-term stock market performance
There is a lot of talk about the outlook for stocks going forward. Various models typically look at one or more of the following factors: currrent divident yield, P/E or P/B ratio, and/or the curren ...
  Topic: After hours trading question
czeckers

Replies: 10
Views: 674

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2009 7:11 pm   Subject: After hours trading question
My reason for asking is that with my play money I have been following one particular stock. I noticed on Friday that it closed at a certain price, but then at 4:56pm there was another "after hou ...
  Topic: After hours trading question
czeckers

Replies: 10
Views: 674

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:48 am   Subject: After hours trading question
Is there any advantage to doing this other than accomodating those who are too impatient to wait?

-K
  Topic: After hours trading question
czeckers

Replies: 10
Views: 674

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 9:22 pm   Subject: After hours trading question
How does after hours trading work? I figured that once the exchange is closed, that trading stops, but apparently that is not necessarily the case. If I place an order, say, at 5pm... does it trade ...
  Topic: Larry, just finished alternative investment book, need help
czeckers

Replies: 7
Views: 955

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 7:27 am   Subject: Larry, just finished alternative investment book, need help
If your portfolio at 50/50 is sufficient to provide for your retirement, then there is no need to take on the additional risk of a 60/40 portfolio. You should consider the marginal utility of the pot ...
  Topic: Vivaldi's "Summer" on an "accordian!"
czeckers

Replies: 11
Views: 828

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 6:46 am   Subject: Vivaldi's "Summer" on an "accordian!"
Wow!
  Topic: My Stocks have recovered
czeckers

Replies: 26
Views: 1804

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Thu Oct 22, 2009 8:32 am   Subject: My Stocks have recovered
I think the decision on how much to save in your 20's also depends on your current income vs. potential future income.

Fresh out of college I ended up taking a lab tech job near minimum wage to g ...
  Topic: Vanguard password limitations
czeckers

Replies: 49
Views: 2280

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Tue Oct 20, 2009 1:09 pm   Subject: Vanguard password limitations
My guess is most of the danger comes from Trojans/viruses/keyboard loggers/etc.

I do agree, this concerns me as well.

-K
  Topic: Vanguard password limitations
czeckers

Replies: 49
Views: 2280

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Tue Oct 20, 2009 7:43 am   Subject: Vanguard password limitations
All bank sites that I use allow special characters, and most have an upper limit of 16 characters. Though Vanguard can be considered more stringent because they require a number-letter combination, t ...
  Topic: Stop Acting Rich: And Start Living Like A Real Millionaire
czeckers

Replies: 39
Views: 7714

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Mon Oct 19, 2009 11:55 pm   Subject: Stop Acting Rich: And Start Living Like A Real Millionaire
Being a millionaire certainly beats not being a millionaire. However, being one certainly isn't what it used to be 30 years ago.

Having said that, if anyone out there is disillusioned because thei ...
  Topic: Vanguard password limitations
czeckers

Replies: 49
Views: 2280

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Mon Oct 19, 2009 11:50 pm   Subject: Vanguard password limitations
Ok, I need to vent and I hope someone from Vanguard sees this. Is anyone else frustrated by the restrictions that Vanguard places on passwords for their website? It is good that they require both le ...
  Topic: Stop Acting Rich: And Start Living Like A Real Millionaire
czeckers

Replies: 39
Views: 7714

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Fri Oct 16, 2009 3:35 pm   Subject: Stop Acting Rich: And Start Living Like A Real Millionaire
Doctors and lawyers are more expected to look wealthy, their spouses expect it, etc.

I think that choice of spouse also has a large impact on one's savings rate and, by extension, net worth. I am ...
  Topic: Broken "" Key...Pease Excuse Any Typos in Posts
czeckers

Replies: 40
Views: 1802

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Fri Oct 16, 2009 3:26 pm   Subject: Broken "" Key...Pease Excuse Any Typos in Posts
Boy, it wulod be eevn mroe aoninyng if you lsot the "V" key. Then you culdno't eevn cut and psate. What's fnnuy is taht if I'm not tihkning abuot it, I dno't eevn msis the mssniig "l& ...
  Topic: sharpest recession rally — ever
czeckers

Replies: 11
Views: 1303

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Oct 16, 2009 2:21 pm   Subject: sharpest recession rally — ever
Its during times like these that having a fixed AA that you're comfortable is priceless! Will it go up? Will it go down? It's very interesting to speculate, but fortunately there's nothing to do bu ...
  Topic: Nisiprius Investments Launches Yet Another Innovative Fund
czeckers

Replies: 37
Views: 2130

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Fri Oct 16, 2009 2:06 pm   Subject: Nisiprius Investments Launches Yet Another Innovative Fund
I think you should have gone with "Mutual Optimum blended Universal Index Fund" (MOBUX) Mo money, mo money, mo money!

You have elegantly hit on one of the sad truths in the financial ind ...
  Topic: It is time to sell Gold (and maybe chicken wings)
czeckers

Replies: 12
Views: 1277

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Thu Oct 15, 2009 7:58 am   Subject: It is time to sell Gold (and maybe chicken wings)
Dan, your recent post are absolutely hilarious!

The threads that stand out in my mind most vividly are all the "Why not 100% equities" threads. Even Market Timer's thread fell into this ...
  Topic: It is time to sell Gold (and maybe chicken wings)
czeckers

Replies: 12
Views: 1277

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2009 5:22 pm   Subject: It is time to sell Gold (and maybe chicken wings)
With all the noise pollution out there, I'd go long hearing aids too.

However, though my post is tongue-in-cheek, I do think there is some validity to using this forum as a contrarian indicator.
...
  Topic: TSM Prediction Poll
czeckers

Replies: 31
Views: 1595

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2009 5:11 pm   Subject: TSM Prediction Poll
If it doesn't bounce back within 13 years, there will be a lot of people in trouble with respect to their retirement savings.

I'm an optimist, I voted <7 years.

-K
  Topic: New Morningstar Box Score Report: Active Management
czeckers

Replies: 97
Views: 5007

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2009 5:06 pm   Subject: New Morningstar Box Score Report: Active Management
There are obviously a number of people here who believe they can identify managers who can outperform the market.

This hypothesis is easy to test.

I propose we do a contest starting on 1/1/10 wh ...
  Topic: It is time to sell Gold (and maybe chicken wings)
czeckers

Replies: 12
Views: 1277

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2009 11:50 am   Subject: It is time to sell Gold (and maybe chicken wings)
Ok, so I am pseudo market timing on here in order to occupy my mind and to leave my own portfolio alone.

I also don't invest in gold personally.

However, I have observed that since I have joined ...
  Topic: "Alternative assets" allocations
czeckers

Replies: 27
Views: 1780

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2009 7:08 am   Subject: "Alternative assets" allocations
Everyone's situation is obviously different and there is no perfect portfolio. When you start a basic domestic/internatinal stock:bond portfolio such as the one above, you can get very low expense ra ...
  Topic: Stop Acting Rich: And Start Living Like A Real Millionaire
czeckers

Replies: 39
Views: 7714

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2009 6:48 am   Subject: Stop Acting Rich: And Start Living Like A Real Millionaire
In my situation, having children has forced me to live waaaay below my means. 20% of my gross goes to retirement savings, 10% to 529 plans, and 5% to diapers. (Ok, I made that last one up). When it ...
  Topic: Recession indicator: inverted wing curve!
czeckers

Replies: 31
Views: 1952

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Tue Oct 13, 2009 6:01 pm   Subject: Recession indicator: inverted wing curve!
Now that it is October again, I'd like to remind everyone that the unfavorable season for dark meat is beginning. I am personally switching my entire portfolio to white meat. I am concerned that wit ...
  Topic: P/E Ratios help
czeckers

Replies: 3
Views: 355

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Oct 13, 2009 11:21 am   Subject: P/E Ratios help
Thank you for your replies. This Schiller data is exactly what I am looking for.

-K
  Topic: P/E Ratios help
czeckers

Replies: 3
Views: 355

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Oct 12, 2009 7:28 am   Subject: P/E Ratios help
Can anyone help me find the historical P/E data for the S&P 500 index? I've googled all over the web and can't seem to land on it.

Thanks for the help!

-K
  Topic: Dollar Cost Averaging and National Media questions
czeckers

Replies: 10
Views: 637

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2009 11:25 am   Subject: Dollar Cost Averaging and National Media questions
I feel bad for everyone who abandoned their strategies on the way down. Those who stuck with their plans have certainly done alright. These are interesting times.

-K
  Topic: Will the second grader's portfolio beat S&P 500?
czeckers

Replies: 22
Views: 1201

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2009 11:15 am   Subject: Will the second grader's portfolio beat S&P 500?
The original question is really, will foreign do better than domestic large cap or not? If foreign does better, then the second grader will come out ahead. If not, well, then S&P 500 will probab ...
  Topic: REITs
czeckers

Replies: 47
Views: 4174

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2009 9:12 am   Subject: REITs
Agreed, low correlation means that the movement of one is independent of the other. Unfortunately, sometimes it all goes down together as we are all painlfully aware. However, sometimes it all goes ...
  Topic: Does anyone set up a pretend portfolio to track?
czeckers

Replies: 10
Views: 763

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 5:15 pm   Subject: Does anyone set up a pretend portfolio to track?
In the beginning I set up a portfolio with my desired AA but at 10x the value of my current portfolio as part of an over-rebalancing strategy. I would then invest new money in my real portfolio, usin ...
  Topic: REITs
czeckers

Replies: 47
Views: 4174

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 5:01 pm   Subject: REITs
When I click on the personal rate of return link in Vanguard, I get:

1-year return as of 9/30/2008: 17.9
3-year return as of " " " 5.6
5-year return ...
  Topic: Compounding and "Mini-Me"s
czeckers

Replies: 7
Views: 700

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 4:50 pm   Subject: Compounding and "Mini-Me"s
I'm just trying to get in touch with my inner Mini-Me.


Seriously though, I do think about my savings in this way, though in nominal terms. I figure that after about 7-8 years of saving, the annu ...
  Topic: Question for Value Averagers out there
czeckers

Replies: 0
Views: 238

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 4:44 pm   Subject: Question for Value Averagers out there
When I did my monthly contribution at the beginning of this month, I noticed that with the recent market upswing, my account just barely drifted above my value path. I'm surprised to find myself in a ...
  Topic: Vanguard: Strong 2009 performance warrants yellow flag
czeckers

Replies: 21
Views: 3159

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 4:36 pm   Subject: Vanguard: Strong 2009 performance warrants yellow flag
I don't really know what to make of this reason run-up. Are we merely returning closer to where we were before the crash, or is this investor exuberance and we are due for a correction. For me its a ...
  Topic: electric cars
czeckers

Replies: 304
Views: 50010

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 4:26 pm   Subject: electric cars
I think that the acceptance and feasibility of pure electric cars really comes down to population density and commute distances. In areas where people live relatively close to work/shopping/etc, it p ...
  Topic: What does rebalancing do for you? Not much
czeckers

Replies: 175
Views: 11911

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 4:16 pm   Subject: What does rebalancing do for you? Not much
In light of evidence suggesting that the overall performance of buy-and-hold vs rebalancing is essentially equal, I think one thing we can all pretty much agree on one thing: When transaction costs a ...
  Topic: Stop Acting Rich: And Start Living Like A Real Millionaire
czeckers

Replies: 39
Views: 7714

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 3:53 pm   Subject: Stop Acting Rich: And Start Living Like A Real Millionaire
The millionaireishness and kids issue is an interesting one. Although kids can be quite expensive, if you live below your means, save money, keep investing expenses low, etc., still no reason why you ...
  Topic: REITs
czeckers

Replies: 47
Views: 4174

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 3:42 pm   Subject: REITs
20% of my stock allocation in my non-taxable portfolio is in Vanguard's REIT fund, and it hasn't fared any worse than large cap value, and not too far off large cap blend. My portfolio is still relat ...
  Topic: electric cars
czeckers

Replies: 304
Views: 50010

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 7:54 am   Subject: electric cars
A total unrelated thought on the Chevy Volt. I wonder if when it is plugged in to your house, and you run the engine, if you could use it as a backup generator in case of a power outage. That would ...
  Topic: electric cars
czeckers

Replies: 304
Views: 50010

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 7:21 am   Subject: electric cars
This is a very interesting discussion. It is exciting to feel that we are on the brink of a revolution in something as basic and yet personal as our daily transportation. When there are a number of ...
  Topic: electric cars
czeckers

Replies: 304
Views: 50010

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Thu Oct 08, 2009 2:31 pm   Subject: electric cars
Your points regarding hydrogen production and lack of infrastructure are valid. However, Honda has been doing some interesting work in this area with the FCX mentioned above. There are also a number ...
  Topic: electric cars
czeckers

Replies: 304
Views: 50010

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Wed Oct 07, 2009 9:08 pm   Subject: electric cars
Because of the various limitations with respect to range and recharging times, I think that the niche for pure electric cars will only be for businesses/services that require transportation for short ...
  Topic: Hotel says I stole something.. any recourse?
czeckers

Replies: 77
Views: 7882

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Wed Oct 07, 2009 8:56 pm   Subject: Hotel says I stole something.. any recourse?
I don't think that an isolated incident necessarily should conjure up visions of scams and revenue enhancement. Perhaps a housekeeper took the pillow, it got misplaced, miscounted, dropped... who kno ...
  Topic: Front loading washing machine
czeckers

Replies: 38
Views: 3133

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Tue Sep 29, 2009 4:03 pm   Subject: Front loading washing machine
As far as the child safety issue goes, I remember growing up, my younger sister loved crawling into the dryer and would often fall asleep atop a freshly dried load. Mom had to make sure she wasn't in ...
 
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