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Re: Buffett on bonds

There has been a lot of talk about an inevitable increase in interest rates, but much less talk about our governments ability to pay higher rates on our national debt. What is it now, 13 trillion and rising? That's what has me thinking rates are going to be very, very low for the forseeable future....
by stevewolfe
Sat May 18, 2013 12:50 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Buffet says no to bonds - recommends equities and cash
Replies: 66
Views: 5302

Re: Spotify Mobile: A great deal!

mike143 wrote:I just use Pandora ("free" ad supported). I don't know the name of many artist or songs so I have no desire for paid service. The ads do not really bother me. The visual ads are block via an ad blocker on my Android smartphone.


Second for Pandora.
by stevewolfe
Sat May 18, 2013 8:44 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Spotify Mobile: A great deal!
Replies: 14
Views: 988

Re: Is this actionable information about a fund?

If one of your criteria for buying this fund was that the manager owned significant chunks of it, then that has changed and you should sell. If you didn't care when you bought this fund if the manager owned shares or not, then it doesn't matter what you do. I purchased this fund 3 managers ago. At ...
by stevewolfe
Thu May 16, 2013 9:47 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is this actionable information about a fund?
Replies: 17
Views: 801

Re: Is this actionable information about a fund?

No, I would not sell the fund if it continues to meet your needs. The fact that the manager has little or no holdings in it should not be of any concern. Isn't it enough that his livelihood and occupation depends on his ability to outperform his benchmark? Think of it this way, the manager who by t...
by stevewolfe
Thu May 16, 2013 9:45 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is this actionable information about a fund?
Replies: 17
Views: 801

Re: Is this actionable information about a fund?

gerrym51 wrote:how old is David Giroux. maybe he's getting his finacial house in order for retirement.maybe he's going into more conservative investments


He's 37, sorry, I should've mentioned that in the original post. I'll add it.
by stevewolfe
Thu May 16, 2013 9:43 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is this actionable information about a fund?
Replies: 17
Views: 801

Is this actionable information about a fund?

Good evening, I've got a question about a specific fund that I hold, and have held for 14 or so years, T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation. We have about 25% of our portfolio in this fund. However, the question is about what I learned last evening on the Morningstar T. Rowe Price forum that I did not...
by stevewolfe
Thu May 16, 2013 9:25 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is this actionable information about a fund?
Replies: 17
Views: 801

Re: Expense ratio ceiling for boglehead?

It's 1.0%. We hold a total of 5 funds. The expense ratios are 0.72%, 0.51%, 0.15%, 0.10% and 0.05%. Between 401(k)'s we can't control, Roth IRA's, Rollover IRA's, taxable accounts - multiplied for me and spouse - 0.20% and 0.50% are pipe dreams for us (and I'd bet most). That said, our weighted expe...
by stevewolfe
Sat May 11, 2013 7:09 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Expense ratio ceiling for boglehead?
Replies: 39
Views: 1804

Re: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."

Not sure I understand the problem. Vanguard isn't a public interest group. It's a business. Vanguard doesn't offer bank CDs, bank savings accounts, savings bonds, stable value funds , or the G fund. I invest in the Vanguard Retirement Savings Trust Fund every 2 weeks in my 401(k). This is Vanguard'...
by stevewolfe
Sat May 11, 2013 11:28 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."
Replies: 50
Views: 3955

Re: Aftershock

Very good, nice one.
by stevewolfe
Thu May 09, 2013 3:21 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Aftershock
Replies: 20
Views: 1640

Re: What's the best dandelion killer?

Classic weed puller works best in my opinion. Then you can just put regular lime and fertilizer down. Weed puller.
by stevewolfe
Mon May 06, 2013 6:59 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What's the best dandelion killer?
Replies: 54
Views: 2687

Re: Your Move, Bogleheads: Advisor Finds DFA’s Returns Trump

We have one solitary DFA fund in our 401(k) - DFA Emerging Markets I (DFEMX). Again, in a 401(k) how does DFA inhibit performance-chasing behavior in participants? That's supposed to be an important part of their business model, isn't it? I just checked our plan rules. There are no specifically spe...
by stevewolfe
Thu Apr 25, 2013 11:16 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Your Move, Bogleheads: Advisor Finds DFA’s Returns Trump Van
Replies: 71
Views: 4628

Re: Your Move, Bogleheads: Advisor Finds DFA’s Returns Trump

We have one solitary DFA fund in our 401(k) - DFA Emerging Markets I (DFEMX).
by stevewolfe
Thu Apr 25, 2013 9:30 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Your Move, Bogleheads: Advisor Finds DFA’s Returns Trump Van
Replies: 71
Views: 4628

Re: WSJ: William Bernstein on bond allocation

I'm not seeing a change of course; my copy of his Intelligent Asset Allocator from back in 2000 has him recommending only short/limited term bonds. How, exactly, is this a change of course? I concur with the above... are we talking about the change in course being the approach to thinking of two po...
by stevewolfe
Wed Apr 24, 2013 6:54 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: WSJ: William Bernstein on bond allocation
Replies: 54
Views: 6155

Re: A Question for Folks Who Have Abandoned Slice&Dice/Tilti

Timely post for us... We've slowly been simplifying over the last 3 years. We're set on our percentage of equities and we bought all through the downturn (both 2008-2009 and 2000-2002). However, as our accounts have grown, and we've begun to rearrange things to be tax efficient (e.g., shifting CD's ...
by stevewolfe
Sun Apr 21, 2013 3:42 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: A Question for Folks Who Have Abandoned Slice&Dice/Tilting
Replies: 36
Views: 3309

Re: Total Bond Market or Stable Value (3.25%)

We are currently allocated as Vanguard Stable Value fund + I-Bonds + CDs + some bonds in T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation.
by stevewolfe
Sat Apr 20, 2013 12:38 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Total Bond Market or Stable Value (3.25%)
Replies: 23
Views: 2537

Re: VWITX(Intermediate term muni) vs I-Bonds

Let's say it was I-Bonds for a second, what would that mean for an investment made today? OK, now let's say it was VWITX, what would that mean for an investment made today? See what I mean? You can't invest in the last 10 years of returns, so I'm not sure that it matters which has had a better retur...
by stevewolfe
Sat Apr 20, 2013 7:48 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: VWITX(Intermediate term muni) vs I-Bonds
Replies: 8
Views: 1297

Re: How may I minimize premium/spread/impact costs with VSS?

Or... you can just buy VFSVX, the mutual fund version, and realize that it's probably a wash anyway between the spread, etc and the purchase fee. Yes, the ER is also higher, but it's been coming down over time as well.
by stevewolfe
Fri Apr 19, 2013 6:02 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: How may I minimize premium/spread/impact costs with VSS?
Replies: 15
Views: 763

Re: A nice talk about gold in ones portfolio

I noticed that too. Last week it was "Silver XXX for as low as $2.99 over spot" and today it's "Silver XXX as low as $4.99 over spot". Which isn't really spot because they post the bid and ask and always base their numbers off the ask... I did get a kick out of the banner ad &quo...
by stevewolfe
Mon Apr 15, 2013 7:44 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: A nice talk about gold in ones portfolio
Replies: 103
Views: 5829

Re: A nice talk about gold in ones portfolio

I am just a cave-man, but is the answer not obvious. Or is this a joke? Neither. The answer is non-obvious and I do not believe it was a joke. Take a look at the inflation adjusted return, for example, of gold from 1982 through 2000. You'd have been better off with a fist full of fiat money. Yes, t...
by stevewolfe
Mon Apr 15, 2013 6:47 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: A nice talk about gold in ones portfolio
Replies: 103
Views: 5829

Re: What is the lowest possible Expense Ratios could go?

I'd like to see another level after $10K but before $5M or $100M like some. Let's see a $100K or even $250K level with lower expense ratios. This makes sense to me. Just eliminate the investor class shares for indexes ($3k - $10k is too small a range) and add in a "Fleet Admiral" level at...
by stevewolfe
Sat Apr 13, 2013 5:22 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What is the lowest possible Expense Ratios could go?
Replies: 26
Views: 1588

Re: Varguard lowers ER's again

That's great news. There weren't a lot of changes this month. There is a thread here on it though: http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=114631&newpost=1667272.
by stevewolfe
Fri Apr 12, 2013 8:44 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Varguard lowers ER's again
Replies: 2
Views: 653

Re: Stacked up some more silver bullion today

So if there is a really bad day concept in precious metals, today (silver down 5+%) would be one of those days... Any buyers here today?
by stevewolfe
Fri Apr 12, 2013 3:03 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Stacked up some more silver bullion today
Replies: 37
Views: 4685

Re: ER Changes

I disagree. This price drop is likely related to the change in index (MCSI -> CRSP). So if they are going to make a change - even with very low frictional costs - I want to see a tangible benefit. In this case, the stated reason for the change was lower cost - so I want lower cost. If this was an ex...
by stevewolfe
Fri Apr 12, 2013 1:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: [Vanguard Announces Expense Ratio] ER Changes
Replies: 32
Views: 2294

Re: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds

" When yields go back to their historical average of 5.5%" In 10 years? Over the course of 5-7 years? A very likely outcome is extremely slow rate increases, in which case owning bonds works just fine. That 25% drop is just not a likely scenario at all. I'd tend to agree with the above. Y...
by stevewolfe
Wed Apr 10, 2013 9:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds
Replies: 122
Views: 9727

Re: Malkiel & Ellis Inventors of Indexing Warn About Bonds

Vanguard is telling us the total bond fund will be returning 1.6-something% for a very long time. Do you really understand what this means for savings you put in there now if inflation rises to 4% a year? If you do, and can accept losing that buying power, fine. If you don't, you really need to com...
by stevewolfe
Wed Apr 10, 2013 9:19 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Malkiel & Ellis Champions of Indexing Warn About Bonds
Replies: 85
Views: 6883

Re: Malkiel & Ellis Inventors of Indexing Warn About Bonds

So are you folks Flagship that you received this for free and us lowly Voyager and Voyager Select folks are left peering in the window sans book? :beer
by stevewolfe
Wed Apr 10, 2013 5:54 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Malkiel & Ellis Champions of Indexing Warn About Bonds
Replies: 85
Views: 6883

Re: Changing Alloc. Based On Bond / US Market Concerns - Adv

Nikor wrote:[Economic policy and political comments removed by admin LadyGeek]


None of this is really actionable to me and, is, at a minimum, highly subject to personal interpretation and opinion. It'll likely be removed by a moderator.

[Political quote removed by admin LadyGeek]
by stevewolfe
Sun Apr 07, 2013 6:31 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Changing Alloc. Based On Bond / US Market Concerns - Advise
Replies: 7
Views: 497

Re: 100% stock portfolio

I'm 41 and I'd caution against 100% of anything. Your current investment in Target Retirement 2040, with its 10% bond / cash position, is a little light to me on bonds. If you must do 100% stock, I'd go with 70% Vanguard Total Stock Market index and 30% Vanguard Total International Stock market inde...
by stevewolfe
Sat Apr 06, 2013 12:50 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: 100% stock portfolio
Replies: 65
Views: 4375

Re: What happened to all of the gold bugs?

They are just sitting back and collecting their dividends... er, wait... :beer
by stevewolfe
Sat Mar 30, 2013 10:27 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What happened to all of the gold bugs?
Replies: 57
Views: 4027

Re: Fuel oil bill of 2K in 2012

The implied physics of that are interesting. In the end, the energy to heat your house is = hours furnace runs x furnace rated output - heat loss Heat loss is proportionate to the difference between internal and external temperatures. So the colder the average temperature of your house, the more en...
by stevewolfe
Fri Mar 29, 2013 9:24 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Fuel oil bill of 2K in 2012
Replies: 43
Views: 1958

Re: EE vs I BONDs vs TIPS in Asset Allocation

I had been using I-bonds along with TIPS in my portfolio, however, last year, I sold all my TIPS and now hold only I-Bonds. With TIPS yields being what they are these days, I-Bonds, to me, are the clear favorite of the two. When TIPS yields rise, I'll reconsider them (using a strategy like Larry Swe...
by stevewolfe
Fri Mar 29, 2013 7:03 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: EE vs I BONDs vs TIPS in Asset Allocation
Replies: 3
Views: 442

Re: Fuel oil bill of 2K in 2012

In addition to the high price per gallon (I'm in central PA and the highest I paid over this winter was $3.69 a gallon), I think you might want to consider a different overnight temperature. We originally did a similar thing, set it to 60 at 10PM when we went to bed, then raise it to 68 at 4 PM befo...
by stevewolfe
Fri Mar 29, 2013 6:50 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Fuel oil bill of 2K in 2012
Replies: 43
Views: 1958

Re: Is "Age in Bonds" dead? (From "The Affluent Investor:")

I am one of those relatively rare birds that holds more than "age in bonds." (More accurately, I should say that I hold less than 100-age in stocks.) What drives me to this is the acknowledgement that the worst case downside for equities is close to 100% - coupled with the acknowledgement...
by stevewolfe
Fri Mar 29, 2013 3:33 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is "Age in Bonds" dead? (From "The Affluent Investor:")
Replies: 60
Views: 7565

Re: Vanguard's Official Position on Bonds as of 3/28/13

Maybe if we had kids, for example, but we don't. Everyone's circumstances are different.
by stevewolfe
Fri Mar 29, 2013 1:25 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard's Official Position on Bonds as of 3/28/13
Replies: 25
Views: 3853

Re: Which Bond Fund For My Taxable Account?

PA state tax rate is a flat 3.07%.
by stevewolfe
Thu Mar 28, 2013 7:57 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Which Bond Fund For My Taxable Account?
Replies: 7
Views: 800

Re: Vanguard Stable Value Fund fee increase!

The total expenses haven't changed. The expense ratio used to not include the insurance/wrap fee, but the new expense ratio includes this fee. https://institutional.vanguard.com/VGApp/iip/site/institutional/researchcommentary/article/InvComChangesSVExp Thanks for that. I asked that specific questio...
by stevewolfe
Tue Mar 26, 2013 10:52 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard Stable Value Fund fee increase!
Replies: 20
Views: 1968

Re: Vanguard Stable Value Fund fee increase!

Thanks for the replies. I agree regarding looking at the yield vs. SEC yield of the total bond market fund. I was just dismayed that this fund catapulted to (when including the cost of the wrapper) within 2 basis points of my most expensive fund. I *had* be actively reducing expense ratios and the t...
by stevewolfe
Tue Mar 26, 2013 7:54 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard Stable Value Fund fee increase!
Replies: 20
Views: 1968

Re: Vanguard Stable Value Fund fee increase!

Thanks Brandon for confirming the higher ER wasn't just in my plan.
by stevewolfe
Tue Mar 26, 2013 7:14 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard Stable Value Fund fee increase!
Replies: 20
Views: 1968

Vanguard Stable Value Fund fee increase!

I've just gotten off the phone with Vanguard and am a little stunned. The Vanguard Retirement Savings Trust (e.g., stable value) fund I my 401(k) was charging a 0.31% expense ratio as recently as the turn of the year. Today I checked and it's up to 0.51%. I called Vanguard and they confirmed the exp...
by stevewolfe
Tue Mar 26, 2013 7:01 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard Stable Value Fund fee increase!
Replies: 20
Views: 1968

Re: Vanguard vs. Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA)

He charges a 1% management fee, but he claimed that, historically, Dimensional Index funds outperformed Vanguards Index funds by at least 1% which would offset his fee. Many more knowledgeable than myself will answer about DFA vs. Vanguard as there have been many discussions here about this in the ...
by stevewolfe
Sat Mar 23, 2013 8:25 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard vs. Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA)
Replies: 21
Views: 1951

Re: Social Security Benefit Calculator [by T. Rowe Price]

Yes I think it's strange as it did the same, recommend I take spousal first, but then it did recommend I take my benefit at 70. Sounds like an intermittent issue.
by stevewolfe
Sat Mar 23, 2013 11:14 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Social Security Benefit Calculator [by T. Rowe Price]
Replies: 9
Views: 989

Re: Apple Stock - Seems great, right?

Shabber wrote:Who's in?
- Chris


I own some in TSM and T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation. No need for more than that. A lot of my friends are buying Android phones to replace their iPhones. We bought a Google Nexus 7 instead of an iPad. I'm not sold that they have a juggernaut that can't be overcome.
by stevewolfe
Wed Mar 20, 2013 7:51 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Apple Stock - Seems great, right?
Replies: 29
Views: 2274

Re: Why Style Investing is Active Management.

Not sure why you included NAESX in your reply, the question was between DFSTX and VSMAX, anyways.......... Bradley, likely he included NAESX (which is the investor share class of Vanguard Small Cap Index) vs. VSMAX (which is the Admiral share class of Vanguard Small Cap Index) because the former ha...
by stevewolfe
Sat Mar 16, 2013 5:06 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why Style Investing is Active Management.
Replies: 62
Views: 3083

Re: Why Style Investing is Active Management.

Securities lending revenue is reported in the Statement of Operations in the fund's annual report. Since I happen to have the report for the VG Total International Index fund handy, I'll look and see: Securities Lending revenue of 66,683,000 which compares to total expenses of 116,489,000. Edit: VG...
by stevewolfe
Sat Mar 16, 2013 1:36 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why Style Investing is Active Management.
Replies: 62
Views: 3083

Re: Why Style Investing is Active Management.

I'm also curious as to the transparency of the estimates above regarding items like income from securities lending, etc - how does an average investor gain access to this information?
by stevewolfe
Sat Mar 16, 2013 10:38 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why Style Investing is Active Management.
Replies: 62
Views: 3083

Re: Why is the market climbing so fast?

More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers More buyers than sellers...
by stevewolfe
Thu Mar 14, 2013 7:46 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why is the market climbing so fast?
Replies: 41
Views: 4616

Re: Stacked up some more silver bullion today

My copper bullion is the 95% Cu Lincoln cent. Weighs 0.1 troy ounce. Better % of species metal than the gold American Eagle ( 22 karat - 91.66% pure Au). Heck, if 91.66% pure trades like gold, then 95% should trade in my book. The American Eagle, while 91.66% pure still contains 1 troy ounce of pur...
by stevewolfe
Sat Mar 09, 2013 8:08 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Stacked up some more silver bullion today
Replies: 37
Views: 4685

Re: Why should young people invest in bonds at all?

I use maximum tolerable loss X 2 to determine my stock allocation - it's been printed in a number of books and was also Adrian Nenu's line here for a while... works for me. The 100 - age formula was too aggressive an allocation for me in my 20's. If it's not something you can stick with, it's not th...
by stevewolfe
Sat Mar 09, 2013 7:59 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Why should young people invest in bonds at all?
Replies: 77
Views: 5166

Re: I hit my number today.

Nice, congrats! Do you carry it with you? ;) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zbl_hzSiK8M
by stevewolfe
Wed Mar 06, 2013 8:43 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: I hit my number today.
Replies: 74
Views: 6788

Re: Pleated Pants Versus Flat Front Pants

No offense, but a wearer of pleated pants, other than with a formal suit, usually = old overweight man who hasn't bought pants in 10 years. You can get them cheap, though. For the last 5-10 years, every department store in my area has constantly had massive piles of pleated pants for 60-80% off lis...
by stevewolfe
Mon Mar 04, 2013 8:52 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Pleated Pants Versus Flat Front Pants
Replies: 45
Views: 2518
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