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  Topic: Efficient Markets Have Zero Returns
Omo

Replies: 12
Views: 1139

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 6:35 pm   Subject: Efficient Markets Have Zero Returns
... if large numbers of people are retiring, expect the markets to drop.

That is a point worthy of discussion. My take is that the baby boomers don't actually hold that much of the market in retire ...
  Topic: Efficient Markets Have Zero Returns
Omo

Replies: 12
Views: 1139

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 6:58 am   Subject: Efficient Markets Have Zero Returns
Can anyone dispel this argument from Jacob at earlyretirementextreme.com

http://earlyretirementextreme.com/2009/11/efficient-markets-have-zero-
returns.html#comments
  Topic: The Pandemic-A Stimulus for Emergency Docs
Omo

Replies: 80
Views: 5193

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 4:33 pm   Subject: The Pandemic-A Stimulus for Emergency Docs
Donald Rumsfeld is being "stimulated" by H1N1.


http://www.google.com.au/#hl=en&source=hp&q=rumsfeld+tamiflu&meta=&aq=0&oq=rumsfeld+ta&fp=2fc8558267712604
  Topic: It is time to sell Gold (and maybe chicken wings)
Omo

Replies: 12
Views: 1277

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Thu Oct 15, 2009 9:33 pm   Subject: It is time to sell Gold (and maybe chicken wings)
If you google "Is it time to sell gold" and restrict the search to links published this week, there are 110,000,000 results. See for yourself:

http://www.google.com.au/search?hl=en&as ...
  Topic: NY Times 10/5: Warning About Bond Boom
Omo

Replies: 32
Views: 4136

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Oct 07, 2009 9:58 pm   Subject: NY Times 10/5: Warning About Bond Boom
the vapors turning japanese music video -- original --very 80's.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gEmJ-VWPDM4
  Topic: Asset Allocation/Diversivication (Australian ASX)
Omo

Replies: 2
Views: 371

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 12:41 am   Subject: Asset Allocation/Diversivication (Australian ASX)
Hi

I think you should start by doing a search. There have been a few post from Aus. investors.

Go to the front page at www.bogleheads.org and use the search button with the keywords "Austra ...
  Topic: Are Public Equities for Suckers?
Omo

Replies: 26
Views: 2370

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Aug 08, 2009 12:11 am   Subject: Are Public Equities for Suckers?
I know of some families (not the mafia) who only invest in private business or companies eg they fund a percentage of a business and take a percentage of the profit. They shun the stock market. They ...
  Topic: Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds
Omo

Replies: 18
Views: 3197

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Jun 17, 2009 5:12 am   Subject: Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds
The AFR over the weekend (June13-14) had an article on page 42 called "The ingredient investors are missing" dealing with inflation linked bonds. According to the article "a decision on ...
  Topic: Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds
Omo

Replies: 18
Views: 3197

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 1:56 am   Subject: Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds
Thanks for that.

Please let us know if and when they do eventuate and if possible an "idiots guide" on how to purchase them from the RBA.
  Topic: Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds
Omo

Replies: 18
Views: 3197

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Jun 13, 2009 10:46 pm   Subject: Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds
bump
  Topic: New Zealand version of Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio
Omo

Replies: 16
Views: 1590

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed May 27, 2009 7:12 am   Subject: New Zealand version of Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio
There is a thread on Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds here:

http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=21562&highlight=

I don't understand them myself. Hopefully some one will give us ...
  Topic: Breakthrough for Australian investors: Vanguard ETFs
Omo

Replies: 9
Views: 1928

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sun May 24, 2009 5:42 am   Subject: Breakthrough for Australian investors: Vanguard ETFs
So, if indexing lacks popularity in Aus and "Vanguard AU would be in no way obligated to repurchase etf shares", wouldn't buying the etf carry quite a substantial risk if and when its time t ...
  Topic: Breakthrough for Australian investors: Vanguard ETFs
Omo

Replies: 9
Views: 1928

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri May 22, 2009 6:28 pm   Subject: Breakthrough for Australian investors: Vanguard ETFs
bump please
  Topic: Breakthrough for Australian investors: Vanguard ETFs
Omo

Replies: 9
Views: 1928

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon May 18, 2009 5:40 am   Subject: Breakthrough for Australian investors: Vanguard ETFs
So at this stage it is only the ASX 300 (VAS) ETF that is of interest. However the liquidity is so low given it had just been listed, So I'll wait awhile before I start investing in it.


Hi Go ...
  Topic: Breakthrough for Australian investors: Vanguard ETFs
Omo

Replies: 9
Views: 1928

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri May 15, 2009 12:49 am   Subject: Breakthrough for Australian investors: Vanguard ETFs
I posted about this a few days ago, but got no reply.

http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=37361&highlight=

My main concern is that buying VG ETF's does not contribute to the 500k ...
  Topic: VG Launches ETF's in Australia
Omo

Replies: 0
Views: 370

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sun May 10, 2009 4:53 am   Subject: VG Launches ETF's in Australia
VG has now launched three broad index ETF's in Australia
see here: http://www.vanguard.com.au/vanguardaus/index.cfm?A743A888-1E4F-17FA-D256-DD0440F69C0F

This of itself is a good thing, but when I ...
  Topic: How has a Taleb-esque portolfio done recently?
Omo

Replies: 7
Views: 1070

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 6:42 am   Subject: How has a Taleb-esque portolfio done recently?
Surely if you take the past 20 years or so the Tale-esque portfolio has done better than a stocks+Age in Bonds portfolio?

Doesn't it also hugley depend on where that 10% outside of the 90% fixed in ...
  Topic: Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds
Omo

Replies: 18
Views: 3197

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Mar 10, 2009 11:24 pm   Subject: Re: Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds

Has anyone ever purchased Australian Indexed Treasury Bonds? It seems they are available directly from the RBA on the cheap and they pay a coupon plus inflation. They seem like a good potential add ...
  Topic: Any recent capitulation?
Omo

Replies: 71
Views: 7753

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Mar 02, 2009 8:30 pm   Subject: Is this capitulation?
Is this capitulation?

From the Australian Financial Review (2/3/09)

http://i58.photobucket.com/albums/g256/osmosise/IMG_3859.jpg
  Topic: Jim Rogers Doesn't Mince Words About the Crisis
Omo

Replies: 12
Views: 3329

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Mar 02, 2009 5:47 am   Subject: Jim Rogers Doesn't Mince Words About the Crisis
He said much the same on the Australian SBS channel last night.

http://news.sbs.com.au/dateline//interview_with_jim_rogers_563581
  Topic: Book recommendations
Omo

Replies: 28
Views: 2901

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Sun Mar 01, 2009 8:19 pm   Subject: Book recommendations
Maybe look at this thread

http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=29960&start=0
  Topic: Polls (this is not a poll).
Omo

Replies: 10
Views: 4175

PostForum: Forum Issues and Administration   Posted: Sat Feb 21, 2009 5:34 pm   Subject: + 1
Suggestion to administrator: Start a separate forum for all the polls (like the forum for "off topics"). I like some of the poll questions but a dedicated forum for them would be useful.

...
  Topic: "The Birth of Plenty": Some Thoughts and Questions
Omo

Replies: 4
Views: 974

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Feb 20, 2009 10:32 pm   Subject: "The Birth of Plenty": Some Thoughts and Questions
I've just finished reading the book which I found excellent and on the whole, very optimistic.

Some thoughts and questions:

1. On page 338, a graph of the "Percentage on Income Earned by To ...
  Topic: VG Diversified Bond Fund vs Internet Savings Account
Omo

Replies: 8
Views: 2126

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sun Feb 15, 2009 8:31 pm   Subject: Novice question
Where would you put your money if you didn't need it for the next 5 years?

1. Internet Savings Account with 4% interest
2. Diversified Bond Fund; NAV 1.07 with last 5 quarterly distributions (cent ...
  Topic: Does the feeling of abundance escape other Bogleheads too?
Omo

Replies: 103
Views: 18562

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Fri Jan 23, 2009 11:06 pm   Subject: Replay
I'm not sure if anyone remembers this post but I found it very interesting, pertinent to the times and worth a second read.
  Topic: HAPPY NEW YEAR! FROM JACK BOGLE
Omo

Replies: 79
Views: 19481

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Jan 03, 2009 8:29 pm   Subject: Thank you
Dear Mr. Bogle

All the best for the years ahead.

I was amazed to find "Enough" at my local library and found it an honest and sincere book. Thanks.
  Topic: REGISTRATION FOR 2009 BOGLEHEADS CONTEST
Omo

Replies: 296
Views: 28097

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Jan 02, 2009 4:36 am   Subject: My guess
952 -- mildly optimistic I think.
  Topic: Is Vanguard a Ponzi Scheme?
Omo

Replies: 99
Views: 13118

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Dec 29, 2008 8:38 pm   Subject: Newbie Australian perspective
In reply to the O.P.

I have harboured similar thoughts in the past and more recently.

Doesn't the whole market depend on their being more buyers than sellers for a share price (and therefore the ...
  Topic: 200-day moving average market timing
Omo

Replies: 945
Views: 142265

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Dec 16, 2008 8:18 pm   Subject: 200-day moving average market timing
R48

I've been following this thread for a while.

1. How does the 50/200d SMA differ from the 50/200d EMA?
2. How does the 50/200d SMA differ from the 20/50 week SMA which you made reference to ...
  Topic: AA tables
Omo

Replies: 3
Views: 930

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Fri Oct 31, 2008 8:49 pm   Subject: CPT
I think you might be referring to the Callan Periodic Table which you will find here.

http://www.callan.com/research/institute/periodic/
  Topic: Question: Calculating annualized rate of return.
Omo

Replies: 18
Views: 2265

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Fri Oct 31, 2008 8:38 pm   Subject: Re: XIRR spreadsheet
Can someone list the steps that need to be taken to set up a XIRR spreadsheet?

Thanks

Have a look at this thread for starters and then post back. "Madsinger" (Brad) is an expert.

ht ...
  Topic: How do you manage your monthly investments?
Omo

Replies: 20
Views: 3056

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Fri Oct 31, 2008 5:35 pm   Subject: Australian Perspective
Unfortunately, here in Oz, we have only two ways to add contributions:
1. Electronic transfer (BPAY)
2. Fax an additional contribution form.

We don't have the ability to set up automatic deductio ...
  Topic: Disturbing Contrary Indicator
Omo

Replies: 63
Views: 7813

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2008 6:04 am   Subject: Re: Disturbing Contrary Indicator
It hit me today, that what is bothering me is the almost unanimous opinion; people who faithfully believe that the stock market will recover its lost ground in fairly short time.

The faith has be ...
  Topic: How do i figure out my percentage of loss/gain?
Omo

Replies: 68
Views: 10990

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Thu Oct 16, 2008 8:04 pm   Subject: YTD
Just for future readers of this post. I found this on the gummy.org website (thanks to the author) which in addition to XIRR has a nice formula for calculating YTD returns.

http://www.gummy-stuff.o ...
  Topic: Australian Equity Allocation
Omo

Replies: 8
Views: 1435

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Wed Oct 15, 2008 5:25 am   Subject: Australian Equity Allocation
just a bump.
  Topic: Australian Portfolio Advice
Omo

Replies: 38
Views: 6869

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sun Oct 12, 2008 8:04 pm   Subject: Bank Deposit Guarantee
Hello,

I have a question for Australian investors.

Is there no insurance on Bank Deposits in Australia? What about runs on banks? Do Australian banks have more stringent requirements than Am ...
  Topic: Australian Equity Allocation
Omo

Replies: 8
Views: 1435

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 5:48 am   Subject: Australian Equity Allocation

1. Over the years, Australian Property Trusts have morphed from being "bond like"/ income stream, to more equity like, so it may be worth reclassifying your allocation to 70/30 equity/bond ...
  Topic: Australian Equity Allocation
Omo

Replies: 8
Views: 1435

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 1:16 am   Subject: Australian Equity Allocation
Hi

I originally posted a thread re: "Australian Portfolio Advice" .

http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=18780&mrr=1223410402

I think that I might benefit from some ...
  Topic: Australian Portfolio Advice
Omo

Replies: 38
Views: 6869

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Mon Oct 06, 2008 9:59 pm   Subject: Re: Fees
Omo

What was the final total VG fee? And which was the cheapest option? I have c. $100K floating in Aussie super that I'd like to put somewhere sensible.

Anthony

Look at this thread:

htt ...
  Topic: What the Australian press is publishing
Omo

Replies: 3
Views: 967

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Oct 06, 2008 2:01 am   Subject: What the Australian press is publishing
I found these articles worth sharing. There is a lot of fear in the press here currently.


http://www.theage.com.au/national/education/economics-101-20081006-4urk.html?page=1

http://www.theage. ...
  Topic: How do i figure out my percentage of loss/gain?
Omo

Replies: 68
Views: 10990

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sat Sep 27, 2008 5:23 pm   Subject: How do i figure out my percentage of loss/gain?
Thaanks Brad.

Just to clarify from the above posts: a dividend that is NOT reinvested would be a negative value in this scenario, correct?
  Topic: How do i figure out my percentage of loss/gain?
Omo

Replies: 68
Views: 10990

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 10:43 pm   Subject: Please check my XIRR data entry
What if the initial fund value is, say $50k, one dollar costs average $1k every month over a year and makes a $2k gain in the year. Would the data then include:

1. $50k as the first entry on date 1 ...
  Topic: 50% loss seems like a lot? Look at EM
Omo

Replies: 47
Views: 7785

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2008 1:36 am   Subject: VG Aus. EM Fund
Strange that the VG Australia EM fund has declined less. I'm sure there must be an explanation?

http://www.vanguard.com.au/plugins/pdf/vemsif.pdf
  Topic: Australian Portfolio Advice
Omo

Replies: 38
Views: 6869

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Thu Sep 11, 2008 1:04 am   Subject: Australian Portfolio Advice

Are you sure you want bonds in a taxable account? You could consider uping the bond portion of your Super Fund and keeping more equity funds in your taxable. ust a thought. Embarassed

[/quote]

I ...
  Topic: Australian Portfolio Advice
Omo

Replies: 38
Views: 6869

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Tue Sep 09, 2008 5:19 am   Subject: Australian Portfolio Advice
Omo,

Congrats. Good stuff.

Did you go into a Lifestyle Fund? Is this in your taxable account (outside Super)? Can you invest within your Super Fund?

Tropical

Thanks for the reply.

I de ...
  Topic: Australian Portfolio Advice
Omo

Replies: 38
Views: 6869

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Mon Sep 08, 2008 11:12 pm   Subject: Experience so far
OK.

I've opened my VG account and started contributing into, broadly, a 60/30/ (Stocks/Bonds/REIT; Stocks = 60%Aus index;40% Int. unhedged) allocation.

Here are my observations so far:
1. The E ...
  Topic: VG Diversified Bond Fund vs Internet Savings Account
Omo

Replies: 8
Views: 2126

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Mon Sep 08, 2008 8:48 pm   Subject: VG Diversified Bond Fund vs Internet Savings Account
Just bumping this up for a response please.
  Topic: VG Diversified Bond Fund vs Internet Savings Account
Omo

Replies: 8
Views: 2126

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Thu Sep 04, 2008 5:15 pm   Subject: VG Diversified Bond Fund vs Internet Savings Account
Hi Omo,
Australia has a very inverted yield curve at the shorter end right now.

I would say that you should stay as short as possible for the time being. The most powerful predictor of future yie ...
  Topic: VG Diversified Bond Fund vs Internet Savings Account
Omo

Replies: 8
Views: 2126

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Thu Sep 04, 2008 5:31 am   Subject: VG Diversified Bond Fund vs Internet Savings Account
Thanks for the reply.

The bank deposit rates I have quoted are with reputable Australian banks. Most deposit rates are in the same ballpark here owing to our higher Reserve Bank rate.

As far as ...
  Topic: VG Diversified Bond Fund vs Internet Savings Account
Omo

Replies: 8
Views: 2126

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Wed Sep 03, 2008 6:42 am   Subject: VG Diversified Bond Fund vs Internet Savings Account
Hi

I know this is is probably a stupid question, but I have to get it out of my system.

Here in Australia, VG's Diversified Bond Fund has a before tax 1 yr return of 6.35%. Internet based high i ...
 
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