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  Topic: 5 myths about home ownership
MossySF

Replies: 110
Views: 6926

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Thu Nov 19, 2009 11:14 am   Subject: 5 myths about home ownership
The article was merely comparing average rate of return and did not take into account the total amount of principal invested.

And your numbers do? Where's the downpayment? Where's the property tax ...
  Topic: 5 myths about home ownership
MossySF

Replies: 110
Views: 6926

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Thu Nov 19, 2009 10:09 am   Subject: 5 myths about home ownership
I'm not sure the article was that good.

Yes, stocks would have appreciated more, but remember when you bought the house, say in 1972, you bought all of it, say 200,000. You gain the appreciation on ...
  Topic: Why the 4% retirement withdrawal rule is a myth - NOT!
MossySF

Replies: 58
Views: 3772

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Thu Nov 19, 2009 9:51 am   Subject: Why the 4% retirement withdrawal rule is a myth - NOT!
So what's the moral to the story?


The moral of the story is nobody is forcing you to spend 4% of your portfolio every year. You have option to spend only 3.5% or 3% if you feel you need an extra ...
  Topic: Investment Advice from Nicolas Cage
MossySF

Replies: 14
Views: 1767

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Wed Nov 18, 2009 5:55 pm   Subject: Investment Advice from Nicolas Cage

No, now he is broke because of his spending habits and because of his asset manager.

Be careful. You are in danger of making libellous claims. Even if you've read through the filings and the fina ...
  Topic: Is the sky falling? And if so, where does one hide?
MossySF

Replies: 11
Views: 1293

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2009 9:22 pm   Subject: Is the sky falling? And if so, where does one hide?
For the sky to fall, that means the atmosphere we breathe is getting denser and denser. At some point, it will be condensed at our ankles so to breath oxygen, we all have to squirm around like snakes. ...
  Topic: Question about company imposed 401k contribution limits
MossySF

Replies: 6
Views: 248

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2009 10:50 am   Subject: Question about company imposed 401k contribution limits
Bug the company to change the plan. No other option.
  Topic: Special Situation
MossySF

Replies: 6
Views: 534

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2009 9:25 am   Subject: Special Situation
Probably similar to the special in "special education".
  Topic: Classical music suggestions
MossySF

Replies: 69
Views: 2452

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2009 12:41 am   Subject: Classical music suggestions
Bizet Symphony in C - Oboe in movement #2 simply amazing

Ballet from Gounod's opera Faust - the entire opera is very melodic but too steep of a curve for classical music beginners

Faure Requiem ...
  Topic: 5 myths about home ownership
MossySF

Replies: 110
Views: 6926

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 2:42 pm   Subject: 5 myths about home ownership

The being "underwater" calculation is what interested me. I've always felt that "home is where you hang your hat" and while a house may be technically underwater today, that mig ...
  Topic: 5 myths about home ownership
MossySF

Replies: 110
Views: 6926

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 11:34 am   Subject: 5 myths about home ownership

rent/cost to own ratio is the determining factor in general. Those numbers aren't even close to normal.

Far too normal in major coastal cities. A friend just bought a house in San Francisco Sunse ...
  Topic: 5 myths about home ownership
MossySF

Replies: 110
Views: 6926

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 10:34 am   Subject: 5 myths about home ownership
I assume you live in an area with a high cost for entry into home ownership, since you've saved an average of $20K/year over buying. How did you calculate the "gain" from renting over buyin ...
  Topic: 5 myths about home ownership
MossySF

Replies: 110
Views: 6926

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 7:11 am   Subject: 5 myths about home ownership
Periodically, threads appear about "we only have X decades of stock market performance in the U.S. -- how do we know this is really reflective of equities?"

Well you can ask this same que ...
  Topic: "Cash-strapped Americans raiding their 401(k)s"
MossySF

Replies: 23
Views: 3310

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sun Nov 15, 2009 2:49 pm   Subject: "Cash-strapped Americans raiding their 401(k)s"
Hmm ... sounds like 401k loans *could* be a backdoor method to contribute more than the annual maximum.

Say you borrow the maximum allowed (50K) and administrator sets the interest rate at 10%. So ...
  Topic: 5 myths about home ownership
MossySF

Replies: 110
Views: 6926

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sun Nov 15, 2009 2:39 pm   Subject: 5 myths about home ownership
We might as well just lock this thread before all annecdotes flood in. Smile

Let's just remember that what any of us personally experienced may not be reflective of anybody else's situation. For examp ...
  Topic: Frontline program on credt cards
MossySF

Replies: 28
Views: 1650

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Sun Nov 15, 2009 2:15 pm   Subject: Frontline program on credt cards
Oh? I could be, do you have personal knowledge of anyone starving? I worked near Skid Row in LA for years and never did I see anyone starving or read or hear a story about someone having starved to ...
  Topic: Interesting article regarding layoffs and spending.
MossySF

Replies: 21
Views: 1496

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Sun Nov 15, 2009 1:56 pm   Subject: Interesting article regarding layoffs and spending.
I think we have to be a bit careful. For every annecdote about what we'd to cut down expenses in time of need, there's always a floor where we'd stop ... and somebody else with a lower floor looking i ...
  Topic: College Football Thread 2009
MossySF

Replies: 143
Views: 7952

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Sun Nov 15, 2009 1:21 pm   Subject: College Football Thread 2009
What is going on with Southern Cal? Unbelievable breakdown!!


In college football, predictions are based on reputation and past performance even where the players involved in past performance are ...
  Topic: Which bank do you use?
MossySF

Replies: 45
Views: 2079

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 14, 2009 3:12 pm   Subject: Which bank do you use?
The 2 bank accounts I use the most:

Bank of America
* $3000/mo free wire transfers to China Construction Bank
* $300/day free ATM withdrawals at China Construction Bank
* Best online billp ...
  Topic: Frontline program on credt cards
MossySF

Replies: 28
Views: 1650

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Sat Nov 14, 2009 8:01 am   Subject: Frontline program on credt cards

The merchants who accept your credit card pay the credit card company a certain percentage on every purchase you make.

You have to divide "credit card companies" up into 2 camps. VISA, ...
  Topic: Peak Gold?
MossySF

Replies: 29
Views: 1864

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 6:17 am   Subject: Peak Gold?
Regarding the asteroid: The extraction costs would of course be extreme, and transportation of something so large would be nigh-impossible

Sounds like the cheapest way is to use some nuclear rocket ...
  Topic: What fixed nominal rate would make you give up investing?
MossySF

Replies: 56
Views: 2729

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 6:04 am   Subject: What fixed nominal rate would make you give up investing?
The problem is the question implies more than it says. There's a hidden subtext that comes in fore front of everybody's mind because we can't disconnect ourselves from the real world.

If you could ...
  Topic: Moving overseas, should I keep my 401k? Also UK Pension?
MossySF

Replies: 30
Views: 1348

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Wed Nov 11, 2009 9:12 am   Subject: Moving overseas, should I keep my 401k? Also UK Pension?
Hmmm ... usually you can't rollover your 401K to a personal IRA unless you separate from your company or meet some age thresholds. I don't know if an overseas posting qualifies as separation. You prob ...
  Topic: Larry Swedroe concentrated portfolio?
MossySF

Replies: 32
Views: 3249

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 10, 2009 10:11 am   Subject: Larry Swedroe concentrated portfolio?
If protection against losses is more important than future gains -- then this is the right idea to go. After all, what does it matter if SV/EM underperforms the broad market? Shrug ... just save more ...
  Topic: The Future of the Wiki
MossySF

Replies: 71
Views: 4093

PostForum: Forum Issues and Administration   Posted: Tue Nov 10, 2009 7:45 am   Subject: The Future of the Wiki
For my own company, I've spent a lot of time doing research on HSAs, deferred comp plans, ESOPs and so on and am more than willing to contribute that knowledge to the wiki. I'm in a death march phase ...
  Topic: TIPS - purpose in portfolio
MossySF

Replies: 13
Views: 1961

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Mon Nov 09, 2009 7:42 am   Subject: TIPS - purpose in portfolio
If I hold to maturity then I won't lose principle. I didn't realise that. I suppose that's China's intension. But I have bad feeling for Treasury bond fund returns over the next 5 years.

Market t ...
  Topic: Safety Officials: Runaway Toyota Matter 'Is Not Closed'
MossySF

Replies: 20
Views: 1427

PostForum: Lounge - Consumer, Leisure, and General Interest   Posted: Mon Nov 09, 2009 1:52 am   Subject: Safety Officials: Runaway Toyota Matter 'Is Not Closed'
You have to wonder why so many people would let their foot slip and keep pressing the accelerator till they reached a 100 mph and then proceeded to go over a cliff!

Co-worker's wife drive their BMW ...
  Topic: The Future of the Wiki
MossySF

Replies: 71
Views: 4093

PostForum: Forum Issues and Administration   Posted: Sun Nov 08, 2009 1:54 pm   Subject: The Future of the Wiki
Need real-time signup (or signup's linked to the forum login) ... when people have an itch to scratch (e.g. fix something, write something) -- they want to do it immediately. Not post a message and wa ...
  Topic: TIPS - purpose in portfolio
MossySF

Replies: 13
Views: 1961

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:01 pm   Subject: TIPS - purpose in portfolio
I'll add a followup to my rhetorical questions.

Some people think bonds should never lose value. Stocks can go up and down but the fixed income portion, it'd better never lose a cent come hell or h ...
  Topic: TIPS - purpose in portfolio
MossySF

Replies: 13
Views: 1961

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sun Nov 08, 2009 2:56 am   Subject: TIPS - purpose in portfolio
If Treasuries & TIPS go down if interest rates go up, what do you think will happen to iBonds, GNMA and corporate bonds? Why do you think those types of bonds will be immune to interest risk?

...
  Topic: Prime MM Negative Returns?
MossySF

Replies: 5
Views: 800

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Sat Nov 07, 2009 10:43 pm   Subject: Prime MM Negative Returns?
The yield already deducts the expenses.
  Topic: International Small Cap Index - Missed the Boat ?
MossySF

Replies: 17
Views: 1783

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Fri Nov 06, 2009 8:58 pm   Subject: International Small Cap Index - Missed the Boat ?

Same here. I have the Institutional American EuroPacific Growth Fund in my 401K, but it's all large cap. I figure that by adding the international small cap, I can get better exposure to the inter ...
  Topic: No attractive investments anymore
MossySF

Replies: 76
Views: 7691

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Fri Nov 06, 2009 3:11 am   Subject: No attractive investments anymore
I didn't read this thread the first time around. But now that it's resurrected, it's appears to be mostly investor psychology at the root. Our brains lock in price points we think is ours and until th ...
  Topic: Prep for meeting about improving HSA investment choices.
MossySF

Replies: 16
Views: 1160

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2009 3:13 pm   Subject: Prep for meeting about improving HSA investment choices.
There is a trick around the fees. A direct deposit will let you keep less than $3000 in the bank side without incurring the monthly charge. Someone else has previously posted they did an automated ACH ...
  Topic: Prep for meeting about improving HSA investment choices.
MossySF

Replies: 16
Views: 1160

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2009 3:26 am   Subject: Prep for meeting about improving HSA investment choices.


Thanks for the note; I added The Bancorp Bank to

The stock trades don't make much sense. However, the $5.99 trades for mutual funds work. They have many index funds -- including Fidelity Spar ...
  Topic: Prep for meeting about improving HSA investment choices.
MossySF

Replies: 16
Views: 1160

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 10:00 am   Subject: Prep for meeting about improving HSA investment choices.
I would be happy if we can get some pretax contributions to HSAbank or HSAadministrators, or the Fidelity HSA if that is good, and have the employer pickup the fees. I am handcuffed to this HSA to sa ...
  Topic: Vanguard's Low Fees Help Late Arrival Gain Market Share
MossySF

Replies: 8
Views: 1013

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 8:01 am   Subject: Vanguard's Low Fees Help Late Arrival Gain Market Share
I like the wacky and leveraged ones. Somebody there has to be losing money in order for financial companies to make enough to stop sucking at the taxpayer's teat.
  Topic: behavioral economics and Bogleheads philosophy?
MossySF

Replies: 32
Views: 1688

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 2:46 am   Subject: behavioral economics and Bogleheads philosophy?
It seems like either Bogleheads method is wrong, or Taleb is wrong. I'm having a hard time reconciling what seem to be sound arguments from both sides.

In investing, everybody is wrong. It's just a ...
  Topic: Prep for meeting about improving HSA investment choices.
MossySF

Replies: 16
Views: 1160

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 2:35 am   Subject: Prep for meeting about improving HSA investment choices.
You will be hard-pressed to make any company change at this front. Even at an individual level, it is extremely hard to find good HSA investment options. I've searched far and wide even the best optio ...
  Topic: Siegel vs. Bodie Showdown paper
MossySF

Replies: 52
Views: 3997

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2009 1:50 am   Subject: Siegel vs. Bodie Showdown paper
The academic-style links are nice but let's cut to the chase -- say I'm investing $1000/mo like the above-average American. I spent $900 of that on TIP/VIPSX (or $450 on TIP/VIPSX, $450 on BND/VBMFX). ...
  Topic: Siegel vs. Bodie Showdown paper
MossySF

Replies: 52
Views: 3997

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2009 1:16 am   Subject: Siegel vs. Bodie Showdown paper
The academic-style links are nice but let's cut to the chase -- say I'm investing $1000/mo like the above-average American. I spent $900 of that on TIP/VIPSX (or $450 on TIP/VIPSX, $450 on BND/VBMFX). ...
  Topic: Siegel vs. Bodie Showdown paper
MossySF

Replies: 52
Views: 3997

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2009 12:04 am   Subject: Siegel vs. Bodie Showdown paper
Bodie's idea (similar to Taleb's idea) sound nice. 90% super low risk investments, 10% super high risk. I just have yet to understand the super high risk part and how likely it is for a normal investo ...
  Topic: Vanguard Managed Payout Fund-Your thoughts?
MossySF

Replies: 62
Views: 4339

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sun Nov 01, 2009 3:07 pm   Subject: Vanguard Managed Payout Fund-Your thoughts?

I say the evidence is that there's a non-negligible chance of a retiree going broke withdrawing 5%-than-COLAed from a Managed Payout-like portfolio.

Hmm ... I'm pretty sure the payouts for Manage ...
  Topic: Vanguard Managed Payout Fund-Your thoughts?
MossySF

Replies: 62
Views: 4339

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sun Nov 01, 2009 2:59 pm   Subject: Vanguard Managed Payout Fund-Your thoughts?

MP were launched by Vg management which refuses to launch an Indexed Series of funds which have been requested by countless Vg owners, namely:
Balanced Index 80% stock (with 20% international) - 20 ...
  Topic: TIP ETF Return Data
MossySF

Replies: 7
Views: 651

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sun Nov 01, 2009 2:08 pm   Subject: TIP ETF Return Data
2. The TIP current NAV = 103.88 and the current market price is 104.01. It is actually trading at a premium. Why then is the current YTD market return = 8.25 % and the current NAV YTD return = 10.8%. ...
  Topic: Loan vs gift re IRS?
MossySF

Replies: 28
Views: 1741

PostForum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)   Posted: Sun Nov 01, 2009 3:40 am   Subject: Loan vs gift re IRS?
I can rest your fears to rest. The IRS will not come after you for gift taxes in any case because the giver is responsible, not the giftee. So say if your sister won the lotto and forgave your loan, t ...
  Topic: Is the U.S. the Next Japan? Larry Swedroe blog
MossySF

Replies: 10
Views: 1878

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2009 1:06 pm   Subject: Is the U.S. the Next Japan? Larry Swedroe blog
we have all probably, by now heard of the 90% decline from the highs of the 1929 market.

1929 -8.3%
1930 -25.12%
1931 -43.84%
1932 -8.64%

Comes out to 65% decline over the 4 years. Doesn't th ...
  Topic: How does Vanguard protect 401k participants?
MossySF

Replies: 14
Views: 743

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2009 12:22 pm   Subject: How does Vanguard protect 401k participants?
I think it's safe to assume that most get paid around the 1st and the 15th

I'll make the opposite case that it's *not* safe to assume that most get paid on/around these 2 dates.

Who's the bigges ...
  Topic: Is gold more than 5% of your portfolio? 10%?
MossySF

Replies: 44
Views: 2300

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2009 11:51 am   Subject: Is gold more than 5% of your portfolio? 10%?
Gold mining stocks are 20% of my 401k with an automatic rebalancing schedule (comes out to 4% of my investment portfolio).

My wife has 1.5X that amount in the form of gold jewelry from our wedding ...
  Topic: How does Vanguard protect 401k participants?
MossySF

Replies: 14
Views: 743

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2009 11:43 am   Subject: How does Vanguard protect 401k participants?
It's hard to imagine every company in the U.S. not only has the same pay periods but also consistently make their retirement contributions precisely the same number of days after pay day. Companies ha ...
  Topic: Vanguard Managed Payout Fund-Your thoughts?
MossySF

Replies: 62
Views: 4339

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 1:56 pm   Subject: Vanguard Managed Payout Fund-Your thoughts?

Most of the payout is return of capital, not earnings. In other words, an investor is spending their investment and not growing.

It's hard to imagine any portfolio where a 7% annual distribution ...
 
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