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Re: REIT vs other sector funds for rebalancing

There must be an equal sector weight fund out there somewhere. First Google link: http://www.alpsetfs.com/eql-index.php
by rkhusky
Fri May 17, 2013 2:58 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: REIT vs other sector funds for rebalancing
Replies: 14
Views: 796

Re: Edward Jones to Vanguard?

If you really have an itch to move quickly and both accounts are for retirement, the simplest thing would be to transfer both accounts to one of Vanguard's Total Retirement funds, say TR 2040. A slightly more complex setup would be Roth IRA: $10K in Total Bond, $34K in Total Stock. Taxable: $16K in ...
by rkhusky
Fri May 17, 2013 12:56 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Edward Jones to Vanguard?
Replies: 22
Views: 1712

Re: Vanguard Precious Metals and Mining?

tc101 wrote:
Its over 90% international companies, so if you buy it count it as part of your international allocation.


Does that mean you should have it in taxable account because of the foreign tax credit?


You would also need to check out the percent of qualified dividends to make that determination.
by rkhusky
Fri May 17, 2013 12:32 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard Precious Metals and Mining?
Replies: 20
Views: 1336

Re: What to do with this 401(k)

I would suggest you have at least 20% or 25% in bonds. Good idea since MWTIX and MPGFX are higher risk than the corresponding Vanguard funds. For the 401k you could use: Metropolitan West Total Return Bond I( MWTIX), er = 0.42%, intermediate term bond fund, http://portfolios.morningstar.com/fund/su...
by rkhusky
Thu May 16, 2013 8:25 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: What to do with this 401(k)
Replies: 18
Views: 1199

Re: Two questions regarding online security

Most commercial-grade printers store digital images, which snoops can search through if they want. I doubt many office supply stores wipe the memory before scrapping them.
by rkhusky
Thu May 16, 2013 8:01 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Two questions regarding online security
Replies: 12
Views: 459

Re: 100% equities, anyone?

Rkhusky, I inherited a bond fund with a 14 year duration that some investment genius had put my parents into. A 2% rise in rates would cause a 28% drop in that fund. But a 3% rise in rates in some intermediate bond funds would also cause a 15-18% drop. Given that 5% was considered an insultingly lo...
by rkhusky
Wed May 15, 2013 3:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 100% equities, anyone?
Replies: 138
Views: 7561

Re: Cash versus bonds-Why not?

So this one is ~1.2% extra yield at least, not 0.5%... still, not sure if that's good enough to go from FDIC/NCUA with 1% early withdrawal penalty to A quality with 6yr duration... ? If you are going to need the funds in a couple years, you are better off with the CD. If you don't plan to sell for ...
by rkhusky
Wed May 15, 2013 3:09 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Cash versus bonds-Why not?
Replies: 50
Views: 3534

Re: Cash versus bonds-Why not?

I briefly owned the tax exempt HY fund last fall when it's NAV soared and then sank within a brief period. It was too volatile for me, and that volatility was a big piece of what got me researching how bonds work. I couldn't see the point of taking on that kind of principal risk for a yield less th...
by rkhusky
Wed May 15, 2013 3:06 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Cash versus bonds-Why not?
Replies: 50
Views: 3534

Re: 100% equities, anyone?

That may be the long term purpose of bonds, but if you put your eyes forward, instead of in a historical slant, it is very possible you could see the risk of loss from bonds (and thus the volatility) is almost as high right now as that of stocks. That is the main reason I say there is really very l...
by rkhusky
Wed May 15, 2013 1:17 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 100% equities, anyone?
Replies: 138
Views: 7561

Re: pay down 1.99% mortgage?

I tried to take out a 1.99% Penfed HEL last year, but things dragged out and fell through. How did it fall through? Things were slow last year, but most I heard about eventually finished. Mine took about five months , but some of that was my fault. Brian We had a HEL fall through a year or so ago d...
by rkhusky
Wed May 15, 2013 12:02 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: pay down 1.99% mortgage?
Replies: 30
Views: 1785

Re: 100% equities, anyone?

If you try to allocate your assets by looking back in history, you are destined to fall in the same trap as most active managers who try to out think the market. All you really need to do is invest in something as simple as the 3 fund portfolio listed on this board, which requires that you know not...
by rkhusky
Wed May 15, 2013 7:59 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 100% equities, anyone?
Replies: 138
Views: 7561

Re: Cash versus bonds-Why not?

Rkhusky, The return you are citing in the bond fund is worthless unless you sell the fund now, while the rate is suppressed as it correlates with the decline in yield. It disappears as soon as rates rise and you will be stuck with the lower rates. I look at long term gains with fixed income--5-10 y...
by rkhusky
Tue May 14, 2013 2:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Cash versus bonds-Why not?
Replies: 50
Views: 3534

Re: Short term munis

The only hitch might be if it's a teaser rate that drops to nothing in a few months. Exactly. My savings account now pays 0.03%. And watch out for CD's that have a flat fee for breaking early (years worth of interest) or have language preventing early withdrawal (only a few instances of this happen...
by rkhusky
Tue May 14, 2013 12:16 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Short term munis
Replies: 4
Views: 470

Re: Notice of valuation from assessor

Exactly right. There are lots of areas where property values went down, but corresponding tax rate increases were applied so that the total combined tax revenue stays the same. But if you're taxes actually went down, then just enjoy it until the county reassesses everyone again. I am glad that in m...
by rkhusky
Tue May 14, 2013 12:11 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Notice of valuation from assessor
Replies: 10
Views: 687

Re: pay down 1.99% mortgage?

By the way, if anyone is thinking of taking one out, it should be noted that the 1.99% rate is history these days. The best you can do from PenFed is 2.49%. Brian Glad I got mine a couple months ago. :happy The difference in interest calculation between the HEL and a mortgage threw me for a few days.
by rkhusky
Tue May 14, 2013 12:06 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: pay down 1.99% mortgage?
Replies: 30
Views: 1785

Re: VEA Vanguard numbers: can't reconcile

Probably a typo, since 1/0.066257 = 15.0927.
by rkhusky
Tue May 14, 2013 11:55 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: VEA Vanguard numbers: can't reconcile
Replies: 8
Views: 651

Re: Cash versus bonds-Why not?

The return on Total Bond was 3.47% for 1-year and 5.33% for 3-year. For those that jumped into CD's 1 year or 3 years ago, have you received equal or greater return? The return on Intermediate Tax Exempt was 4.62% for 1-year and 5.6% for 3-years. Did one receive after-tax return equal or greater tha...
by rkhusky
Tue May 14, 2013 7:52 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Cash versus bonds-Why not?
Replies: 50
Views: 3534

Re: For those who have TSP accounts, how often do you rebala

I mainly use the TSP to rebalance my whole portfolio. I rebalance somewhat frequently (1% bands) because I fear a big market move just after I do a large rebalance.
by rkhusky
Mon May 13, 2013 3:26 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: For those who have TSP accounts, how often do you rebalance
Replies: 15
Views: 733

Re: Cash versus bonds-Why not?

I think the best method is to retain options - have some money in cash and CD's and some money in a short term bond fund, but have most fixed income funds in intermediate term fund (or long term bond fund if time horizon is much beyond the average duration). One can then choose from where to withdra...
by rkhusky
Mon May 13, 2013 3:14 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Cash versus bonds-Why not?
Replies: 50
Views: 3534

Re: Cash versus bonds-Why not?

For me, that includes ST and IT bonds, mostly corporate. I know I will incur a capital loss whenever interest rates rise, but over long term should be ok unless interest rates really spike which appears doubtful considering tepid economy. If you hold the bond fund past the average duration, you wil...
by rkhusky
Mon May 13, 2013 10:00 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Cash versus bonds-Why not?
Replies: 50
Views: 3534

Re: 100% equities, anyone?

I buy mostly with new money since am in accumulation phase. My rebalancing bands make it so that this would be a rare event. As far as buying stocks on the cheap during bears unless you keep rebalancing, it always seems that they will go lower and it is not clear when to buy exactly. I remember tha...
by rkhusky
Mon May 13, 2013 8:05 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 100% equities, anyone?
Replies: 138
Views: 7561

Re: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."

Dandy wrote: For some people buying an EE bond may make sense but don't expect Vanguard or any other brokerage or mutual fund company to recommend it. They are not going to recommend products that they don't offer or offer but don't make money on.


Do you have evidence of this for Vanguard?
by rkhusky
Sat May 11, 2013 10:37 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."
Replies: 50
Views: 3955

Re: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."

These Vanguard links provide information on various fixed income options: https://personal.vanguard.com/pdf/s343.pdf https://personal.vanguard.com/us/content/Funds/FixIncOVContent.jsp It would be interesting to see an analysis of market timing fixed income, i.e. getting out of bonds and into CD's wh...
by rkhusky
Sat May 11, 2013 10:35 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."
Replies: 50
Views: 3955

Re: Bond bubble + Bnd total bond 80 percent turnover?

Morningstar says that average turnover for the category is 229%, so 80% seems rather small. Wonder if that is 80% of the bonds are turned over or 80% of the value in the fund is turned over?
by rkhusky
Fri May 10, 2013 12:33 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bond bubble + Bnd total bond 80 percent turnover?
Replies: 12
Views: 1630

Re: 100% equities, anyone?

I buy mostly with new money since am in accumulation phase. My rebalancing bands make it so that this would be a rare event. As far as buying stocks on the cheap during bears unless you keep rebalancing, it always seems that they will go lower and it is not clear when to buy exactly. I remember tha...
by rkhusky
Fri May 10, 2013 12:25 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 100% equities, anyone?
Replies: 138
Views: 7561

Re: 100% equities, anyone?

If we are in the accumulation phase, than we will continue to buy more shares during bear markets even as the rest of our portfolio drops. You only buy with new money? The advantage to having bonds is that you can buy stocks on the cheap during a bear market. On the other hand, with no bonds you do...
by rkhusky
Fri May 10, 2013 11:41 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 100% equities, anyone?
Replies: 138
Views: 7561

Re: Vanguard Security Issue (Can I Limit Fund Removal Option

I have seen several posts recommending having a separate email account for Vanguard or other financial sites. This would require me to check my normal email address and this special one frequently. Some suggest automatically forwarding from the special email address to the special Vanguard email ad...
by rkhusky
Fri May 10, 2013 8:17 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard Security Issue (Can I Limit Fund Removal Options?)
Replies: 10
Views: 790

Re: Vanguard Security Issue (Can I Limit Fund Removal Option

If you sign up for Vanguard's Voice Verification system, you can eliminate the possibility of someone getting into your accounts. https://personal.vanguard.com/pdf/c106.pdf?2210065141 Ed You can never eliminate the risk, just make it smaller so that crooks go after easier targets. This system is on...
by rkhusky
Thu May 09, 2013 10:36 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard Security Issue (Can I Limit Fund Removal Options?)
Replies: 10
Views: 790

Re: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."

It was suggested that Vanguard did not include CD's because they did not offer them. I responded that Vanguard did offer CD's. Therefore their exclusion must be for some other reason than Vanguard wanting to only promote their own products. How about this: Vanguard does not offer bank CDs (as I not...
by rkhusky
Thu May 09, 2013 7:58 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."
Replies: 50
Views: 3955

Re: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."

Then, by definition, you did not hold to maturity. You would have only held until default. Once a security matures, it can't default. Words have meaning, so when you wrote that CDs "don't lose principal when they are held to maturity," I assumed you actually meant maturity. But we've take...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 9:19 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."
Replies: 50
Views: 3955

Re: TARGET DATE funds for college savings plans?

The glide path usually refers to the percentage of stocks, so the steeper the glide path the faster the amount of stocks is reduced, which seems to me to be safer. No, if a steeper path meant arriving more quickly at the final allocation, it would be safer. But the date of the final allocation is f...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 9:11 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Target Date funds for college savings plans?
Replies: 14
Views: 603

Re: TARGET DATE funds for college savings plans?

Basic question:- How about having a combination of TSM and I-Bonds instead of 529 plans? How much are you going to lose this way? I see it gives a whole lot flexibility in terms of future planning. 529 earnings are tax free when used for education. If you get a lot of earnings, you could be losing ...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 6:19 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Target Date funds for college savings plans?
Replies: 14
Views: 603

Re: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."

No. See above. Calling a brokered CD a bank CD is silly and misleading. I call a CD a CD. I look at the terms, which can vary greatly whether it is from a brokerage or a bank, and the interest rate, when making my decision. If you meant to say that CDs do not lose value due to changes in interest r...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 6:09 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."
Replies: 50
Views: 3955

Re: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."

Not sure I understand the problem. Vanguard isn't a public interest group. It's a business. Vanguard doesn't offer bank CDs, bank savings accounts, savings bonds, stable value funds, or the G fund. I don't expect Mercedes to tell me the virtues of BMW, Honda, or Ford. I don't expect Vanguard to tel...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 4:45 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."
Replies: 50
Views: 3955

Re: TARGET DATE funds for college savings plans?

It's true that Vanguard is no longer starting Coverdells, which is unfortunate. There are other companies that can be used, such as T. Rowe Price. The steeper the glide path, the higher the risk. I cannot see that one should prefer a steeper glide path for funds that will be spent over 4 years than...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 4:32 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Target Date funds for college savings plans?
Replies: 14
Views: 603

Re: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."

Not sure I understand the problem. Vanguard isn't a public interest group. It's a business. Vanguard doesn't offer bank CDs, bank savings accounts, savings bonds, stable value funds, or the G fund. I don't expect Mercedes to tell me the virtues of BMW, Honda, or Ford. I don't expect Vanguard to tel...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 4:29 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."
Replies: 50
Views: 3955

Re: Vanguard Security Issue (Can I Limit Fund Removal Option

Doesn't the linked bank account have to have your name on it? To steal your money someone would have to set up a bank account with your name on it. And get your Vanguard username/password. And either get your secret question answers or spoof the Flash cookie on your computer or get access to your co...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 4:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard Security Issue (Can I Limit Fund Removal Options?)
Replies: 10
Views: 790

Re: TARGET DATE funds for college savings plans?

Vanguard Target Retirement 2015 has 55% stocks, TR 2010 has 42% stocks, and TR Income (most conservative) has 30% stocks.
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 4:13 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Target Date funds for college savings plans?
Replies: 14
Views: 603

Re: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held

There is no standard probability distribution, it's a binary system. You are right that the P(heads)=a, no matter how many heads were tossed before. Not sure what you mean. The value a is a real number between 0 and 1, that's not a binary system. I think you are confusing the binary value of a coin...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 4:04 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held?
Replies: 80
Views: 3200

Re: TARGET DATE funds for college savings plans?

Retirement is different than college. Retirement can last for 30 years. It is rare for someone to remain in college as a student for 30 years. Accordingly, a target retirement fund's glide path near retirement is probably too shallow. One wants a steep drop in equities a few years before entering co...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 3:51 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Target Date funds for college savings plans?
Replies: 14
Views: 603

Re: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."

Not sure I understand the problem. Vanguard isn't a public interest group. It's a business. Vanguard doesn't offer bank CDs, bank savings accounts, savings bonds, stable value funds, or the G fund. I don't expect Mercedes to tell me the virtues of BMW, Honda, or Ford. I don't expect Vanguard to tel...
by rkhusky
Wed May 08, 2013 3:39 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Reducing bonds? Proceed with caution."
Replies: 50
Views: 3955

Re: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held

I am flipping a coin and have gotten 10 heads in a row. What are the odds that I will get another heads? Depends on your prior assumptions about the coin. Before you flipped it, did you assume it was a fair coin? Assume P(heads)=a. Actually, I need more information. If you are certain that P(heads)...
by rkhusky
Tue May 07, 2013 4:09 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held?
Replies: 80
Views: 3200

Re: Having a renter deposit rent directly at bank?

I have heard of people setting up bank accounts for charitable donations. They publicize the bank account numbers.
by rkhusky
Tue May 07, 2013 4:01 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Having a renter deposit rent directly at bank?
Replies: 32
Views: 1600

Re: Dining out : Special requests

My wife works in a McDonald's. Someone once ordered a cheeseburger with no cheese. When McDonalds runs a cheeseburger special, it is sometimes cheaper to order a cheeseburger without cheese, than a regular burger. I knew a family, who were vegetarians, but whose children wanted to eat at McDonalds,...
by rkhusky
Tue May 07, 2013 3:50 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Dining out : Special requests
Replies: 52
Views: 2801

Re: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held

tadamsmar wrote:Your percentage loss on each bet will be constant, it will not get safer the longer you bet.


While the stock market is more complex than coin flipping, in a similar fashion the stock market does not get safer over time.
by rkhusky
Tue May 07, 2013 1:44 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held?
Replies: 80
Views: 3200

Re: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held

tadamsmar wrote:
rkhusky wrote:I am flipping a coin and have gotten 10 heads in a row. What are the odds that I will get another heads?


Depends on your prior assumptions about the coin. Before you flipped it, did you assume it was a fair coin?


Assume P(heads)=a.
by rkhusky
Tue May 07, 2013 1:28 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held?
Replies: 80
Views: 3200

Re: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held

I am flipping a coin and have gotten 10 heads in a row. What are the odds that I will get another heads?
by rkhusky
Tue May 07, 2013 10:32 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Do you believe stocks are safer the longer they are held?
Replies: 80
Views: 3200

Re: Multiple asset classes - will your portfolio outperform?

On this forum, we talk a lot about the three-fund portfolio, or a simple balance between stocks and bonds. Yet the Wealthfront FAQ says the following: Wealthfront employs eight asset classes in its retirement portfolio allocations, and seven tax-efficient asset classes in its taxable portfolio allo...
by rkhusky
Tue May 07, 2013 10:20 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Multiple asset classes - will your portfolio outperform?
Replies: 19
Views: 863

Re: Volatility harvesting - is this legit?

It is a simple illustration of rebalancing. A. Suppose you start with S and wager the entire amount. If you win, you have 2S. If you lose, you have S/2. After one win and one loss (the order does not matter) you are even. B. Suppose you start with S and wager half the entire amount. If you win, you...
by rkhusky
Tue May 07, 2013 9:15 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Volatility harvesting - is this legit?
Replies: 8
Views: 819

Re: Choosing Roth IRA vs TIRA - Are my Calculations Correct?

If you are not getting a tax deduction for the TIRA, it seems like a no-brainer to do a Roth. Even if you do get a deduction, there is a benefit to being tax diversified. Maxing Traditional 401K and Roth IRA is good.
by rkhusky
Thu May 02, 2013 1:44 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Choosing Roth IRA vs TIRA - Are my Calculations Correct?
Replies: 5
Views: 266
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