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Re: Vanguard expands to Hong Kong:

Pakistan?!

Next thing you know Vanguard will be offering a frontier fund. :P

Paul
by stratton
Thu May 16, 2013 10:52 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard expands to Hong Kong:
Replies: 3
Views: 494

Re: Muni Bond ETFs -- No Vanguard options?

Vanguard doesn't have a muni bond etf.

Ishares has several. MUB is intermediate and SUB is short term.

Paul
by stratton
Thu May 16, 2013 10:45 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Muni Bond ETFs -- No Vanguard options?
Replies: 4
Views: 433

MtGox’s (bitcoin exchange) Dwolla Account Seized by DHS

MtGox’s Dwolla Account Seized For Unlicensed Money Transmission The world’s largest Bitcoin exchange, MtGox, had its account with Dwolla closed down by the order of the Department of Homeland Security. The fact was first discovered on Monday when OKCupid cofounder Chris Coyne posted a screenshot of...
by stratton
Thu May 16, 2013 10:37 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: MtGox’s (bitcoin exchange) Dwolla Account Seized by DHS
Replies: 0
Views: 333

Re: Poll: FI appropriate risk premium

Don't assume that any individual municipal bond rated "A" that has a higher yield than the rest of the "A" credit rated bonds is really "A" rated. The higher interest rate is a signal it isn't rated "A" any more and should be compared to whatever broad credit ...
by stratton
Wed May 15, 2013 6:07 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Poll: FI appropriate risk premium
Replies: 7
Views: 427

Re: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available

If Vanguard is putting EM bond and stock funds in the highest risk category of "5", that seems like a signal to put EM bonds in the equity, aka high volatility bin, portion of the asset allocation.

Paul
by stratton
Wed May 15, 2013 6:04 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available
Replies: 75
Views: 4243

Red-Hot US IPO Market

The actual Index Universe story is about an IPO ETF, but I'm ignoring that part. Red-Hot US IPO Market ... what’s turning out to be one of the busiest U.S. initial public offering seasons in the past five years thanks to upward momentum in the stock market. So far this year, 64 U.S. companies have c...
by stratton
Wed May 15, 2013 5:49 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Red-Hot US IPO Market
Replies: 0
Views: 157

Re: Emerging market bond fund

http://i44.tinypic.com/2609b45.jpg Nice! 40% drop... no, let's not exaggerate... a 39.8% drop from 7/16/1998 to 9/10/1998, less than two months. In a "bond" fund? If Vanguard has both EM stock and bonds at risk level "5" then put both of them in the high volatility (aka stock) b...
by stratton
Tue May 14, 2013 10:33 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Emerging market bond fund
Replies: 9
Views: 904

Re: Andreessen: Regulation creating two-tiered market

Some of them are ETFs and closed-end funds. Those shouldn't count. We should also look at the size of the companies when they come to IPO, not just the number of companies. Are they becoming larger? I agree there are ETS and CEFs. Just digging through a few I seen a couple over a $1 billion and som...
by stratton
Tue May 14, 2013 10:28 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Andreessen: Regulation creating two-tiered market
Replies: 18
Views: 1107

Re: Has anyone who has done TLH come to regret it?

I took huge TLH losses in 2008-2009, and more on international funds in 2010-2012. This has allowed me to take $3000 off my taxable income every year, saving $750-840 in federal tax, and $238 in Maryland tax when I lived there through 2010 (7.95% tax rate). New Jersey does not allow capital loss ca...
by stratton
Tue May 14, 2013 10:18 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Has anyone who has done TLH come to regret it?
Replies: 29
Views: 1749

Re: Hussman: Now is one of the worst times in history to inv

It is very easy to create a successful active fund that beats the market. Here is how to do it: Step 1. Open a new mutual fund and randomly pick 10 stocks Step 2. Repeat Step 1 10 times Step 3. One or two years later close all underpeforming funds and keep those that have beat the market. Step 4. C...
by stratton
Tue May 14, 2013 10:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Hussman: Now is one of the worst times in history to invest
Replies: 51
Views: 6412

Re: Andreessen: Regulation creating two-tiered market

I call [nonsense-- admin LadyGeek] . There have been ~ 52 IPOs in 2013 as of May 14 . 10 in the last week. There is a flood of them queued up to IPO that have been on hold because of market conditions as can be seen by last weeks rush. And that's just for the NYSE. The link above will show a list of...
by stratton
Tue May 14, 2013 10:06 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Andreessen: Regulation creating two-tiered market
Replies: 18
Views: 1107

Re: How the Rich Play the Market

This article is written by Jason Zweig. He shows that the rich suffer from the same foibles as the non-rich. This article was not fairly ridiculous. He showed that adding layers of advisors and managers did not give the recipients of that advice any better performance or keep them from making behav...
by stratton
Tue May 14, 2013 5:16 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: How the Rich Play the Market
Replies: 6
Views: 1520

Re: Books that have actually changed your life, in a way.

Bill Schultheise's The Coffeehouse Investor.

First investment book I ever read. For sheer learning about the more rounded aspects of investing, Rick Ferri's All About Asset Allocation. Best book ever about explaining correlation.

Paul
by stratton
Tue May 14, 2013 4:36 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Books that have actually changed your life, in a way.
Replies: 149
Views: 8705

Re: Thanks, Bogleheads, from Bogle

I was one of those watching the Frontline episode and I found the example of what a 2% ER is costing me quite eye-opening. You can also view the higher expense as more risky because you need a lot more returns to make up for the fees. The following portfolios have approximately the same expected re...
by stratton
Mon May 13, 2013 11:27 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: THANKS, BOGLEHEADS, FROM JACK BOGLE
Replies: 39
Views: 4852

Re: NYT article on why Cooper Union ended free tuition

Reuter's financial blogger Felix Salmon has a couple of articles on Cooper Union which go into more depth. The tragedy of Cooper Union Are Cooper Union’s finances fixable? In reality, as Stewart never really explains, that “endowment performance” was entirely fictional — it was magicked out of thin ...
by stratton
Mon May 13, 2013 11:21 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: NYT article on why Cooper Union ended free tuition
Replies: 21
Views: 2070

Re: explaining the persistence of performance of VC funds

Not that it does your average investor any good to invest in venture capital. They can pick and choose who invests with them which means "not us." As someone in the tech industry I'm interested in which VC has invested with any company I apply to for employment. Now if I could get a job wi...
by stratton
Mon May 13, 2013 11:08 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: explaining the persistence of performance of VC funds
Replies: 1
Views: 346

Re: Time to lower bond durations?

Blues wrote:There's a current discussion here:

viewtopic.php?f=1&t=116234

And probably another 50 to 100 threads.

Paul
by stratton
Mon May 13, 2013 10:55 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Time to lower bond durations?
Replies: 2
Views: 497

Re: Historical Hedged International Bond Returns

Search on the index name limited to the web site of the company that manages the index.

Paul
by stratton
Mon May 13, 2013 10:52 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Historical Hedged International Bond Returns
Replies: 1
Views: 224

Re: When Equity Markets crash does divident yield decrease

What everyone is trying to say is, "Dividends are NOT forever."

Paul
by stratton
Mon May 13, 2013 10:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: When Equity Markets crash does dividend yield decrease
Replies: 26
Views: 1556

Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V

Dick Couch's:

The Warrior Elite: Seal Class 228
The Finishing School
Down Range

Former Navy Seal writes about the training over the first two books and Afghanistan in the next book and Iraq in "Sheriff of Ramadi" which I haven't read yet.

Paul
by stratton
Mon May 13, 2013 10:21 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V
Replies: 1443
Views: 200365

Re: Inflation-Protected SEC Rate - 05/03/13?

There is no SEC defined yield for inflation linked bonds. There is for NOMINAL bonds, but not TIPS.

It's indeterminate. Ishares includes the inflation portion of TIPS in the fund yield and Vanguard doesn't.

Paul
by stratton
Fri May 10, 2013 7:18 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Inflation-Protected SEC Rate - 05/03/13?
Replies: 19
Views: 1474

Re: Home Ownership May Actually Cause Unemployment (NY Times

Lots of papers on this topic. Donovan, Colleen and Schnure, Calvin, Locked in the House: Do Underwater Mortgages Reduce Labor Market Mobility? (May 31, 2011). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1856073 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1856073 The collapse of the housing boom led to an unpr...
by stratton
Fri May 10, 2013 7:08 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Home Ownership May Actually Cause Unemployment (NY Times)
Replies: 12
Views: 1449

Re: HAPPY BIRTHDAY MR. JOHN BOGLE

Happy Birthday Jack!

Paul
by stratton
Wed May 08, 2013 8:51 pm
 
Forum: Local Chapters and Bogleheads Community
Topic: HAPPY BIRTHDAY MR. JOHN BOGLE
Replies: 32
Views: 1401

Re: Vanguard vs. Fidelity

After looking at Merriman's Fidelity list I think I need to review their index funds again because it appears there is a bunch of new ones.

Paul
by stratton
Wed May 08, 2013 8:21 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard vs. Fidelity
Replies: 17
Views: 1936

Re: "Does a Bond Fund’s Yield Tell You Its Level of Risk?"

Yes, for comparison purposes ER plus SEC yield to get the "full yield" of the bonds in the fund. Of course, the underlying duration needs to be roughly the same.

Paul
by stratton
Wed May 08, 2013 8:16 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Does a Bond Fund’s Yield Tell You Its Level of Risk?"
Replies: 4
Views: 422

Re: Sources for new start ups.

Start searching on this web site.

https://news.ycombinator.com/

Paul
by stratton
Tue May 07, 2013 6:08 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Sources for new start ups.
Replies: 4
Views: 375

Re: LadyGeek -- the next 10K poster!

We can help LadyGeek get to the next 10K by posting everything in the wrong group. :P

Paul
by stratton
Tue May 07, 2013 6:01 pm
 
Forum: Local Chapters and Bogleheads Community
Topic: LadyGeek -- the next 10K poster!
Replies: 27
Views: 1657

Re: What's the alternative to a "stock's pickers market" ?

Nothing is an alternative to a "stock pickers market" because under every market condition I've ever seen it's a "stock pickers market" according to the brokers and pundits.

Paul
by stratton
Tue May 07, 2013 5:58 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What's the alternative to a "stock's pickers market" ?
Replies: 15
Views: 789

Re: How Would Mr. Bogle Calculate Expected REIT Returns?

Green Street Advisors has a chart they keep of REIT NAV premiums.

http://www.greenstreetadvisors.com/abou ... storical/n

Hit the "historical data" tab at the bottom of the page to see the chart. Currently we are at a 19.1% NAV premium. Long term average is 3.1%

Paul
by stratton
Mon May 06, 2013 10:59 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: How Would Mr. Bogle Calculate Expected REIT Returns?
Replies: 54
Views: 4257

Treasury closer to offering floating-rate notes

Treasury closer to offering floating-rate notes The government moved closer Wednesday to selling floating-rate notes for the first time. In a statement, the Treasury Department said it expects to sell its first floating-rate note sometime between October and March. The notes will have a maturity of...
by stratton
Sun May 05, 2013 10:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Treasury closer to offering floating-rate notes
Replies: 6
Views: 749

Re: BigMoney Jobs(high school student wants to be rich some

List of high paying college majors.

viewtopic.php?f=2&t=115566

Petroleum engineer is the highest starting out at $93,500.

Paul
by stratton
Mon Apr 29, 2013 11:24 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: BigMoney Jobs(high school student wants to be rich some day)
Replies: 102
Views: 6459

And The Highest-Paid College Majors Are…

And The Highest-Paid College Majors Are… Here’s the list of top 10 majors for 2013, with starting salaries: Petroleum Engineering: $93,500 Computer Engineering: $71,700 Chemical Engineering: $67,600 Computer Science: $64,800 Aerospace/Aeronautical/Astronautical Engineering: $64,400 Mechanical Engin...
by stratton
Mon Apr 29, 2013 10:53 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: And The Highest-Paid College Majors Are…
Replies: 1
Views: 620

Re: DEATH KNELL OF COFFEEHOUSE INVESTOR

In today's section (yesterday on east coast) the Wall Street Journal ran two different articles in the same C section on the demise of a 60/40 Coffeehouse-type portfolio. Bill, You'll have to come up with a "decaf" version of the Coffehouse Portfolio. On a different note, I really enjoyed...
by stratton
Wed Apr 24, 2013 2:15 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Death knell of Coffeehouse Investor
Replies: 30
Views: 4969

Re: Home Price Appreciation in Weak Economy

2. Real estate investor groups and/or hedge funds. These guys are coming into the market in highly foreclosed areas hard to scoop up discounted real estate for rental properties. Right now is probably the best investment environment for single family rentals in 20 years. Add in 10 year US Treasurie...
by stratton
Tue Apr 23, 2013 6:43 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Home Price Appreciation in Weak Economy
Replies: 47
Views: 3437

Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V

Expected Returns by Antti Ilmanen. Really, really good roll up on current theory with examples. Almost no math. Dense. If you've only read the Bogleheads guide this is not a good book for you. Read some of Rick and Larrys more advanced books such as All about Asset Allocation and Alternative Investm...
by stratton
Tue Apr 16, 2013 9:04 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V
Replies: 1443
Views: 200365

Re: Vanguard High Yield

I'm going to laugh the day that DFA comes out with a HY bond fund. Never say never, because advisers were shocked after DFA panned commodities and mid-caps and then found a few billion rea$ons to offer funds. I figure a HY bond fund is not far off. In Expected Returns by Antti Ilmanen in chapter 10...
by stratton
Tue Apr 16, 2013 8:59 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard High Yield
Replies: 139
Views: 7982

Re: Passive / Active Bond Funds

Vanguard's treasury, muni and investment grade bond funds are passively managed non-index funds. Yes, they have an "active" manager who tries to keep turnover and expenses down.

Paul
by stratton
Tue Apr 16, 2013 1:29 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Passive / Active Bond Funds
Replies: 8
Views: 841

Re: Sell Reno condo after recent price increases?

$4000 a year is a 16% return on $25K.

Paul
by stratton
Tue Apr 16, 2013 1:27 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Sell Reno condo after recent price increases?
Replies: 3
Views: 303

Re: B of A issuing credit cards with chips for travel

Chip and pin is coming to the US. MasterCard Pins ATM Fraud on Owners Thousands of ATM owners, from megabanks to mom-and-pop operators, could be on the hook for millions in fraud losses if they miss a deadline this month to upgrade their machines. The shift will come if the owners fail to meet an Ap...
by stratton
Tue Apr 16, 2013 1:25 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: B of A issuing credit cards with chips for travel
Replies: 43
Views: 2831

Re: Seattle: author reading by Bill Bernstein April 22

The Sorrento Fireside Room sounds good.

Paul
by stratton
Tue Apr 16, 2013 1:09 am
 
Forum: Local Chapters and Bogleheads Community
Topic: Seattle: author reading by Bill Bernstein April 22
Replies: 22
Views: 1486

Re: What does one TRILLION dollars look like?

A trillion atoms worth of gold = 10E+12 atoms = 10E+12/6.022E+23 = 1.66E-12 moles = 197 gm/mole * 1.66E-12 moles = 3.27e-10 grams = 0.000327 micrograms = 10.5 trillionths of a Troy ounce worth 15.613 billionths of a dollar. At current interest rates, how much would it cost for me to own a trillion ...
by stratton
Sat Apr 13, 2013 9:50 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What does one TRILLION dollars look like?
Replies: 25
Views: 1652

Re: iShares MSCI Frontier 100 (FM) [ER 0.79%]

not any overlap of top 5 countries in (FM) versus top 5 countries in (VXUS, VWO, VSS) By definition, FM is whatever isn't DM or EM. So there shouldn't be any overlap in countries if the FM fund is truly FM, and not just duplicating the funds that are already in your EM fund. A lot of the funds that...
by stratton
Sat Apr 13, 2013 9:43 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: iShares MSCI Frontier 100 (FM) [ER 0.79%]
Replies: 34
Views: 1858

Re: Seattle: author reading by Bill Bernstein April 22

Just to make sure everyone sees this. Also, the link to the reading states it is on April 22nd, not the 24th. The thread date appears to be wrong. Paul Let me know the correct date, Paul or Bill, and I'll correct the thread date. Mel, It appears to be April 22nd from the sponsoring bookstore web si...
by stratton
Sat Apr 13, 2013 9:04 pm
 
Forum: Local Chapters and Bogleheads Community
Topic: Seattle: author reading by Bill Bernstein April 22
Replies: 22
Views: 1486

Re: What is the lowest possible Expense Ratios could go?

There really isn't that much difference between 0.05% and "free." Once you get that low it starts turning into a rounding error. With that ER in an ETF the premium/discount or bid/ask spread is a bigger issue.

Paul
by stratton
Sat Apr 13, 2013 8:54 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What is the lowest possible Expense Ratios could go?
Replies: 26
Views: 1588

Re: What does one TRILLION dollars look like?

tylerherman wrote:What size mattress do you get for that kind of money?

One that acts as a hatch to your stash. :P

Paul
by stratton
Sat Apr 13, 2013 8:36 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What does one TRILLION dollars look like?
Replies: 25
Views: 1652

Re: iShares MSCI Frontier 100 (FM) [ER 0.79%]

not any overlap of top 5 countries in (FM) versus top 5 countries in (VXUS, VWO, VSS) By definition, FM is whatever isn't DM or EM. So there shouldn't be any overlap in countries if the FM fund is truly FM, and not just duplicating the funds that are already in your EM fund. A lot of the funds that...
by stratton
Sat Apr 13, 2013 8:33 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: iShares MSCI Frontier 100 (FM) [ER 0.79%]
Replies: 34
Views: 1858

What does one TRILLION dollars look like?

What does one TRILLION dollars look like?

Each little cube is a pallet with $100 million in $100 bills.

Image

Paul
by stratton
Sat Apr 13, 2013 8:13 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What does one TRILLION dollars look like?
Replies: 25
Views: 1652

Re: Seattle: author reading by Bill Bernstein April 22

bschultheis wrote:That sounds like a great idea. I'd love to hear Bill.

Let's find a coffeehouse nearby and connect an hour/90 minutes before the reading?

Let me know if you are interested, see how many might attend.

Bill

I'm interested.

Paul
by stratton
Sat Apr 13, 2013 3:53 pm
 
Forum: Local Chapters and Bogleheads Community
Topic: Seattle: author reading by Bill Bernstein April 22
Replies: 22
Views: 1486

Re: Seattle: author reading by Bill Bernstein April 24

Just to make sure everyone sees this.
boomergeneration wrote:Also, the link to the reading states it is on April 22nd, not the 24th.

The thread date appears to be wrong.

Paul
by stratton
Sat Apr 13, 2013 3:53 pm
 
Forum: Local Chapters and Bogleheads Community
Topic: Seattle: author reading by Bill Bernstein April 22
Replies: 22
Views: 1486
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