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Re: Are hybrid cars cost effective?

Are larger engines to provide better acceration or more comfortable interiors cost effective? I know that sounds like a strange question, but people are willing to pay extra for them. I find that hybrid cars are simply better cars to drive. The electric motor provides a degree of low speed control y...
by ourbrooks
Wed Jun 19, 2013 8:34 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Are hybrid cars cost effective?
Replies: 5
Views: 213

Re: Should My Parents Keep their Lousy Longterm Care Insuran

It sounds like both parents are moving into assisted living. Is this correct? Do they already have friends in the facility they want to move to, or is it convenient to visitors? If not, consider assisted living in a warmer climate. There a huge state to state differences in the cost of assisted livi...
by ourbrooks
Wed Jun 19, 2013 8:25 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Should My Parents Keep their Lousy Longterm Care Insurance?
Replies: 12
Views: 730

Re: Highlander Hybrid

25-27 mpg, about the same as other people report for a Honda CRV, which is a much smaller vehicle. The official rating is 28 city/28 highway. For
by ourbrooks
Sun Jun 16, 2013 10:01 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Highlander Hybrid
Replies: 7
Views: 672

Re: Highlander Hybrid

We've had ours since 2008. I still consider it a treat to drive. One thing to note is that it has very different performance characteristics than the Prius. It's tuned as much for performance as economy. The acceleration test numbers are quite comparable to the BMW X5 with the smallest engine. I lov...
by ourbrooks
Sun Jun 16, 2013 8:18 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Highlander Hybrid
Replies: 7
Views: 672

Re: Is 2% (1.8%) the new 4%?

Funny thing he should mention Wade Pfau. Wade Pfau has published a simulation study in which found that, in low interest rate environments, a combination of stocks and - drum rolll -fixed SPIAs was optimum [url]http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2151259[url]. No inflation adjusted an...
by ourbrooks
Thu Jun 13, 2013 9:43 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is 2% (1.8%) the new 4%?
Replies: 72
Views: 3642

Re: Bogle: Too Much In Bonds

Most of the time, when John Bogle says something, either there's an analysis behind it, such as the impact of fund costs, or other people have come along and done studies or performed analyses that later validate his initial statement. In the case of "age in bonds" though the support is we...
by ourbrooks
Thu Jun 13, 2013 8:58 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bogle: Too Much In Bonds
Replies: 112
Views: 8598

Re: Tax-Deferred = No Cap Gains benefits?

Look at the formulas mhc posted.

In a nutshell, if the money is taxed first, you start out with less money to invest. Over longer investment periods, starting with more money more than makes up for the difference in tax rates when you take it out.
by ourbrooks
Thu Jun 13, 2013 12:25 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Tax-Deferred = No Cap Gains benefits?
Replies: 18
Views: 820

Re: What to do about in-law issues...

How about a reverse mortage on the house? There are reverse mortgage which provide lifetime payments; if he's in his 80s, they might get more money out with the lifetime payments than with a fixed number of payments. This is probably a more expensive solution than selling the house and buying the an...
by ourbrooks
Wed Jun 12, 2013 1:49 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What to do about in-law issues...
Replies: 49
Views: 3944

Re: Best way to send a fax from a computer

The Trendnet fax modem costs about $25. It does require that you have a hardwired telephone line to connect it to.
by ourbrooks
Mon Jun 10, 2013 9:18 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Best way to send a fax from a computer
Replies: 35
Views: 2453

Re: Is 3% the new 4%

Here's an analysis of why 4% might be too high in the future: http://corporate.morningstar.com/us/documents/targetmaturity/LowBondYieldsWithdrawalRates.pdf Make sure that you're interpreting the 4% guidelines correctly. That percentage is for the first year amount only; after that, the amount is adj...
by ourbrooks
Sun Jun 09, 2013 4:39 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is 3% the new 4%
Replies: 148
Views: 8395

Re: Are safe bonds safe enough & why wait on SPIA Annuity?

Tis true, many on this forum believe that you should wait until after age 70 to start an annuity and that you should hold bonds in your portfolio to dampen volatility. More recent research questions this advice. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2151259 This paper argues that fixed ...
by ourbrooks
Sat Jun 08, 2013 2:56 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Are safe bonds safe enough & why wait on SPIA Annuity?
Replies: 26
Views: 2199

Re: Need some help picking thru a barrel of rotten apple fun

Get more information about the INVESCO stable value fund. Usually, the returns on these funds are quoted net of expenses, so 3% really is 3%. Often, stable value funds are a good deal. For reasons, having to do with how they actually earn money, they are only found inside of retirement and savings p...
by ourbrooks
Fri Jun 07, 2013 9:57 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Need some help picking thru a barrel of rotten apple funds
Replies: 21
Views: 1036

Re: Count social security towards your bond allocatiion?

Let me put in my $2.50 worth. (It used to be two bits, but I had to adjust for inflation.) The safe (?) withdrawal rate studies in the Wiki show that a 4% withdrawal rate can sustained with a high probability of success with portfolios ranging between 30% and 70% equities. Going both higher and lowe...
by ourbrooks
Fri Jun 07, 2013 9:19 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Count social security towards your bond allocatiion?
Replies: 65
Views: 3350

Re: Portfolio Review: (VTHRX) Vanguard 2030 is outperforming

1. U.S. debt and monetary policy are no secret. Other investors know about them, too. Many of them have even read the same books. If they believed what you believe, they'd have bought what you bought and your commodities and gold would be reaching new highs. What do you know that they don't know and...
by ourbrooks
Fri Jun 07, 2013 7:31 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio Review: (VTHRX) Vanguard 2030 is outperforming me
Replies: 20
Views: 1597

Re: NAV vs ETF stock price

I just noticed that one of the ETFs being asked about is an international ETF. That makes the NAV calculation even more complicated. Many large companies trade their stock on multiple exchanges in multiple currencies; Toyota trades on the Tokoyo stock exchange in yen, the London exchange in British ...
by ourbrooks
Thu Jun 06, 2013 8:28 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: NAV vs ETF stock price
Replies: 5
Views: 414

Re: LT bond vs annuity

The OP will, in fact, be getting zero investment return on his bonds because he intends to spend all of the interest. The value of his bond holdings in ten years will depend only on whether interest rates are higher or lower than when he purchased the bonds and there's no way to predict which it wil...
by ourbrooks
Wed Jun 05, 2013 10:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: LT bond vs annuity
Replies: 18
Views: 664

Re: LT bond vs annuity

To a first approximation, the Vanguard long term bond fund pays about 4% right now. If interest rates rise, but the amount of money you get will stay the same, because the value of the bonds will drop. (There are additional issues because the bond fund is constantly selling bonds whose maturity has ...
by ourbrooks
Wed Jun 05, 2013 6:34 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: LT bond vs annuity
Replies: 18
Views: 664

Re: Vanguard Stable Value Fund

Stable value funds often (but not exclusively) work by buying long term bonds and holding them to maturity. They report the maturity values of the bonds, not the current market values, so account balances are never reported as dropping due to market movements. What lets them get away with this is be...
by ourbrooks
Tue Jun 04, 2013 2:27 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard Stable Value Fund
Replies: 4
Views: 770

Re: When to consider buying long-term care insurance?

If it's the part of how insurance works, I'll gladly give you a reference to a textbook on insurance. As for the state of the LTCi industry, how about http://www.longtermcarelink.net/eldercare/long_term_care_insurance.htm#overview ? If it's exact statistics you want on the ages when people buy cover...
by ourbrooks
Sat Jun 01, 2013 5:40 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: When to consider buying long-term care insurance?
Replies: 64
Views: 4006

Re: When to consider buying long-term care insurance?

The big problem with LTCi is that the financial underpinings are shaky at best. Here's the problem: It's insurance from insurance companies. This means that they need to take in enough in premiums to cover the cost of claims. If a lot of people need the money from their policies, either the insuranc...
by ourbrooks
Sat Jun 01, 2013 4:30 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: When to consider buying long-term care insurance?
Replies: 64
Views: 4006

Re: One doc's interesting revolt against the payment system

Hospitals are the largest category of health care costs, accounting for 31% of expenditures; physician services come in second place with 20%; drugs are in third place with 10%. http://sciencetoprofitsblog.com/2012/03/19/top-healthcare-cost-categories/ One of the big problems in U.S. health care is ...
by ourbrooks
Thu May 30, 2013 10:15 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: One doc's interesting revolt against the payment system
Replies: 65
Views: 5203

Re: One doc's interesting revolt against the payment system

There appear to be a number of doctors doing this. Another name for it is "boutique" medical care. Like other boutiques, you pay more for personalized service. In fact, the medical practice in the link makes no promise or guarentee that your medical care will cost less; one of the reasons ...
by ourbrooks
Thu May 30, 2013 2:07 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: One doc's interesting revolt against the payment system
Replies: 65
Views: 5203

Re: TrueCrypt question

As Quickfoot points out, you can use Truecrypt to create a virtual volume inside a single file in the file system, without encrypting the entire disk. This has the advanatage that you can copy the file containing the virtual volume to another device, such as a thumb drive. Then, if find that after t...
by ourbrooks
Wed May 29, 2013 8:13 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: TrueCrypt question
Replies: 21
Views: 1862

Re: Where to backup /Save sensitive information; Google Driv

I never did offsite storage until two summers ago there was a major fire in our area. Many people were away at work and didn't make it home before their houses burned. They didn't have much luck with the melted hard drives. Another good candidate for cloud storage is Amazon S3. Unlike Google Drive, ...
by ourbrooks
Tue May 28, 2013 1:33 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Where to backup /Save sensitive information; Google Drive ?
Replies: 51
Views: 2990

Re: Age 30 & 27, % in Bonds?

If all you're interested in is maximizing your return, 100% stocks is the way to go. About about 10% bonds, overall returns are lower, rebalancing or not. If you hold any bonds at all, at any age, it must be because you're interested in reducing volatility. Stocks go up and down a lot and that might...
by ourbrooks
Mon May 27, 2013 5:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Age 30 & 27, % in Bonds?
Replies: 7
Views: 880

Re: When to consider buying long-term care insurance?

Long term care coverage is like car insurance; you have to pay continously to keep the policy in force. The longer you pay without making a claim, the more money the insurance company gets to cover claims. That's why the cost rises as you get older; you're likely to pay for less time before you make...
by ourbrooks
Sun May 26, 2013 5:44 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: When to consider buying long-term care insurance?
Replies: 64
Views: 4006

Re: Help with my 81 Year old Mother's portfolio

I'd be worried. You are withdrawing more than 10% a year from Trust 2; if Mother lives 10 more years, it'll run out. If interest rates rise or the stock market drops, it won't even last that long. You can't afford to take any risk with that money, not even the Target Retirement fund. An SPIA, bought...
by ourbrooks
Sun May 26, 2013 11:08 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Help with my 81 Year old Mother's portfolio
Replies: 18
Views: 1196

Re: Help with my 81 Year old Mother's portfolio

+1 on the SPIA. If Trust 2 were converted to an SPIA, at her age, it would provide more income than she's getting now and the payments will continue for as long as she lives, even if it's for 20 more years.
by ourbrooks
Sat May 25, 2013 7:53 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Help with my 81 Year old Mother's portfolio
Replies: 18
Views: 1196

Re: Long term care insurance

The basic problem I have with LTC insurance is that I can't figure out a business model for it that could possibly keep rates constant over a long period of time. If payout amounts are increasing 5% a year, then the insurance company has to come up with 5% more money each year. Possibly, they have w...
by ourbrooks
Sat May 25, 2013 7:33 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Long term care insurance
Replies: 33
Views: 1104

Re: Long term care insurance

Let me repeat: AARP is not offering LTC coverage with a lifetime benefit; in fact, as of June 1, they are not offering LTC coverage of any kind. AARP used to offer LTC through Genworh Financial; as of June 1, 2013, they no longer will offer it. In fact, I'm pretty sure that no one offers lifetime co...
by ourbrooks
Sat May 25, 2013 7:21 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Long term care insurance
Replies: 33
Views: 1104

Re: $200,000 windfall

The long term average real return of the market has been 8% but there have been periods of nearly 20 years over which it took a loss. The market loses money in about 40% of five year periods. How would you have felt in March, 2009 when your $200,000 investment made five years before was down to $120...
by ourbrooks
Sat May 25, 2013 6:07 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: $200,000 windfall
Replies: 41
Views: 3230

Re: Long term care insurance

AARP used to offer LTC through Genworh Financial; as of June 1, 2013, they no longer will offer it. In fact, I'm pretty sure that no one offers lifetime coverage with increasing payouts and a fixed premium any more. To do that, insurance companies would have to be able to invest premiums at a rate o...
by ourbrooks
Sat May 25, 2013 5:31 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Long term care insurance
Replies: 33
Views: 1104

Re: $200,000 windfall

Strongly consider paying off the mortage now. Bonds are currenly paying less than the 3.75% you're paying on the mortgage so for it to make sense to keep the mortgage, you'd need a portfolio with lots of stocks. If your husband has another heart attack and can't work any more, the stock market might...
by ourbrooks
Sat May 25, 2013 5:09 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: $200,000 windfall
Replies: 41
Views: 3230

Re: rmd and pension election decision

If he does roll the $650,000 over, then it will be subject to RMDs. From the point of view of tax considerations, the two alternatives have the following effect: 1. Part of the annuity payments will show up as annual income. The amount that shows up each year will be proportional to the OP's life ex...
by ourbrooks
Sat May 25, 2013 4:52 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: rmd and pension election decision
Replies: 33
Views: 1743

Re: Portfolio for mother's savings

How interested is she/you in leaving a legacy? If the answer is that you'd rather she spend the money while she is alive, then consider a single premium immediate annuity (SPIA). It will pay out as long as she lives but no longer. Since dementia does reduce life expectancy, you might be able to get ...
by ourbrooks
Sat May 25, 2013 4:26 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio for mother's savings
Replies: 8
Views: 633

Re: rmd and pension election decision

Talk to your tax man again. Unless your pension is somehow funded entirely with post tax dollars, you'll pay taxes on all or most of the lump sum distribution. http://www.irs.gov/taxtopics/tc412.html The only way to avoid the taxes is to roll the money over into an IRA and then do RMDs. Taxes on $65...
by ourbrooks
Sat May 25, 2013 2:14 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: rmd and pension election decision
Replies: 33
Views: 1743

Re: please help with mothers retirement plan (lack of)

How about trying to pay off her mortgage? She probably doesn't have enough to do that all at once and still have an adequate emergency reservce, but if she can do that over the next few years, it'll get rid of a major expense when she retires.. She'll have to make more than 4% in a Roth in order to ...
by ourbrooks
Fri May 24, 2013 6:58 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: please help with mothers retirement plan (lack of)
Replies: 17
Views: 785

Re: Advice on Highlander/Odyssey purchase

If you are in the position to be considering a minivan, it is time you give up any illusions of being cool. Diapers, vomit, boogers etc. I was expecting this kind of inane comment. I've never figured out why inefficient (in terms of weight, size, fuel mileage, etc.) SUVs are considered to be "...
by ourbrooks
Fri May 24, 2013 1:39 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Advice on Highlander/Odyssey purchase
Replies: 44
Views: 2285

Re: Advice on Highlander/Odyssey purchase

If you live or are traveling to hilly country, get the Highlander Hybrid if you can afford it. Forget about gas mileage savings; instead, think about moving into parking places on hills. With just the internal combustion engine, it's always touchy. Too little gas and the car won't move up the hill; ...
by ourbrooks
Thu May 23, 2013 6:18 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Advice on Highlander/Odyssey purchase
Replies: 44
Views: 2285

Re: Treasury Bills only in retirement

If you're just worried about inflation, 5 year Treasury bills are a good bet. They tend to follow interest rates, which tend to follow inflation. Of course, their real return is about zero. The problem with any longer term bond is that it represents the market's best guess as to inflation going forw...
by ourbrooks
Thu May 23, 2013 9:34 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Treasury Bills only in retirement
Replies: 14
Views: 1001

Re: Bogle on Soc Sec/Fixed Income and Asset Allocation

By the way, except for John Bogle saying it, there's absolutely no other evidence that "age in bonds" or any other glidepath makes you safer!! If you look at the "safe withdrawal rate" studies in the Wiki, you achieve the highest safe withdrawal rates with between 30% and 70% sto...
by ourbrooks
Thu May 23, 2013 9:30 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bogle on Soc Sec/Fixed Income and Asset Allocation
Replies: 28
Views: 1790

Re: Bogle on Soc Sec/Fixed Income and Asset Allocation

Here's a link to an earlier thread. [url][url]http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=99826&f=10[/url][/url] Yup, he really does say to include the present value of Social Security and pensions. Of course, now that interest rates are lower, Social Security is worth more. Using data from ...
by ourbrooks
Thu May 23, 2013 9:26 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bogle on Soc Sec/Fixed Income and Asset Allocation
Replies: 28
Views: 1790

Re: College costs, anyone else spit coffee on their monitor?

Alas, the real cause of the rise in college tuition is simple to understand; between the 1970's and today, the number of students attending college has increased by a factor of 3! That means 3 times as many classrooms, 3 times as many professors, 5 times as many parking spaces, etc. If you factor in...
by ourbrooks
Thu May 16, 2013 2:36 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: College costs, anyone else spit coffee on their monitor?
Replies: 151
Views: 9574

Re: Single and Social Security decision

The OP wrote. When I ran Firecalc, there was advantage in the modeling for taking the benefit earlier. If the OP ran Firecalc correctly and the Firecalc output showed advantage in taking SS early given these extremely low current real interest rates, then Firecalc should not be used for retirement ...
by ourbrooks
Wed May 15, 2013 5:35 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Single and Social Security decision
Replies: 52
Views: 2226

Re: Single and Social Security decision

The OP wrote. When I ran Firecalc, there was advantage in the modeling for taking the benefit earlier. If the OP ran Firecalc correctly and the Firecalc output showed advantage in taking SS early given these extremely low current real interest rates, then Firecalc should not be used for retirement ...
by ourbrooks
Wed May 15, 2013 1:42 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Single and Social Security decision
Replies: 52
Views: 2226

Re: Single and Social Security decision

When you compare investments with delaying Social Security, be sure you use comparably safe investments. You can't really compare to stock returns, since stocks have had negative returns in 40% of five year periods; you might to decide to take Social Security early only to discover than rather than ...
by ourbrooks
Tue May 14, 2013 10:06 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Single and Social Security decision
Replies: 52
Views: 2226

Re: Andreessen: Regulation creating two-tiered market

I would expect the trend to lead to index funds doing better and active funds having a harder time. The more that is known publically about company, the less chance there is for people to be able to take advantage of imperfect information. Securities which don't trade publically and don't have to me...
by ourbrooks
Tue May 14, 2013 9:57 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Andreessen: Regulation creating two-tiered market
Replies: 18
Views: 1155

Re: Quick question about withdrawing retirement assets

1. All of the "safe" widthdrawal rates studies have been done with fixed allocations, with annual rebalancing. If you do a glidepath strategy, such as age in bonds, you're on your own for figuring out the withdrawal rate. 2. Believe it or not, there's some evidence that a "bonds first...
by ourbrooks
Tue May 14, 2013 5:27 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Quick question about withdrawing retirement assets
Replies: 13
Views: 1369

Re: Social Security Initiation Age

Before you do anything, have someone else review your calculations, particularly if you use a software spreadsheet. If Prof. Reinhardt and Rogert can make a mistake in a published book, you probably aren't immune. I did the calcuations two different ways, one with a spreadsheet and one with a retire...
by ourbrooks
Mon May 13, 2013 7:23 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Social Security Initiation Age
Replies: 65
Views: 3108

Re: Wood finish for furniture - need recommendation.

There are two different kinds of water based finishes for wood floors: non-catalyzed and ones to which you have to add the catalyst before using the finish. Most home ownders use the former kind because it's less complicated but the catalyzed ones are reputed to be even better than oil based finishe...
by ourbrooks
Fri May 10, 2013 6:32 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Wood finish for furniture - need recommendation.
Replies: 9
Views: 565
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