Search found 295 matches

by tyler_cracker
Mon Aug 24, 2015 11:11 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The Bogleheads' Silent Majority
Replies: 194
Views: 21113

Re: The Bogleheads' Silent Majority

goingup wrote:It'd be great if all 44,632 popped in to say, "Here. Present and accounted for and staying the course!"


here. present and accounted for and staying the course!
by tyler_cracker
Mon Aug 24, 2015 11:04 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 2003
Views: 383348

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

HomerJ wrote:You've been posting this for the past 3 years... Pretty much every thread you have posted has been doom and gloom.

But I'm glad you're happy that you're right for once. Still doesn't make you an expert predictor, and it still doesn't make it easy to predict "downdrafts"


:thumbsup
by tyler_cracker
Mon Aug 17, 2015 1:20 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard CFP Annual Portfolio Review - Key Points
Replies: 6
Views: 1204

Re: Vanguard CFP Annual Portfolio Review - Key Points

Fat-Tailed Contagion wrote:- 2-3% Bond Return over next 10 yrs

- 5-6% Stock Return over next 10 yrs


are these nominal rates?
by tyler_cracker
Sun Aug 16, 2015 3:24 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What is going on out there?
Replies: 43
Views: 6412

Re: What is going on out there?

Prague wrote:I just came back to the market this January after getting out on August of 2013.


what caused you to leave in august of 2013? what changed in january?
by tyler_cracker
Sat Aug 15, 2015 1:27 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Backdoor Roth: How Long To Wait For Conversion?
Replies: 14
Views: 1517

Re: Backdoor Roth: How Long To Wait For Conversion?

i do not wait. i queue up the money before the first of the year to avoid the delay between my bank and my ira custodian. i contribute to the traditional ira on the first trading day of the year. i convert to roth the second trading day of the year. i'm surprised at how many people mentioned trying ...
by tyler_cracker
Mon Aug 10, 2015 11:06 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: If you have an ESPP where you work...
Replies: 3
Views: 650

Re: If you have an ESPP where you work...

In your ESPP, how many days between the end of the subscription period and the quick sale date? none. the shares show up in my account at the end of day X; i sell them on day X+1. I checked the past 15 years of stock prices on the end of each subscription period and on the quick sale date, two trad...
by tyler_cracker
Sun Aug 02, 2015 5:15 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Zero Interest Rates on I-Bonds
Replies: 20
Views: 2442

Re: Zero Interest Rates on I-Bonds

Thx for an excellent post, #Cruncher!
by tyler_cracker
Wed Jul 29, 2015 11:36 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why is stock market so reactionary to news on daily basis?
Replies: 46
Views: 2982

Re: Why is stock market so reactionary to news on daily basis?

no one else has said it yet so i will:

that is not what reactionary means.
by tyler_cracker
Sun Jul 26, 2015 7:30 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Substitutes for WSJ Personal Finance and Investing Article
Replies: 16
Views: 2319

Re: Substitutes for WSJ Personal Finance and Investing Article

PGary wrote:Would be helpful to have mechanism to know when new information is available on the Bogleheads wiki page


https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Special:RecentChanges is a start
by tyler_cracker
Sat Jul 11, 2015 2:44 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Do Dividends Actually Add To The Total Return of a Stock?
Replies: 40
Views: 4463

Re: Do Dividends Actually Add To The Total Return of a Stock?

Do Dividends Actually Add To The Total Return of a Stock


no
by tyler_cracker
Fri Jul 10, 2015 8:09 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Indexing vs Active Stock Selection
Replies: 50
Views: 3956

Re: Indexing vs Active Stock Selection

one of my colleagues gave a talk about basic personal finance. in it, he highlighted the importance of diversifying away from company stock. he made his point with a personal anecdote: fifteen years ago, he was a young engineer working for a promising early web company, USWeb. company stock was thro...
by tyler_cracker
Tue Jun 16, 2015 12:11 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Cost difference
Replies: 27
Views: 2312

Re: Cost difference

livesoft,

i just wanted to say that i love you and to encourage you to ignore the haters and their helicopter parenting.
by tyler_cracker
Thu Jun 11, 2015 11:02 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: REITs - why the volatility?
Replies: 44
Views: 4065

Re: REITs - why the volatility?

I re read some of the comments on this thread. You guys do not sound like investors. You sound like speculators. i agree so i'll make one of these posts: i had money to invest. the little number next to my REIT allocation was red, so i bought more. i feel good about it because i believe in my writt...
by tyler_cracker
Sat May 30, 2015 11:59 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Can this be possible? [Not lose money during 2008 crash]
Replies: 57
Views: 6604

Re: Can this be possible?

z3r0c00l wrote:The most likely answer is that they are lying.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanlon%27s_razor
by tyler_cracker
Wed May 20, 2015 9:37 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard implements 20 character passwords
Replies: 69
Views: 11804

Re: Vanguard implements 20 character passwords

i don't have Duckie's option either. i'm a voyager fwiw.
by tyler_cracker
Fri Apr 24, 2015 12:00 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 2003
Views: 383348

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

TwoByFour wrote:What is the point of this thread anyway?


perspective.
by tyler_cracker
Tue Mar 10, 2015 12:30 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What is so intelligent about Schwab Intelligent Portfolio??
Replies: 7
Views: 1236

Re: What is so intelligent about Schwab Intelligent Portfoli

livesoft wrote:It is all about marketing and "Intelligent" has a nice ring to it, doesn't it? It wouldn't be good marketing to call it the "Schwab Reasonable Portfolio", would it?


i think they learned their lesson from the great Fidelity Fund For Dullards debacle of '04.
by tyler_cracker
Fri Mar 06, 2015 10:17 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Christine Benz of Morningstar on backdoor Roth.
Replies: 2
Views: 954

Re: Christine Benz of Morningstar on backdoor Roth.

your link didn't work for me (trailing slash in url). this one is fixed:

Backdoor Roth IRA? Avoid these six mistakes.
by tyler_cracker
Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:14 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Active managers outperform the index by 0.12% before fees?
Replies: 22
Views: 2169

Re: Do most active managers outperform index before expense?

nobsinvestor wrote:An average means half are higher, half are lower. So it's 50% for that reason :happy


that's not what "average" means.
by tyler_cracker
Wed Feb 04, 2015 1:19 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Best investment for $500
Replies: 31
Views: 2433

Re: Best investment for $500

VT

(Your message contains 2 characters. The minimum number of characters you need to enter is 5.)
by tyler_cracker
Sun Feb 01, 2015 4:29 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Buy High, Sell Low : Avoid Market Timing
Replies: 32
Views: 3575

Re: Buy High, Sell Low : Avoid Market Timing

Right. Buying equities and selling them to buy bonds is the same thing! it's market timing not because of what you buy or sell. it's market timing because of why you choose to buy or sell. I didn't act on just intuition, by the way (not that I feel I owe you any explanation whatsoever). (bold added...
by tyler_cracker
Sun Feb 01, 2015 3:36 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Buy High, Sell Low : Avoid Market Timing
Replies: 32
Views: 3575

Re: Buy High, Sell Low : Avoid Market Timing

Seriously, do you see no difference whatsoever in what I wrote and the first paragraph of the OP? not really, no: The market is on a roll doing great so you get greedy and buy more equities. In late 2013 the equities market seemed to be doing a little too well, and so I increased the bonds in my AA...
by tyler_cracker
Sun Feb 01, 2015 3:12 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Buy High, Sell Low : Avoid Market Timing
Replies: 32
Views: 3575

Re: Buy High, Sell Low : Avoid Market Timing

Whenever I read posts like this I think my brain must be wired backwards from everybody else's. In early 2009 I was happy to invest my IRA contributions in the riskiest asset classes I could find. In late 2013 the equities market seemed to be doing a little too well, and so I increased the bonds in...
by tyler_cracker
Thu Jan 29, 2015 1:05 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: 401k - Did I over contribute?
Replies: 5
Views: 875

Re: 401k - Did I over contribute?

fwiw i had the opposite problem in 2012 (last contribution of the year cleared in early january 2013). all the tax forms showed it correctly and the irs never yelled at me. i agree with the dragonborn that you're probably fine.
by tyler_cracker
Sun Jan 18, 2015 3:28 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Malkiel's recommendations, 1990 to 2015
Replies: 40
Views: 4221

Re: Malkiel's recommendations, 1990 to 2015

The comment seems dumb in retrospect as the Boglehead Bond Panic of 2013 turned out to be a big fizzle. But bond bear markets DO happen and just because 2013 was a very mild downturn in bonds doesn't mean that a bad downturn can't happen. I recall Dr. Bernstein's posts on this forum about the reall...
by tyler_cracker
Sun Jan 18, 2015 1:04 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Malkiel's recommendations, 1990 to 2015
Replies: 40
Views: 4221

Re: Malkiel's recommendations, 1990 to 2015

in addition to what Leeraar quoted, this stands out to me as being pretty dumb: bonds at these interest rates are particularly risky, because you could take some really bad capital losses in bonds when interest rates start to go up. nisi and others have debunked this piece of FUD repeatedly, as is k...
by tyler_cracker
Mon Jan 05, 2015 11:03 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Was it a mistake to move into PenFed 5-year CDs a year ago?
Replies: 55
Views: 5491

Re: Was it a mistake to move into PenFed 5-year CDs a year a

i think you should post this in the Biggest Surprises of 2014 thread -- a random on the internet has confused strategy with outcome! :shock:
by tyler_cracker
Sun Dec 21, 2014 12:44 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: White Coat Investor in Forbes
Replies: 37
Views: 6653

Re: White Coat Investor in Forbes

EmergDoc wrote:The goofy stethoscope one is probably better as it helps people see it's a site for docs, not canyoneers.


save that one for when you launch The Wet Suit Investor: Investing And Personal Finance Advice For Canyoneers, SCUBA Divers, Surfers, And [(removed) --admin LadyGeek].
by tyler_cracker
Wed Dec 10, 2014 11:58 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why are Falling Oil Prices Bad for the Stock Market
Replies: 29
Views: 2783

Re: Why are Falling Oil Prices Bad for the Stock Market

EarlyStart wrote:Yeah, triple clutz or something like that.


:D

http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtop ... 0#p2201443

whole thread is great but Jupiter's post is the piece de resistance
by tyler_cracker
Wed Dec 10, 2014 10:59 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why are Falling Oil Prices Bad for the Stock Market
Replies: 29
Views: 2783

Re: Why are Falling Oil Prices Bad for the Stock Market

EarlyStart wrote:Image


this is a diagram of how to perform a figure skating maneuver, right?
by tyler_cracker
Tue Nov 25, 2014 9:59 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Investing in 100 Words
Replies: 19
Views: 2031

Re: Investing in 100 Words

rather than picking 100 words to invest in, i own the whole dictionary.
by tyler_cracker
Tue Nov 18, 2014 10:06 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: My 2015 ETF IRA purchase date: 30 DEC 2014
Replies: 3
Views: 1082

Re: My 2015 ETF IRA purchase date: 30 DEC 2014

thx bbl. i'm exactly the kind of ocd that reads this thread's title and goes

Image

i usually queue up the ira contribution in my sweep account early anyway so i might try out your tactic this year. thx for posting :)
by tyler_cracker
Mon Nov 17, 2014 10:57 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Mark your calendar for year-end fund distributions
Replies: 4
Views: 1312

Re: Mark your calendar for year-end fund distributions

mptfan wrote:"The price of my mutual fund dropped by 2% today, but the market was up, what is going on????!!!!"


i actually use these posts as a signal that my sweep account is about to have cash that needs attention.
by tyler_cracker
Sun Oct 12, 2014 11:07 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why not 100% Stocks?
Replies: 274
Views: 24897

Re: Why not 100% Stocks?

JohnnyFive wrote:try not to make broad generalizations (especially when you know nothing about the person in question...


JohnnyFive wrote:Holding all or most of your wealth in CDs is never, under ANY circumstance, the right thing to do. Never.
by tyler_cracker
Thu Sep 25, 2014 12:41 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Equity ETFs with some downside protection?
Replies: 4
Views: 379

Re: Equity ETFs with some downside protection?

imo this is like asking "what car should i buy for hauling lumber?"

the answer is that you shouldn't buy a car; you should buy a truck:

placeholder wrote:you normally do that with fixed income.
by tyler_cracker
Sun Aug 31, 2014 11:39 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bonds for young(er) people
Replies: 10
Views: 1095

Re: Bonds for young(er) people

hi gravity, i'm 35 and faced the same decision a couple years ago. some observations: - i concluded that total bond market is Good Enough. it's Mario and Luigi -- it has some strengths and some weaknesses but it's basically "average". if i could only own one bond fund, i'd own TBM. - i bon...
by tyler_cracker
Fri Aug 29, 2014 11:24 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: ibond etf
Replies: 2
Views: 564

Re: ibond etf

IBDD has NOTHING to do with the US Treasury Series I Bonds that we frequently discuss: from http://www.ishares.com/us/products/254555/isharesbond-mar-2023-corporate-term-etf: 1. Exposure to investment grade corporate bonds that mature between April 2022 and March 2023 so this is a corporate bond etf...
by tyler_cracker
Wed Aug 27, 2014 11:33 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Best time to exercise stock options
Replies: 10
Views: 1043

Re: Best time to exercise stock options

tyler_cracker wrote:so when i choose to sell i go straight [edit] to cash immediately and just pay the tax and try not to worry about it.


i haven't "gone straight immediately" since high school ;) so i have corrected the above sentence.
by tyler_cracker
Tue Aug 26, 2014 8:59 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Best time to exercise stock options
Replies: 10
Views: 1043

Re: Best time to exercise stock options

grok's thread, which he linked above, is imo the magnum opus on this topic. thanks grok :). i track my various options (NSOs, RSUs, and ESPP shares) in a spreadsheet that shows the "grok number" for each option over various timeframes. couple things i haven't seen mentioned itt: - you may ...
by tyler_cracker
Thu Aug 14, 2014 11:28 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: [Poll] How I Feel When I Think about Investing, etc.
Replies: 36
Views: 2792

Re: [Poll] How I Feel When I Think about Investing, etc.

i'd be interested to see how much the responses change if this poll is posted in Personal Investments instead of Theory. bold prediction: anxiety ratio skyrockets.
by tyler_cracker
Mon Jul 14, 2014 10:39 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Stocks and shares," different things? "Peter Pan"
Replies: 40
Views: 5080

Re: "Stocks and shares," different things? "Peter Pan"

at this point, nisi, you might get better responses posting on the barrieheads forums :wink:
by tyler_cracker
Sat Jun 14, 2014 10:43 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Developing a sound framework for optimal asset allocation
Replies: 44
Views: 3241

Re: Developing a sound framework for optimal asset allocatio

btw, here are some of the posts rca made in the last thread ze started about optimal asset allocation: http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=140415&p=2078832#p2077987 http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=140415&p=2078832#p2078122 http://www.bogleheads.org...
by tyler_cracker
Thu Jun 12, 2014 10:54 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Blue Line Jumps 11 Percent
Replies: 5
Views: 769

Re: Blue Line Jumps 11 Percent

market timers beware: this article is over 14 years old!
by tyler_cracker
Sun May 25, 2014 12:44 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Market fluctuation in late 2008
Replies: 51
Views: 3780

Re: Market fluctuation in late 2008

the question to be asked is -- buying with what, there was no money to buy anything unless you had bailed out in 2007 and were sitting on a lot of cash not sure if this question was rhetorical but the answer is "by selling diversified assets that did not take a bath (e.g. bonds) and buying sto...
by tyler_cracker
Sat May 17, 2014 10:56 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Moshe Milevsky on Tontines"
Replies: 28
Views: 2950

Re: "Moshe Milevsky on Tontines"

permanent link:
http://wpfau.blogspot.com/2014/05/moshe ... tines.html

count me amongst the legion who can only define "tontine" because of http://archer.wikia.com/wiki/The_Double_Deuce.

"I can do baby, or I can do geezer murder mystery, but I can't do both!"
by tyler_cracker
Sun Apr 27, 2014 12:00 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Anyone have over 200 individual positions in their accounts?
Replies: 31
Views: 6991

Re: Anyone have over 200 individual positions in their accou

I find what works in the bedroom also works in my portfolio - three or four positions is fine, and anything beyond six doesn't add much to the experience... can we put this in the wiki somewhere? :D it's a little crass but i think it really cuts to the heart of the issue for certain demographics (e...
by tyler_cracker
Mon Apr 07, 2014 10:42 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Anyone else very reluctant to buy right now?
Replies: 124
Views: 14263

Re: Anyone else very reluctant to buy right now?

livesoft wrote:Uh-oh. Now that Grt2bOutdoors has bought, I want to cancel my exchange noted previously in this thread. But Vanguard won't let me!!


icwudt
by tyler_cracker
Fri Jan 17, 2014 1:24 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bogleheads 2014 Hedge fund contest
Replies: 160
Views: 17961

Re: Bogleheads 2014 Hedge fund contest

yeah i meant to delete this
by tyler_cracker
Sun Jan 12, 2014 12:48 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Callan periodic table of investments for 2013
Replies: 12
Views: 2843

Re: Callan periodic table of investments for 2013

johndoh,

i like your version with the black line :thumbsup

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