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Re: Is it possible to have a favorite movie

My favorites have varied over time, except for .... "The Adventures of Robin Hood" (1938) and "The Sea Hawk" (1940) because I loved them as a kid and love them still. "How Green Was My Valley" (1941) has always been a keeper. I had the good fortune to attend a Directors...
by steve roy
Fri Oct 17, 2014 11:31 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Is it possible to have a favorite movie
Replies: 82
Views: 3091

Re: Grand Canyon by rail

The wife, kids, and I took the trip that you're contemplating. It was an old-time, 19th century train that chugged to the north rim of the Canyon. It was around Christmas. We stayed in a local hotel overnight and had good weather. The scenery was spectacular, the air was crisp, and we all had a fine...
by steve roy
Thu Oct 16, 2014 2:20 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Grand Canyon by rail
Replies: 8
Views: 675

Re: Your personal risk level: Got your flu shot yet?

Tomorrow morning. Thanks for asking.
by steve roy
Thu Oct 16, 2014 12:23 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Your personal risk level: Got your flu shot yet?
Replies: 93
Views: 2961

Re: Do you rebalance now?

The Wizard wrote:Don't rebalance too quickly during downturns.
Every 5% down is fine...


I rebalance quickly because I'm still putting cash IN. I'm not selling shares of anything, so it's not a big deal. When I'm retired? 'Twill be a different story.
by steve roy
Tue Oct 14, 2014 12:24 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Do you rebalance now?
Replies: 17
Views: 1464

Re: Does your ROTH hold risky or stable items?

The Roth IRA contains Wellesley and REITS. Mostly Wellesley.

Two and a half years hence, it will contain (mostly) Vanguard Small Cap Value and the Wellesley will move to an IRA rollover account where there is more money with which to play.
by steve roy
Tue Oct 14, 2014 12:10 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Does your ROTH hold risky or stable items?
Replies: 56
Views: 3353

Re: which bond fund should I use?

Vanguard Intermediate Tax Exempt is my bond fund of choice in taxable space. Like the duration, quality and performance a lot.
by steve roy
Mon Oct 13, 2014 12:29 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: which bond fund should I use?
Replies: 7
Views: 724

Re: Does management tenure predict fund performance

Interesting. So John Hussman is able to keep his job running the Hussman funds because A) he started the suckers, and B) his name's on them?
by steve roy
Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:32 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Does management tenure predict fund performance
Replies: 1
Views: 236

Re: Gold: Is now the time?

If you want gold in your portfolio, then purchase gold. Forget about whether it's "high" or "low". I think you have to use the same rationale you'd use for any asset class: What's my investment strategy and what's my investment allocation plan? And am I underweighted in gold acco...
by steve roy
Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:19 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Gold: Is now the time?
Replies: 36
Views: 2295

Re: if you wouldn't buy Total Bond Market now, then when and

Following Larry Swedroe's advice, I purchase Vanguard Intermediate Term Bond Index instead of Total Bond.

The duration is a wee bit longer than I like, but I fix that buying a chunk of Vanguard Short Term Bond Index. There's a solution to everything.
by steve roy
Sun Oct 12, 2014 11:29 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: if you wouldn't buy Total Bond Market now, then when and why
Replies: 7
Views: 1542

Re: The Rise and Fall of Performance Investing

Great information, for which thanks. Makes me happy I'm on the indexing path.
by steve roy
Sun Oct 12, 2014 1:42 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The Rise and Fall of Performance Investing
Replies: 5
Views: 529

Re: Masters in business interview I did with Barry Ritholtz

I listen to RItholtz a lot, and enjoy him, but he ALWAYS jumps in.

Too much caffeine.
by steve roy
Sun Oct 12, 2014 11:42 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Masters in business interview I did with Barry Ritholtz
Replies: 13
Views: 1212

Re: What will you do during the next crash?

If p/e ratios plunge enough, I might ... emphasize MIGHT ... change my allocation from 70% bonds to 65% bonds.

But there's a 70% chance I'll stick with the 70% bond allocation.
by steve roy
Sun Oct 05, 2014 10:29 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What will you do during the next crash?
Replies: 63
Views: 4004

Re: What was your initial AA and how has that worked out?

I started, I guess, in my thirties. And did everything wrong. No particular asset allocation (I had no knowledge of them), but I did have a "financial advisor" who took 2% off the top and under-performed the S & P 500. (I was nothing if not crafty in those days). When I hit forty in 19...
by steve roy
Sun Oct 05, 2014 1:19 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What was your initial AA and how has that worked out?
Replies: 32
Views: 2496

Re: little help with Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund Adm

Would you be wanting to shift the money if Extended Market was performing as well as ... or better ... than Total Stock Market?

Don't fall into the trap of chasing returns, or, as William Bernstein says, "Skating to where the puck was."
by steve roy
Sat Oct 04, 2014 9:37 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: little help with Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund Admiral
Replies: 9
Views: 689

Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part VI

"The Entertainer -- Movies, Magic and My Father's Twentieth Century" -- Margaret Talbot Lyle Talbot's youngest daughter has written a book about him. (You DO know who Lyle Talbot is, don't you? He was an actor who had a loooong career, who spent a decade as Ozzie Nelson's next door neighbo...
by steve roy
Sat Sep 27, 2014 9:22 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part VI
Replies: 126
Views: 8595

Re: Overall Portfolio Check (and questions about extra cash)

Maybe you can ladder some Certificates of Deposit, get a bit more return that way. There's really no way to goose returns without increasing risk.
by steve roy
Sat Sep 27, 2014 12:55 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Overall Portfolio Check (and questions about extra cash)
Replies: 19
Views: 1138

Re: Is Now a Good time to Buy Bonds ???

William Bernstein advocates holding short-term bonds in the present environment. If you're worried about interest rates rising, holding Vanguard's short-term bond index would be a viable way to go. I hold a mixture of intermediate and short-term bond funds, for an average duration of 4.5 years.
by steve roy
Fri Sep 26, 2014 12:02 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Is Now a Good time to Buy Bonds ???
Replies: 19
Views: 1871

Re: Portfolio help please!

My disease is I overthink allocation and fine tune it more than I need to. Taylor Larimore has a strong point when he advocates setting your allocation and keeping it simple (three fund portfolio).
by steve roy
Mon Sep 22, 2014 12:44 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio help please!
Replies: 5
Views: 643

Re: Left tail portfolio - 70% bonds. Good idea?

I have about 70% bonds and I'm worried.......worried that bond yields are taking forever to start rising and giving me more income. Nobody wins if bonds stay where they currently are. Ditto! - I am also 70% Bonds and I have been hoping and waiting for Interest Rates to rise for about 5 Years Now. I...
by steve roy
Sun Sep 21, 2014 11:41 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Left tail portfolio - 70% bonds. Good idea?
Replies: 38
Views: 3224

Re: Portfolio help please!

'Twere me ... I would hassle the 401(k) managers to crank some low-cost index funds into your fund lineup. All the stuff they offer is way too pricey. (They might be covering Plan costs with higher-priced funds.) And since you're 41, I think you should raise your bond allocation a bit, maybe between...
by steve roy
Sat Sep 20, 2014 10:58 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio help please!
Replies: 5
Views: 643

Re: How do you keep your electricity bill low?

A roof full of solar panels. Works like a charm. But you have to own the right exposure to old sol (house on the right axis, minimal shade trees, etc.)
by steve roy
Thu Sep 04, 2014 2:13 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: How do you keep your electricity bill low?
Replies: 123
Views: 9399

Re: Does your employer still offer pensions to new hires?

Motion picture and television jobs covered by entertainment unions (Writers Guild, Directors Guild, IATSE, Screen Actors Guild-AFTRA) have defined benefit plans, as they have since the 1940s and 1950s. There are large, jointly-administered Taft-Hartley plans that cover a large percentage of these wo...
by steve roy
Mon Sep 01, 2014 1:28 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Does your employer still offer pensions to new hires?
Replies: 54
Views: 3928

Re: Why is my 401k and taxable considered "One Portfolio"?

I just think of my money stash as"My Assets". I keep money I need to access in the next few years in short term bond and money market funds, but I still consider it as part of my total portfolio asset mix of 70 % bonds/ 30% stocks. Tax deferred accounts or investment accounts, it's all one...
by steve roy
Sat Aug 30, 2014 1:03 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why is my 401k and taxable considered "One Portfolio"?
Replies: 37
Views: 2988

Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V

Re-reading Gore Vidal's "Lincoln" after a thirty-year break. It's about 85% history and about 15% fiction, with a lot of Vidalesque embroidery that makes it vivid and allows it to sing. Like it a lot. (I REALLY like Vidal's essays.)
by steve roy
Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:04 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V
Replies: 3372
Views: 1193735

Re: Starting a Lazy Portfolio Now

What Taylor Larimore said. But ... here's the important thing. Make a plan: It might be All At Once; Every Two Weeks For Ten Weeks; Every Four Weeks For Nine Months; Once A Quarter In A Twelve-Month Cycle. But make a decision about strategy, and then stick with it. And don't look back. Because if yo...
by steve roy
Sun Aug 10, 2014 11:59 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Starting a Lazy Portfolio Now
Replies: 21
Views: 3662

Re: Who or what inspired you and your investing approach?

Trial and error. The errors were driving me nuts. I had a smiling "financial advisor" who was earning less than the S &P 500 even as he was taking 2% off the top. And I was too thick to know that was a teensy bit exorbitant. So finally I fired the advisor. But then I got into following...
by steve roy
Sun Aug 10, 2014 11:56 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Who or what inspired you and your investing approach?
Replies: 93
Views: 4638

Re: Vanguard Star Fund Vs. Lifestrategy Moderate Growth Fund

Over the previous ten years they've performed in similar ways, with a percentage edge to STAR. The two get their results in different ways. Lifestrategy is a fund of index funds, and STAR is actively managed and twice as costly. Toss a coin and choose your path to riches. Or split the two of them do...
by steve roy
Thu Aug 07, 2014 1:27 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard Star Fund Vs. Lifestrategy Moderate Growth Fund
Replies: 2
Views: 692

Re: Reliability of stock data prior to 1939?

So when we analyze (and make investment calculations on) ancient stock data, we're basing it on guesstimates that might be wildly inaccurate.

Reassuring.
by steve roy
Sun Aug 03, 2014 9:58 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Reliability of stock data prior to 1939?
Replies: 14
Views: 910

Re: How Much Did You Lose Today?

The correction brought me back PRECISELY to my 70% bond/30% stock allocation. So no need to rebalance.
by steve roy
Fri Aug 01, 2014 10:25 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: How Much Did You Lose Today?
Replies: 166
Views: 15414

Re: Daily Telegraph: World War One Archive

I love this kind of stuff. When I was a kid, I went to the library and dragged out bound copies of LIFE magazine, and later, volumes of old Harper's Weekly back to the Civil War. They gave me a window on older, different worlds -- attitudes, cultural mores, what people considered important, etc. Old...
by steve roy
Mon Jul 28, 2014 12:33 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Daily Telegraph: World War One Archive
Replies: 115
Views: 9598

Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V

"Lincoln" by Gore Vidal. Read it thirty years ago, and it holds up. Covers the same ground as Ms. Goodwin's book on Lincoln, but Vidal is inside everyone's head (save Lincoln). What it highlights for me is that national politics has a familiar, recognizable through line. The political play...
by steve roy
Sat Jul 26, 2014 9:24 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V
Replies: 3372
Views: 1193735

Re: Please evaluate tentative plan for total portfolio overh

At your age, you should strive for simplicity and low costs. The Three Fund Portfolio would suit you. if you didn't have room for bonds in your tax advantaged space, you could go with VG Intermediate Tax Exempt.

There is always time to complicate things up later, when you reach Admiral Share class.
by steve roy
Tue Jul 22, 2014 10:07 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Please evaluate tentative plan for total portfolio overhaul
Replies: 16
Views: 1342

Re: Poll: Has your AA changed in the last 18 months

Nope. Same 30% stock/70% bond with small value cap tilt. No plans to change.
by steve roy
Sun Jul 20, 2014 4:57 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Poll: Has your AA changed in the last 18 months
Replies: 58
Views: 3793

Re: Income Property...in a different city?

We own a house in another city. We rent it now, with an expectation of moving into the place in three years.

We have a management firm that handles the rent collection. No problems, and they charge a mere $80 per month.
by steve roy
Thu Jul 10, 2014 9:27 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Income Property...in a different city?
Replies: 5
Views: 547

Re: POLL: How Old is Your Newest Motor Vehicle? -- REVISED

We have a 2003 Volvo S60, and three Saturn Vues (orphan cars!) -- 2003, 2005 and 2006.

We got deals on all of them.
by steve roy
Tue Jul 08, 2014 9:57 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: POLL: How Old is Your Newest Motor Vehicle? -- REVISED
Replies: 51
Views: 3152

Re: Help with AA and priorities!

The folks that run your plan seem to like high-cost options. Given your choices, I think what you've got is fine, but if it were me, I'd mount an uprising against the Powers-That-Be for lower cost index funds. I truly don't know what the fiduciaries for this particular line-up are thinking. (Actuall...
by steve roy
Mon Jul 07, 2014 1:35 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Help with AA and priorities!
Replies: 9
Views: 969

Re: Petition for Vanguard - Tax Managed Life Strategy

My suggestion would be to use the patented "Three Fund Portfolio," substituting Vanguard Intermediate Tax Exempt for Total Bond.
by steve roy
Fri Jul 04, 2014 8:02 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Petition for Vanguard - Tax Managed Life Strategy
Replies: 5
Views: 454

Re: POLL: Are You Re-Balancing?

Haven't needed to rebalance in a few years. Still at 70% bonds/ 30% stocks (value tilt). 6.1% annual gains over last sixty months ... and I'll take it.
by steve roy
Fri Jul 04, 2014 12:13 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: POLL: Are You Re-Balancing?
Replies: 70
Views: 5238

Re: 70 and need Portfolio Help First Post

If you want things simple, use Life Strategy Moderate Growth and Life Strategy Conservative Growth for tax advantaged money. Divided equally, they give you a 50/50 allocation. I doubt that you would have to rebalance very much. For the money outside of tax advantaged, dump expenses for the next 2-3 ...
by steve roy
Wed Jul 02, 2014 8:27 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: 70 and need Portfolio Help First Post
Replies: 6
Views: 629

Re: Vanguard - Energy Fund

I held Vanguard's energy fund for a lot of years, but don't anymore. My wife was in Vanguard's Precious Metals, but isn't anymore. I've found that when I invest in sectors, it's much easier to bail out of one under-performing fund or another, and harder to "stay the course." So now, on the...
by steve roy
Wed Jul 02, 2014 12:11 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard - Energy Fund
Replies: 31
Views: 4041

Re: Retired Bogleheads want to relocate to California

Just had a fifty acre wild fire two miles from our California house. First of the season.
by steve roy
Tue Jun 24, 2014 2:41 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Retired Bogleheads want to relocate to California
Replies: 109
Views: 7121

Re: Late starters: what age did you start investing?

Didn't get seriously started saving for retirement until age forty. What saved the family bacon was the Mrs. And I were in Taft-Hartley pension plans from our twenties. The wife intends to retire at 62. I'll exit the work force three weeks shy of my 68th birthday. We'll both take Social Security at ...
by steve roy
Fri Jun 20, 2014 9:01 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Late starters: what age did you start investing?
Replies: 73
Views: 5785

Re: vbmfx and rising intrest rates

The net asset value (the market price of older bonds) goes down, but you get higher interest payouts. Over a few years the two things balance out. Hang in for the length of duration and you'll be fine.
by steve roy
Sun Jun 15, 2014 12:05 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: vbmfx and rising interest rates
Replies: 11
Views: 576

Re: I cannot make the jump and retire

I can't count myself as a shining model for early retirement, but here's a couple that successfully did it:

https://sites.google.com/site/paulvicgroup/Home

http://www.retireearlylifestyle.com/pau ... erview.htm
by steve roy
Sat Jun 14, 2014 1:14 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: I cannot make the jump and retire
Replies: 73
Views: 8325

Re: Vanguard is number one!

Ah. Corporate acquisitions! That's the ticket!
by steve roy
Sun Jun 08, 2014 8:28 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Vanguard is number one!
Replies: 15
Views: 2337

Re: Car for a long daily commute

Having grown up in L.A. and Orange Counties, that is one miserable commute unless your Mrs. drives in off-peak hours. (Although the 405 is a bit better than the 5. I don't think Cal Trans will end the roadwork on the interstates during my lifetime. I am thoroughly sick of all the t-rails littering f...
by steve roy
Sun Jun 08, 2014 8:25 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Car for a long daily commute
Replies: 75
Views: 6343

Re: What are you doing with the market at an all time high?

Not a d*mn thing. I've got my asset allocation, and I'm sticking to it.
by steve roy
Sun Jun 08, 2014 7:29 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: What are you doing with the market at an all time high?
Replies: 95
Views: 6675

Re: Pull-ups and Push-ups

... I find the rowing machine which I have used on and off for several years to be a good all around exercise, if boring. Not only good for the back and shoulders, but also mimics (more or less) how we often have to work in real life. Lots of jobs call for reaching down towards your feet, grab some...
by steve roy
Sat Jun 07, 2014 9:48 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Pull-ups and Push-ups
Replies: 350
Views: 46460

Re: Why does rebalancing increase expected returns?

Look at this ...

viewtopic.php?t=477

Then look at the Wiki. That should help. Theoretically, rebalancing causes you to buy low(er) and sell high(er).
by steve roy
Sat Jun 07, 2014 8:55 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why does rebalancing increase expected returns?
Replies: 45
Views: 2471

Re: Pull-ups and Push-ups

I think many people who exercise regularly (and I've been in that category since age eighteen) ... a) Know what works for them, BUT b) Do too much of a good thing from time to time, because they desire to push the envelope and achieve some new "personal best." When I was thirty, I could do...
by steve roy
Sat Jun 07, 2014 12:09 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Pull-ups and Push-ups
Replies: 350
Views: 46460
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