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  Topic: Pimco Total Return's Hidden Risks
Doc

Replies: 27
Views: 1307

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 21, 2009 7:31 pm   Subject: Pimco Total Return's Hidden Risks

* I abhor the use of leverage, in any form.
* I detest shorting as a concept.
* I want all of my investments to be as close to 'first order' or 'native' products as possible, that is -- they do ...
  Topic: Anyone selling TIPS?
Doc

Replies: 37
Views: 1972

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 21, 2009 6:55 pm   Subject: Re: Anyone selling TIPS?
If you believe in efficient markets and MPT you can't get a higher return without taking on more risk. Razz

Actually it would be more correct to say you don't get higher expected returns without acc ...
  Topic: Pimco Total Return's Hidden Risks
Doc

Replies: 27
Views: 1307

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 21, 2009 1:52 pm   Subject: Pimco Total Return's Hidden Risks

Wherever possible, I am not investing based on 'trust,' at least not in individuals. I am attemtping to invest based on facts and objective information, as much as can be determined. To the degree ...
  Topic: Anyone selling TIPS?
Doc

Replies: 37
Views: 1972

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 21, 2009 1:20 pm   Subject: Re: Anyone selling TIPS?

when you make a choice like Sammy did it says nothing about inefficient markets just that for him taking on some more risk makes sense.

Or maybe just different risks, not really more.


Come ...
  Topic: New VG ETFs
Doc

Replies: 4
Views: 327

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 21, 2009 11:20 am   Subject: Re: Thanks gte
I plan to hold these and live off of the dividends. Only selling them if necessary, so at that point I imagine that the activity comes into play.
In that, if they are thinly traded, I would have to ...
  Topic: Pimco Total Return's Hidden Risks
Doc

Replies: 27
Views: 1307

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 21, 2009 11:06 am   Subject: Pimco Total Return's Hidden Risks
. Unlike Vanguard bond funds, you don't know what you are getting and you are paying a lot more in fees. The bond allocation is not the place to take risk; there is plenty of risk.
Adrian, I think ...
  Topic: New VG ETFs
Doc

Replies: 4
Views: 327

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 21, 2009 10:31 am   Subject: Re: Thanks gte
I have been waiting for these.

At Fidelity however, the symbols are unknown.

VCHS, the short term corporate, I am considering instead of CSJ.
They follow different indexes. The Vanguard is the ...
  Topic: Anyone selling TIPS?
Doc

Replies: 37
Views: 1972

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 21, 2009 10:12 am   Subject: Re: Anyone selling TIPS?
The only way Sammy's trade can earn more money is if the CD has more risk be it duration, liquidity or inflation protection. Of course if you believe there is such a thing as a free lunch please ignor ...
  Topic: Anyone selling TIPS?
Doc

Replies: 37
Views: 1972

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 8:50 pm   Subject: Re: Anyone selling TIPS?
The problem is if you sell what do you buy as a replacement.

I sold some 4/2011 TIPS and bought ST CD's with around 2.6 nominal yield.
In about five months even Morningstar will consider the 4/2 ...
  Topic: Vanguard ER's - Your Prediction
Doc

Replies: 6
Views: 611

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:45 pm   Subject: Re: Vanguard ER's - Your Prediction
The sensitivity of ERs to the size of Vanguard funds is a good thing for investors, an indication that economies of scale are being passed on to investors.
Or maybe it's a bad thing because managem ...
  Topic: Anyone selling TIPS?
Doc

Replies: 37
Views: 1972

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:37 pm   Subject: Re: Anyone selling TIPS?
The one good reason to sell is to switch interest income to capital gains which could be advantageous for some. Hmnn. Maybe me. Thanks grayfox.

I've been considering this but I don't quite know wha ...
  Topic: Minimizing ETF Spread - How?
Doc

Replies: 13
Views: 402

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:19 pm   Subject: Re: Minimizing ETF Spread - How?

Right now, using Google Finance, I see that my favorite US Small Value fund, RZV, has a market price of $29.57 and an IIV of $29.61. Remember, though, that IIV is merely an estimate and not a real ...
  Topic: Anyone selling TIPS?
Doc

Replies: 37
Views: 1972

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 1:06 pm   Subject: Re: Anyone selling TIPS?
In fact the 2011 and 2012 have negative real yields!

And the 11/18/10 nominal bond has a 0.25% nominal yield (Bloomberg). By comparison a real yield of minus 0.46% for the January 2011 TIPS look ...
  Topic: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
Doc

Replies: 18
Views: 802

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 12:45 pm   Subject: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
They have increased their holdings a good bit, I guess the yield now at 1.44% (Caveat, not sure how to handle repos)

PIMCO has the portfolio on their website. http://www.pimcoetfs.com/FundInfo/Page ...
  Topic: Finally, a TIPS index fund (but guess from who?)
Doc

Replies: 10
Views: 1767

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:28 am   Subject: Finally, a TIPS index fund (but guess from who?)
Apparently FSIPX is an in house only fund.

From the prospectus:The fund has no exchange privilege with any other fund. The fund has no limit on purchase transactions, but is only offered for invest ...
  Topic: Oddities with Fidelity TIPS quotes??
Doc

Replies: 13
Views: 730

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Thu Nov 19, 2009 2:47 pm   Subject: Oddities with Fidelity TIPS quotes??
Bond Tier / Tier 1/ Other Bonds
Also: Risk/Price
Secondary bonds offered are subject to a Price Test and a Risk Test*. The Risk and Price Tests are specific quantitative observations that compare a ...
  Topic: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
Doc

Replies: 18
Views: 802

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Nov 18, 2009 11:33 am   Subject: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund

Back to the subject of the thread, I wonder how much "added value" active management can add to an ultra-short term bond fund? What ever amount that is, would it be worth the risk of los ...
  Topic: Wash Sale twist
Doc

Replies: 17
Views: 760

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Wed Nov 18, 2009 11:14 am   Subject: Wash Sale twist
I think the best option would be to sell the older (higher priced) lot of 100 shares, generating a tax loss. Wait 30 days, then buy 100 shares of the fund in your Roth.
This advice may be better th ...
  Topic: PS Quarterly Client Conference Call
Doc

Replies: 1
Views: 246

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Nov 18, 2009 10:51 am   Subject: PS Quarterly Client Conference Call
Thanks Rick.
  Topic: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
Doc

Replies: 18
Views: 802

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Nov 18, 2009 10:49 am   Subject: Missing Link
The "bad" was forgetting to put in the reference and making me go to all the work of copying the quote into the google window and pushing the search button. That wore me out for the rest of ...
  Topic: Oddities with Fidelity TIPS quotes??
Doc

Replies: 13
Views: 730

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Wed Nov 18, 2009 10:12 am   Subject: Oddities with Fidelity TIPS quotes??
Near as I can tell, about a momth ago, Fido's spreads shrank to less than 1/2 of what they were. I don't know why.

I've been tracking the spreads since January because they went way high last ...
  Topic: Oddities with Fidelity TIPS quotes??
Doc

Replies: 13
Views: 730

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2009 6:06 pm   Subject: Re: Oddities with Fidelity TIPS quotes??
I checked Fidelity's TIPS quotes today, and they look unusual; only 15 offerings came up and some don't have bid prices. What's up?
here is link I used:

I think you may have looked after the mark ...
  Topic: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
Doc

Replies: 18
Views: 802

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2009 5:53 pm   Subject: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
MINT a potentially attractive solution for investors who want to preserve capital while seeking higher yields
Let's see... higher return without higher risk. I've heard that before.

Seems like th ...
  Topic: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
Doc

Replies: 18
Views: 802

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2009 2:49 pm   Subject: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
MINT a potentially attractive solution for investors who want to preserve capital while seeking higher yields
Let's see... higher return without higher risk. I've heard that before.

Seems like th ...
  Topic: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
Doc

Replies: 18
Views: 802

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2009 2:22 pm   Subject: Re: PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Strategy Fund
A bit pricey but interesting.
I take this as an alternative to an Ultrashort bond fund. This ETF's e/r of .35 does not seem pricey to me. According to M* the median e/r of the Ultrashort Bond categor ...
  Topic: 10 year return on Total Stock Market Index fund ?
Doc

Replies: 48
Views: 3286

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 1:54 pm   Subject: Re: 10 year return on Total Stock Market Index fund ?
Past returns can be misleading and meaningless. The last 10 years include both severe drops in 2000-2002 and 2008-? and these drops are reflected in Total Stk Mkt -- and it represents the overall mar ...
  Topic: 10 year return on Total Stock Market Index fund ?
Doc

Replies: 48
Views: 3286

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 1:44 pm   Subject: 10 year return on Total Stock Market Index fund ?

I don't need to understand the exact nature of the risk to accept it. Remember, there aren't too many kinds of "risk" in stocks. They either go up or they go down.
There is an old ada ...
  Topic: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
Doc

Replies: 51
Views: 3064

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 1:38 pm   Subject: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
No matter where you go, you have to come back to Vanguard for bond funds.
Nope. Although Vanguard funds are among the best there are many alternatives. There are some very good active funds and many ...
  Topic: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
Doc

Replies: 51
Views: 3064

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 1:24 pm   Subject: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
No matter where you go, you have to come back to Vanguard for bond funds.
Nope. Although Vanguard funds are among the best there are many alternatives. There are some very good active funds and many ...
  Topic: Schwab ETFs - Looking Beyond Fees
Doc

Replies: 33
Views: 1992

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 1:16 pm   Subject: Schwab ETFs - Looking Beyond Fees
My take on VTI vs. SCHB is more basic, but with the same conclusion. I consider the expense ratios, commissions, and tax issues to be a wash between the two funds, or close enough that we're splittin ...
  Topic: Schwab ETFs - Looking Beyond Fees
Doc

Replies: 33
Views: 1992

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 1:08 pm   Subject: Schwab ETFs - Looking Beyond Fees
My take on VTI vs. SCHB is more basic, but with the same conclusion. I consider the expense ratios, commissions, and tax issues to be a wash between the two funds, or close enough that we're splittin ...
  Topic: 10 year return on Total Stock Market Index fund ?
Doc

Replies: 48
Views: 3286

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 12:57 pm   Subject: Re: Intelligence, skill and luck.

Those of us who have repeatedly researched and selected funds/families based on all the information available to us, and subsequently underperformed substantially in most cases, can either conclu ...
  Topic: Schwab ETFs - Looking Beyond Fees
Doc

Replies: 33
Views: 1992

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sun Nov 15, 2009 2:52 pm   Subject: Schwab ETFs - Looking Beyond Fees
Rick,

Thank you for your analysis. I understand all of your comments, with one exception...

...and then there will likely continue to be a slight tax benefit for VTI due to the structural advan ...
  Topic: Finally, a TIPS index fund (but guess from who?)
Doc

Replies: 10
Views: 1767

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sun Nov 15, 2009 12:57 pm   Subject: Finally, a TIPS index fund (but guess from who?)
The TIPS market is liquid enough to absorb a few $B of new money (though not as liquid as nominal bonds). This is puzzling ...
May not be true. Take a look at how TIPS tanked last October as nomi ...
  Topic: 10 year return on Total Stock Market Index fund ?
Doc

Replies: 48
Views: 3286

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sat Nov 14, 2009 2:31 pm   Subject: Re: 10 year return on Total Stock Market Index fund ?
It is healthy (and profitable) to view things with an open mind. For instance - and just for dicussion purpose - doesn't a 4.6% differential annual return over 10 years deserve mentioning?



Sur ...
  Topic: Which bank do you use?
Doc

Replies: 45
Views: 2080

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 14, 2009 1:03 pm   Subject: Re: Which bank do you use?
It looks like a lot of people use one service for investing, and another service for basic banking. I think this is a good security precaution, too. You don't want any details (or even the identity) o ...
  Topic: Investment Growth Charts (not price charts)
Doc

Replies: 17
Views: 781

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 14, 2009 11:58 am   Subject: Investment Growth Charts (not price charts)
Yup, M* growth charts are not reliable for ETFs, only for mutual funds. Some ETFs seem to display correctly but not all.
I'm confused. Is the problem that the default ETF chart does not have an optio ...
  Topic: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
Doc

Replies: 51
Views: 3064

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Sat Nov 14, 2009 11:51 am   Subject: Re: VG Lowest E.R.s on Total Bond Market Index Funds
Doc wrote and


I am confused at this statement? Do you mean Vanguard is no longer the low cost leader in a few funds or all together? If you meant all together I can tell you for a fact that isn ...
  Topic: 10 year return on Total Stock Market Index fund ?
Doc

Replies: 48
Views: 3286

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Sat Nov 14, 2009 11:14 am   Subject: Intelligence, skill and luck.

Those of us who have repeatedly researched and selected funds/families based on all the information available to us, and subsequently underperformed substantially in most cases, can either conclude ...
  Topic: Investment Growth Charts (not price charts)
Doc

Replies: 17
Views: 781

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 8:42 pm   Subject: Investment Growth Charts (not price charts)
Do I assume that the M* growth charts reinvest dividends?

Yes, when "Growth" option is selected. It's a very good way to appreciate Wellesley's performance against other asset classes ove ...
  Topic: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
Doc

Replies: 51
Views: 3064

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 8:13 pm   Subject: Re: VG Lowest E.R.s on Total Bond Market Index Funds
Looking at the expense ratios on the Total Bond Market Index at Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab, some folks prefer staying loyal to VG:

VG Admiral .14
VG Investor .22
Fidelity .32 (temporar ...
  Topic: Eggs in one basket a real problem?
Doc

Replies: 12
Views: 1065

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 6:01 pm   Subject: Re: Eggs in one basket a real problem?
First, is there any validity to her concerns? I only see extra fees and pain when I think about that split. Any help with some solid logical ammo would be appreciated to put her mind at ease. Hopef ...
  Topic: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
Doc

Replies: 51
Views: 3064

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 5:34 pm   Subject: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
Doc wrote:

We have accounts at all three. The one that is the least likely to allow us "to stick with (as best one can in certain cases) the Boglehead philosophy (keeping costs low and passive ...
  Topic: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
Doc

Replies: 51
Views: 3064

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 12:12 pm   Subject: Why use Schwab or Fidelity if you can use Vanguard?
These Vanguard/Fidelity/Schwab/you name it threads always seem to pop up from time to time. The "platform" one uses is not the question, it's rather if the "platform" used allows ...
  Topic: New 30 year TIPs
Doc

Replies: 4
Views: 853

PostForum: Investing - Theory, News & General   Posted: Thu Nov 12, 2009 10:16 am   Subject: Re: New 30 year TIPs
I see the auction schedule to be 2/18/2010 and was wondering if there is a way to predict what the coupon rate will be.

The existing 30 Year TIP in Bloomberg has a coupon of 3.75. It matures in 203 ...
  Topic: TIPS Shifting: ST TIPS vs. ST Inv Grade vs. ST Treasury
Doc

Replies: 30
Views: 3526

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Thu Nov 12, 2009 9:50 am   Subject: Re: Timing TIPS ?
I plan to follow a TIPS shifting strategy similar to that advocated by Larry Swedroe. Based on present yields, I'm overweight Long Term TIPS and need to make a shift.

I figure the full-time experi ...
  Topic: What to do with active management?
Doc

Replies: 22
Views: 1423

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:33 pm   Subject: What to do with active management?
Vanguard's muni and treasury bond funds are not indexes, but are passively managed with low turnover to keep expenses down.

Paul
I used to think this also but I was strongly advised by most of the ...
  Topic: Pay Off 2nd Mortgage Vs Roth IRA
Doc

Replies: 28
Views: 1310

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:27 pm   Subject: Pay Off 2nd Mortgage Vs Roth IRA
I disagree with the comments about missing an important opportunity with the Roth because it will only be three years of lost Roth. The savings in interest will make up for the lost money.

I don't ...
  Topic: TIPS Shifting: ST TIPS vs. ST Inv Grade vs. ST Treasury
Doc

Replies: 30
Views: 3526

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:13 pm   Subject: TIPS Shifting: ST TIPS vs. ST Inv Grade vs. ST Treasury
Thanks to all those who weighed in. Just to close the loop, I decided to go with the Spartan ST Treasury fund mainly due to simplicity/cost and am now down to about 50% of fixed income in TIPS with a ...
  Topic: TIPS Shifting: ST TIPS vs. ST Inv Grade vs. ST Treasury
Doc

Replies: 30
Views: 3526

PostForum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments   Posted: Tue Nov 10, 2009 2:11 pm   Subject: Re: TIPS Shifting: ST TIPS vs. ST Inv Grade vs. ST Treasury
Of my fixed income, 70% is in TIPS and wgt avg maturity is around 13 years. I accumulated most of my TIPS when yields were >3% last year. Now they're in the 1-2% range.

I plan to follow a TIP ...
 
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