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Re: Do you pay for access to www.nytimes.com ?

My taxes, local and state, support the public library system, which in turn gives me no-cost online access to numerous databases which happen to include full-text access to The New York Times from 1985 through today.
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 6:35 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Do you pay for access to www.nytimes.com ?
Replies: 4
Views: 80

Re: Refusing to pay doctor bill, consequences

"Fictitious price" and "real price" are probably not good terms, but I'll use them anyway. One of the big problems with things as they are is the extreme spread between the fictitious price that appears on the bill, and the real price(s) that insurers pay. Now, mind you, none of ...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 6:24 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Refusing to pay doctor bill, consequences
Replies: 37
Views: 1355

Re: Emerging markets bonds: what happened in 1998?

[A] book explains how by converting your dollars to pesos you can earn 12% on your savings in Mexico instead of 5-1/2% here.... the author reassures, the peso is one of the stablest currencies in the world, having been pegged at a fixed rate to the dollar for 21 years, and the Mexican government ha...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 5:07 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging markets bonds: what happened in 1998?
Replies: 12
Views: 344

Re: Refusing to pay doctor bill, consequences

I am not sure what is the best strategy, but I am pretty sure that simply not paying is the worst. Good, bad, or indifferent, you want to stay in communication, and you want to have a paper trail that shows that you are not just a pure deadbeat and that you are not simply ignoring a bill that you do...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 3:58 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Refusing to pay doctor bill, consequences
Replies: 37
Views: 1355

Re: The trickiest question?

Bull market talk, absolutely. Look, I can only speak for myself but my allocation was pretty darn conservative in 2008-2009, in fact I thought it was probably too conservative and was starting to think maybe I should goose it up just a bit. But when it hit the fan, I found that I had gauged my risk ...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 3:39 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The trickiest question?
Replies: 21
Views: 1241

Re: Emerging markets bonds: what happened in 1998?

Nisi, an interesting one to plot would be VUSTX (long Treasury). On Vanguard I find it had a total return of 13% in 1998, but I couldn't find more detailed data. Did it in fact experience a flight to quality during the crisis? Those charts I'm always posting aren't anything special, anyone can do t...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 3:27 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging markets bonds: what happened in 1998?
Replies: 12
Views: 344

Re: Emerging markets bonds: what happened in 1998?

Similar authorities are also endorsing high-yielding equities as an income alternative (to conventional bonds) as well, and we all know how poorly those did even more recently. Ain't it the truth? But 2008-2009 are fresh in my memory because, um, I had significant stock investments then (and how). ...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 3:09 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging markets bonds: what happened in 1998?
Replies: 12
Views: 344

Emerging markets bonds: what happened in 1998?

In response to questions about past behavior of emerging markets bonds, LawnGnomeGenome said "I'd suggest reading up on FNMIX." A great suggestion. Now I've had the time to find a few more emerging markets bond funds that go back to 1998 and plot them: http://i43.tinypic.com/2zq4qw5.jpg In...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 2:43 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging markets bonds: what happened in 1998?
Replies: 12
Views: 344

Re: Look at all the pretty colored [BOND] boxes.

See, just about everyone in the thread on Vanguard's newly-emerged Emerging Markets Bond Index Fund agrees that they should not count as bonds . There are at least two good reasons. Reason number one. VANGUARD says this IN THEIR PROSPECTUS: (their words, my boldfacing): A Note on Risk: Many investor...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 1:34 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Look at all the pretty colored [BOND] boxes.
Replies: 10
Views: 834

Re: What's the point?

No easy answers to "life's persistent questions," even under the best of circumstances there is stress and worry and care. I think myself that there is a certain amount of "happiness homeostasis," Eeyore (the lugubrious donkey in Winnie-the-Pooh) is never going to stop worrying. ...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 1:17 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What's the point?
Replies: 15
Views: 905

Re: CFP or straight to Vanguard?

1% a year is a lot. The question you have to ask is whether there's any real reason a cookie cutter approach shouldn't work for you. I buy clothes off the rack, I don't have them tailor-made. I just download the binary for Firefox, I don't download the source code for Firefox and pay a programmer to...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 1:07 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: CFP or straight to Vanguard?
Replies: 23
Views: 635

Re: Compound Interest

I pretty much agree with redS/YDNAL. You expect, hope, and often do get compounded growth through capital appreciation (shares grow in value) and through dividends (if you reinvest). "Compound interest" refers to interest which refers to a loan . Someone lends you $1,000 at 10% per year, y...
by nisiprius
Sat May 18, 2013 12:50 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Compound Interest
Replies: 23
Views: 1023

Re: Update 11/18/11

I wrote this on November 22, 2011: What about Vanguard's other new offering, Emerging Markets Government Bond Index Fund? I don't know what countries make up the index but similar bonds are yielding about 5% with no currency risk. Interest rate risk is no worse than other bond funds. Of course there...
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 9:24 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Grok's tip #7: Skip foreign bonds!
Replies: 131
Views: 19540

Re: Will 1,666 be the high?

If the Book of Revaluations is right, it might be the bestial get.
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 4:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Will 1,666 be the high?
Replies: 20
Views: 1586

Re: Retiring Wall Street Strategist...Indexing

Sigh... he isn't wrong in what he says to do, but he's terribly wrong in reinforcing the "Olympic medal model" of investment analysis, in which everything is based on counting wins , and winning by an inch weighs as much as winning by a mile... "If, instead of trying to pick a fund th...
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 4:03 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Retiring Wall Street Strategist...Indexing
Replies: 2
Views: 590

Re: How Much Did You Spend on Your Engagement Ring??

What do people think about marriage proposals made in extremely public settings or in extremely public ways (on Jumbotrons, with skywriters, on billboards, etc?)
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 2:52 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: How Much Did You Spend on Your Engagement Ring??
Replies: 252
Views: 9588

Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V

Killing Lincoln: The Shocking Assassination That Changed America Forever, by Bill O'Reilly and Martin Dugard, on wife's recommendation. 1/3 through, very good. One major gripe, which also applies to Jeff Shaara's books. It just drives me bughouse when a book like this includes battle maps, and I, l...
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 2:22 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V
Replies: 1437
Views: 198713

Re: You probably know a person like this

Syllogism:

1) Index funds are for people who don’t know anything about investing.
2) Nobody knows nuttin'.
3) Ergo, index funds are for everybody.
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 2:11 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: You probably know a person like this
Replies: 22
Views: 3001

Re: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available

I sent a message to Vanguard, via the ordinary "secure email" feature in my account, asking whether the risk potential rating of 5 was a goof, and received this reply: Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond Index Fund Investor Shares is correctly rated for risk potential at a five. Like...
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 1:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available
Replies: 75
Views: 4181

Re: College - The new scam

I think college administrations should be allowed to charge what the market will bear. Supply and demand. When people refuse to pay their prices, then those prices won't be paid anymore. It is that simple. It's not that simple because even "private" colleges are not really private. U.S. u...
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 12:55 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: College - The new scam
Replies: 33
Views: 1880

Re: yet more on the 4% rule as research incrreses

3. My suggestion is to accept that everything else is pretty uncontrollable (face it!) - so go fishing and stop thinking that a model, Excel spreadsheet, what-have-you, is going to make you feel better. The attraction of SPIAs is that they DO provide a way to control returns. Yes, they cost money, ...
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 10:19 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: yet more on the 4% rule as research increases
Replies: 22
Views: 1885

Re: Vanguard Should Have Passive Funds, Without Indexes

I see G-money said about the same thing just before I did... Well, broadly speaking, you seem to be saying "Vanguard should do what DFA does." I dunno. It seems to me Vanguard is pretty good at what it does and that it should stick to its knitting. People who have drunk the DFA Kool--I mea...
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 7:59 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard Should Have Passive Funds, Without Indexes
Replies: 13
Views: 1139

Re: Is this actionable information about a fund?

If one of your criteria for buying this fund was that the manager owned significant chunks of it, then that has changed and you should sell. If you didn't care when you bought this fund if the manager owned shares or not, then it doesn't matter what you do. +1 Steve, this is the core dilemma of the...
by nisiprius
Fri May 17, 2013 7:38 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is this actionable information about a fund?
Replies: 17
Views: 792

Re: disregarding ''daily noise"

It's not the daily noise I have problems with, it's the faddish waves of noise that last for, oh, six to eighteen months, like a hit song or a bestseller; the things that must be true because "everyone" is saying them. Swedroe's reviews like Which financial "sure things" happened...
by nisiprius
Thu May 16, 2013 9:26 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: disregarding ''daily noise"
Replies: 34
Views: 1826

Re: When to get an oil change?

I follow the owner's manual. With respect to interval, grade, and API rating. Oil changes are cheap. I believe that if one does use synthetic oil, one should still follow the owner's manual. In previous threads, some people have reported that the owner's manual for their car does call out a longer i...
by nisiprius
Thu May 16, 2013 1:45 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: When to get an oil change?
Replies: 35
Views: 1766

Re: Emergency Room Visit -- HDHP

While on vacation in Utah, we saw something we'd never seen at home: big billboards right on the Interstate in which various hospitals were advertising their current emergency room waiting times. Yes, big electronic panel, "the waiting time at our ER is currently ......[43]...... minutes."...
by nisiprius
Thu May 16, 2013 11:37 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Emergency Room Visit -- HDHP
Replies: 45
Views: 2602

Re: The Bruce Fund: BRUFX

The mother of a friend of a relative plays the lottery regularly. The friend describes it as an "addiction." I don't know dollars and cents but the friend believes it has had a meaningful effect on the household finances. Two years ago she won a jackpot larger than our total retirement sav...
by nisiprius
Thu May 16, 2013 9:57 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The Bruce Fund: BRUFX
Replies: 12
Views: 3423

Re: Emergency Room Visit -- HDHP

...Although there are exceptions, neither the doc in a box, the emergency room or the orthopedist is likely to do much of anything about your broken finger. Unless the bone is sticking out of the skin, I fail to see how a broken finger qualifies as an emergency. Why can't you go to your primary doc...
by nisiprius
Thu May 16, 2013 6:37 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Emergency Room Visit -- HDHP
Replies: 45
Views: 2602

Re: Another look at Jim Cramer's stock picks

He disses index funds... Not exactly. In Getting Back to Even , he wrote: How many stocks does it take to be truly diversified? I have found that it takes a minimum of five to capture true diversification and protection from the undesirable elements…. [ten would be terrific but] if you insist on mo...
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 9:36 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Another look at Jim Cramer's stock picks
Replies: 29
Views: 3315

Re: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available

What an incredible time to be a retail investor. I am like a kid in a candy store. Bring on the low cost funds! VTIPX http://www.accoutrements.com/shop/product_images/i/12356_1__45504.jpg VGOVX http://www.missfidget.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Atomic-Fire-Balls.jpg
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 6:50 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available
Replies: 75
Views: 4181

Re: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available

If Vanguard is putting EM bond and stock funds in the highest risk category of "5", that seems like a signal to put EM bonds in the equity, aka high volatility bin, portion of the asset allocation. Paul Yes, but is their "portfolio analysis" tool going to do this? I already get ...
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 6:38 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available
Replies: 75
Views: 4181

Re: Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond Index Fund

...The funny part is the tab title of the webpage still reads "Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Investor Shares." This is so wrong on so many levels. Yeah. I saw that, too, and I took the time to send them a note about that via the web-based "secure email" feature on the ac...
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 6:16 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond Index Fund
Replies: 1
Views: 282

Re: more great service from Treasury Direct!

EVERY time I log in to Treasury Direct it says that my computer is not registered and that it will email me a one-time passcode. EVERY time, I use the passcode, tell it to register my computer, and it does not issue any error messages or complaints. I can then log in again for some short period of t...
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 3:17 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: more great service from Treasury Direct!
Replies: 71
Views: 6446

Re: How Much Did You Spend on Your Engagement Ring??

protagonist wrote:awwww....Nisi....you shouldn't have.......
It's not made of real pixels. It's made of cheap imitation pixels.
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 2:38 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: How Much Did You Spend on Your Engagement Ring??
Replies: 252
Views: 9588

Re: How safe are Vanguard funds?

Questions of "ultimate safety" and "what could possibly happen" are always endlessly arguable. I will just point out a couple of things that don't particularly point in any one direction or another, that you may have overlooked. a) Individual Treasuries are effective against infl...
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 2:35 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: How safe are Vanguard funds?
Replies: 19
Views: 1483

Re: Article: Brokers going the way of the Horse n Buggy

“We were viewed back then as having a lot of information that no one else had,” said David McWilliams, who became a broker in 1978 when he was 21 and now heads wealth-management transformation at the U.S. brokerage of Zurich-based UBS. “You couldn’t get a stock quote without calling us.” Stockbroke...
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 1:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Article: Brokers going the way of the Horse n Buggy
Replies: 8
Views: 1392

Re: What if not Fixed Income?

For a retired individual seeking income, not wanting to take additional risk (increase % stocks), if bonds are not the answer, and it seems that currently it is not, and other fixed income like CDs are yielding close to zero, what is the alternative? Why do you think there's an alternative? Safe in...
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 12:50 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What if not Fixed Income?
Replies: 10
Views: 807

Re: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available

I just sent a message to Vanguard in the usual way--so-called "secure email" from their website--alerting them of the definite goof in the "title" attribute of the web page, and raising the question of whether they really meant to put this fund into "risk potential category ...
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 11:23 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available
Replies: 75
Views: 4181

Re: How Much Did You Spend on Your Engagement Ring??

protagonist wrote:And by the way, what kind of reward do we get for our 1000th post? A diamond? A share of Vanguard stock? I'm waiting....


Image
by nisiprius
Wed May 15, 2013 7:48 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: How Much Did You Spend on Your Engagement Ring??
Replies: 252
Views: 9588

Re: Emerging market bond fund

LawnGnomeGenome wrote:I'd suggest reading up on FNMIX.
Thank you!
Image

Nice! 40% drop... no, let's not exaggerate... a 39.8% drop from 7/16/1998 to 9/10/1998, less than two months. In a "bond" fund?
by nisiprius
Tue May 14, 2013 8:42 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Emerging market bond fund
Replies: 9
Views: 883

Re: The new profitability factor, US and int'l evidence

larryswedroe wrote:...rmelvey
Greenblatt's model is very similar to the profitability model, though it is an "extreme portfolio" with small amount of holdings that no fund could run on and have a large amount of assets...
Meaning that the Formula Investing Funds don't actually follow the Formula?
by nisiprius
Tue May 14, 2013 7:10 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The new profitability factor, US and int'l evidence
Replies: 150
Views: 5856

Re: Emerging market bond fund

Well, let's see... the Prospectus says

the Fund tracks the Barclays USD Emerging Markets Government RIC Capped Index, and

this page, uh, uh, uh... doesn't seem to have it... and neither does

this one...... interesting...
by nisiprius
Tue May 14, 2013 7:06 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Emerging market bond fund
Replies: 9
Views: 883

Re: Emerging market bond fund

How much should a 37 year old with a 60/30/10 portfolio(stock/bond/REIT) have in the new emerging market bond fund? I like the idea of further diversifying myself away from the US. Should I treat it like my international stocks and go with 30% of my bond holdings? My $0.02. NONE in the emerging mar...
by nisiprius
Tue May 14, 2013 6:40 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Emerging market bond fund
Replies: 9
Views: 883

Re: Larson Financial

srk2fd wrote:...Larson does other services like [snip]... finding the best life insurance policy for me (they recommended a VUL)...
I do not think a VUL is a good choice for a life insurance policy for most of us, and I think these "services" may be self-serving.
by nisiprius
Tue May 14, 2013 6:15 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Larson Financial
Replies: 15
Views: 781

Re: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available

From the same page, Vanguard's risk/return scale number is 5, the highest. Kowabunga! REALLY? That is STUNNING. Yep, really. http://i42.tinypic.com/2s7x5k7.jpg Vanguard is saying that this bond fund is not only riskier than Total Bond (2 on the scale) or High-Yield Corporate (3)... they are saying ...
by nisiprius
Tue May 14, 2013 6:11 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available
Replies: 75
Views: 4181

Re: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available

Can I assume they're still building this fund, looking at the load and the higher expense ratios? There is no load. Is not a "purchase fee" another name for "load"? No, because a load is money that goes to the sales channel to reward them for selling the fund, while the purchase...
by nisiprius
Tue May 14, 2013 5:51 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available
Replies: 75
Views: 4181

Re: NYT article on why Cooper Union ended free tuition

...each hedge fund received say $10-$20M. That is a trivial amount of assets to gain for even a medium sized hedge fund. The NYT reporting that hedge fund managers were "lining their pockets" is utter tripe. You do realize the impression that makes on this lowly member of the "mass a...
by nisiprius
Tue May 14, 2013 9:25 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: NYT article on why Cooper Union ended free tuition
Replies: 21
Views: 2061

Re: Just Sold Out. What do you think?

http://i42.tinypic.com/5fkkdl.jpg :D It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it wa...
by nisiprius
Tue May 14, 2013 8:54 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Just Sold Out. What do you think?
Replies: 95
Views: 6900

Re: Books that have actually changed your life, in a way.

The Shy Stegosaurus of Cricket Creek , by Evelyn Sibley Lampman. First book of over 200 pages I ever read. It was the beginning of a life-long (at least so far) habit of reading. Ah. What was the first long book I ever read that was not written for children? Probably The Time Machine , by H. G. Wel...
by nisiprius
Mon May 13, 2013 9:54 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Books that have actually changed your life, in a way.
Replies: 149
Views: 8682
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