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Re: I'm Bullish on Bonds

I recently rebalanced back to 48/48/4, equities/fixed income/cash, as a retired 65 y/o. I look at the market, hitting new highs almost daily with equal doses of amazement and terror at what will inevitably come next, for both equities and bonds. Swans come and they can be very darkly colored for bot...
by midareff
Wed May 22, 2013 10:51 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: I'm Bullish on Bonds
Replies: 83
Views: 6133

Re: Do you pay for access to www.nytimes.com ?

Kill the cookies and keep going.
by midareff
Sat May 18, 2013 11:20 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Do you pay for access to www.nytimes.com ?
Replies: 17
Views: 1138

Re: Trading for a new car - arghhhhh

The second part of the deal is to tell the dealer (new car), after you have your best number from them, you want $2K over what the CarMax number is for a trade and see what they come back with.
by midareff
Sat May 18, 2013 7:39 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Trading for a used car - arghhhhh
Replies: 16
Views: 1271

Re: Airfare keeps going up. Buy now or wait?

You might try checking at 4 - 6 AM for a day or two on different carriers. You might catch one of those 2 seats only at this price offers.
by midareff
Sat May 18, 2013 4:19 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Airfare keeps going up. Buy now or wait?
Replies: 38
Views: 1742

Re: Hussman: Now is one of the worst times in history to inv

51 posts about an investment that is not "our" style, and that did poorly compared to well diversified indexing. Personally, I recommend everyone enjoy this period for as long as it lasts as the upside is more fun than the downside.
by midareff
Sat May 18, 2013 8:54 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Hussman: Now is one of the worst times in history to invest
Replies: 51
Views: 6358

Re: Retiree poll: When did you retire?

I voted that I should have retired earlier, but that would have been by a year. Had I known our friend Mr. Market was going to do what he has done I would have retired at the end of December 2010, instead of April 2012. I could probably make even more precise calls if I knew how long I was going to ...
by midareff
Thu May 16, 2013 8:38 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Retiree poll: When did you retire?
Replies: 36
Views: 2960

Re: "Smart" TV advice?

Within the last 9 months or so I purchased two Samsung "Smart" TVs. Both 55", one a 7500 series one a 8000 series. .. both LED and 3D able. Both Wi-Fi direct to my router for Netflix or Hulu or anything else on the web. Both auto update their software via Samsung updates all by themse...
by midareff
Tue May 14, 2013 8:10 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: "Smart" TV advice?
Replies: 22
Views: 1524

Re: Google Invests $125 Million in Lending Club

Not for me. .. if I ever wanted to reach for yield (more risk) it would be easy enough to do with VG either in HY or adding equities.
by midareff
Mon May 13, 2013 9:35 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Google Invests $125 Million in Lending Club
Replies: 68
Views: 5268

Re: Audiophile or not??! How much to spend question

You will need a sound pressure meter (Radio Shack) to calibrate the rears and center and making sure any receiver you get has a volume check speaker by speaker is important. Consider that some A/V receivers, especially the "prosumer" grade, have built-in room calibration software. Just pu...
by midareff
Mon May 13, 2013 7:53 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Audiophile or not??! How much to spend question
Replies: 31
Views: 1870

Re: Audiophile or not??! How much to spend question

Ditto on the Samsung 60" in a 7500 or 8000 series these 3D LED units are truly amazing. If I was building another home theatre today I would use NHT speakers ... California company which has been around many years and builds exceptional value. I might even pickup another Yahama RX 1070 5.1 rece...
by midareff
Sun May 12, 2013 6:49 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Audiophile or not??! How much to spend question
Replies: 31
Views: 1870

Re: How do I decide when to sell high-expense funds?

why don't you just wait for a big black swan to fly by and eliminate the capital gains issues?
by midareff
Tue Apr 23, 2013 3:04 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: How do I decide when to sell high-expense funds?
Replies: 13
Views: 870

Re: Looking for advice on Wine.

chaz wrote:Try the Bogle brand. It is very good.


+1 .. Very good (esp the cab) for a grocery store 9 to 12 bottle.
by midareff
Mon Apr 22, 2013 8:34 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Looking for advice on Wine.
Replies: 33
Views: 1800

Re: Auto Insurance for Seniors

Had Liberty Mutual for many years, just switched to AARP Hartford. Very pleased with rate and total package (auto-renter's-umbrella). I can relate... had Liberty Mutual for 47 years, perfect for last 17 years. Rates seemed too high so this year I called the (AARP) Hartford for a quote. It was very ...
by midareff
Sun Apr 21, 2013 3:45 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Auto Insurance for Seniors
Replies: 15
Views: 1013

Re: Vanguard High Yield

What Larry says about high yield can't possibly be right. The Vanguard HY fund has outperformed the total bond market fund by roughly 3-5% ANNUALIZED looking at 1,3, 5 and 10 year returns (courtesy of Vanguard's website). Taking money from TBM and putting it into HY has got to make an investor more...
by midareff
Sat Apr 20, 2013 3:49 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard High Yield
Replies: 139
Views: 7983

Re: Vanguard High Yield

You may be right Larry but it's extremely difficult to see how an asset that can be price depressed for 5 or 6 years, vs. an asset that was depressed in price for 7 months after the swan is a worse investment for a retiree using systematic withdrawals.
by midareff
Fri Apr 19, 2013 4:05 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard High Yield
Replies: 139
Views: 7983

Re: Tires & Frugality bit me, now venting...

I just got rid of a Jeep I had almost 10 years. The OEM tires went 48K before I replaced them, with plenty of legal tread remaining and evenly worn front to rear, side to side, as I wanted to change them out before the Florida rainy season. The replacements went almost 40K before I replaced the car....
by midareff
Fri Apr 19, 2013 3:31 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Tires & Frugality bit me, now venting...
Replies: 22
Views: 2809

Re: Vanguard High Yield

When it comes to commodities, I believe most would argue that the small percentage devoted to this asset class belongs on the equity side of things. If you're a 60/40 investor and you want 5% commodities, take it out of the 60% column. For those in favor of high-yield bonds, given their high correl...
by midareff
Wed Apr 17, 2013 4:32 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard High Yield
Replies: 139
Views: 7983

Re: What do you think of this advice

The company I work for sent out an e-mail that Morgan Stanley's Financial advisors were available to take a look at our 401K investments and if any of us need advice they are available at any time. I called the person and he got back to me. I should clarify that Morgan Stanley is the company that r...
by midareff
Wed Apr 17, 2013 12:55 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What do you think of this advice [by financial advisor]
Replies: 45
Views: 4471

Re: [Poll] How do you fit in this glidepath?

me three, but I get the humor.
by midareff
Wed Apr 17, 2013 11:33 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: [Poll] How do you fit in this glidepath?
Replies: 51
Views: 2858

Re: what to do

I'm with livesoft on this one.
by midareff
Wed Apr 17, 2013 11:23 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: what to do
Replies: 4
Views: 443

Re: Two bucket pulls in left tail risk?

Clive... interesting BUT.. how many out there are able, let alone willing to if they are able to, live on a 2% drawdown?
by midareff
Wed Apr 17, 2013 9:07 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Two bucket pulls in left tail risk?
Replies: 6
Views: 588

Re: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds

Snowman, Bonds are also supposed to preserve the principal. My concern is that if I continue with my current AA and keep feeding the bonds every 6 months or so, when the interest rates go up, principal will not be preserved (or I will take a very very long time to get my principal back). I am not t...
by midareff
Wed Apr 17, 2013 8:58 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds
Replies: 122
Views: 9737

Re: Medigap Plan G vs Plan F?

midareff wrote:I turned 65 last December and enrolled in Medicare and AARP United Plan F. No deductibles at all and no copays.



I also seem to remember that the list of available hospitals was much smaller.
by midareff
Tue Apr 16, 2013 3:26 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Medigap Plan G vs Plan F?
Replies: 26
Views: 1719

Re: UPS for HDTV

If you decide to go for a surge suppressor, the Tripp Lite Isobar Ultra line is very well regarded: http://www.tripplite.com/en/products/product-series.cfm?txtSeriesID=825 or av products: http://www.tripplite.com/en/products/product-series.cfm?txtSeriesID=829 I have used Tripplite products in high-...
by midareff
Tue Apr 16, 2013 8:10 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: UPS for HDTV
Replies: 16
Views: 1420

Re: Vanguard High Yield

YDNAL wrote:
midareff wrote:You doing a rain dance over there Landy?

Yeah... Saturday midday I drove through 1' of standing water in some streets.



I hear you.... wifey and I were over in the Bed, Bath and Beyond area..... I had to hide out in Starbucks for almost an hour.
by midareff
Mon Apr 15, 2013 1:14 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard High Yield
Replies: 139
Views: 7983

Re: Vanguard High Yield

That certainly qualifies as apples and oranges Eric. M* chart shows a fund with a 3+ year recovery you are comparing to a bond fund with a 7 month recovery? Seems like a good way for a retiree needing a relatively steady income source to really take a beating. .. maybe even find a nice life under a ...
by midareff
Mon Apr 15, 2013 1:12 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard High Yield
Replies: 139
Views: 7983

Re: Vanguard High Yield

I love all the know-it-alls around here.... OverTheHill, you appear a bit irritated. I read your OP to mean 15% of your Fixed Income Assets are placed in HY with full knowledge of "hybrid risk, sort of between fixed/equity." Well, I don't know whether I did the right thing or not, but I d...
by midareff
Mon Apr 15, 2013 12:27 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard High Yield
Replies: 139
Views: 7983

Re: Poll: Boglehead travel

This year (so far) I have been grounded with medical issues I hope to resolve shortly. Last year I spent almost three weeks on Safari in Kenya/Tanzania and 7 weeks in BKK. I have been taking 2 international tours a year since 2006.
by midareff
Mon Apr 15, 2013 12:23 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Poll: Boglehead travel
Replies: 41
Views: 2310

Re: A nice talk about gold in ones portfolio

Not so nice today. Glad I don't own any.
by midareff
Mon Apr 15, 2013 11:31 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: A nice talk about gold in ones portfolio
Replies: 103
Views: 5833

Re: Vanguard High Yield

mephistophles wrote:One man's facts are another man's fiction. Don't know who said this, but it seems appropriate.



LOL, at this point we know U did. :beer
by midareff
Mon Apr 15, 2013 10:53 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard High Yield
Replies: 139
Views: 7983

Re: Vanguard Planner's Advice

I think the planner's are reasonably reliable and qualified but they are not inside your head. I had a consult awhile back wherein the CFP pointed out where my portfolio was above and below market weights. I could have done that myself and did not find that particularly valuable. Having said all tha...
by midareff
Mon Apr 15, 2013 9:56 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard Planner's Advice
Replies: 7
Views: 1062

Re: Going to London

I had a three or four day arranged (by me) layover in London on the back of a Scotland and Ireland Tour in 2006. I stayed at the Thicket Victoria Hotel which is about 2 blocks from the Victoria Station exit from the airport underground. Tower of London, London Eye, London Bridge, Tour up/down the Th...
by midareff
Mon Apr 15, 2013 8:59 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Going to London
Replies: 25
Views: 1339

Re: mortgage question

It seems to me that you won't be living in this house very long. As a (young) single doctor, a home valued at 1X annual earnings won't be where you wind up down the road when it's family time. As such I see no value in shortening the mortgage, it will be paid off when you sell and move. I recently r...
by midareff
Sun Apr 14, 2013 8:10 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: mortgage question
Replies: 22
Views: 2187

Re: Need help with interest calculation

spreadsheets are not needed. Two year loan of $6000 paid down to zero. Average amount outstanding is $3000... $4500 mid way through the first year and $1500 midway through the second. Interest on $3000 @ 5% for two years is $300.
by midareff
Sun Apr 14, 2013 4:39 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Need help with interest calculation
Replies: 9
Views: 666

Re: Bond/Stock Split at Age 69

I'm a couple of years from you .. age 65 and retired. Pension from a well funded state plan and taking SS. I'm 50/50 with which I sleep well at night and am unable to find ANY compelling to reason to move from that. I was there a year ago and just rebalanced back to it. The split is about 45% taxabl...
by midareff
Sat Apr 13, 2013 1:44 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bond/Stock Split at Age 69
Replies: 15
Views: 1224

Re: What is the lowest possible Expense Ratios could go?

I guess I'm pretty happy with 15 basis points average across a diversified portfolio.
by midareff
Sat Apr 13, 2013 9:45 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What is the lowest possible Expense Ratios could go?
Replies: 26
Views: 1588

Re: [Vanguard Announces Expense Ratio] ER Changes

Love it... a couple of hundred for ME!
by midareff
Sat Apr 13, 2013 2:12 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: [Vanguard Announces Expense Ratio] ER Changes
Replies: 32
Views: 2294

Re: Dumb Idea: Rebalancing Boosts Returns

Index Fan wrote:I seem to remember William Bernstein in The Investor's Manifesto saying that rebalancing every 2 or 3 years worked well (I hope I'm remembering that right).


and Otar says every four years at the end of the Presidential Election cycle.
by midareff
Fri Apr 12, 2013 3:11 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Dumb Idea: Rebalancing Boosts Returns
Replies: 53
Views: 5368

Re: Jeremy Siegel on CNBC dissing Bonds this afternoon.

I feel your pain! And to make matters worse look at what Mr. Buffett has said a while back. He seemed to be one of the first to be saying this. http://www.moneyweek.com/news-and-charts/people-in-the-news/guru-watch/guru-watch-avoid-gold-and-bonds-says-warren-buffett-57513 and I have to say he is co...
by midareff
Thu Apr 11, 2013 4:14 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Jeremy Siegel on CNBC dissing Bonds this afternoon.
Replies: 7
Views: 1200

Jeremy Siegel on CNBC dissing Bonds this afternoon.

The tension mounts, more experts, more opinions, more advice. .. and I sold some equities today to buy bonds and get back to my AA. What's a guy to do.
by midareff
Thu Apr 11, 2013 3:57 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Jeremy Siegel on CNBC dissing Bonds this afternoon.
Replies: 7
Views: 1200

Re: TV recommendation

I have an 80's model Curtis Mathis television set that I can highly recommend. It still works, and it is too heavy for a thief to steal. Beyond that (or rather because of that), I have recently looked into televisions. The understanding that I have is that Visio is going to show the same picture as...
by midareff
Thu Apr 11, 2013 2:32 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: TV recommendation
Replies: 34
Views: 1458

Re: Digital camera with best video

Formats are relatively settled now ... the every six months change is really past. In that price range any CURRENT Canon, Nikon, Samsung, Sony, Panasonic, Fuji or Olympus will do what you want. You can gets lots of comparisons, side-by-side and lots of reviews and knowledge at http://www.dpreview.com
by midareff
Thu Apr 11, 2013 2:29 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Digital camera with best video
Replies: 11
Views: 1038

Re: TV recommendation

Looking to buy a new LCD/LED TV and was wondering if you guys have any good recommendations. I am thinking 32 inch would do the trick for me, I don't know if anything bigger than that is really needed? Will use it to stream netflix and watch movies via dvd. Thanks! Don't know if this will help you ...
by midareff
Thu Apr 11, 2013 1:35 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: TV recommendation
Replies: 34
Views: 1458

Re: Malkiel & Ellis Inventors of Indexing Warn About Bonds

I've just started to read The Great Depression: A Diary by Benjamin Roth and it is SENSATIONAL. I'll be posting about this in the books thread. But one of the things it drives home is living in a world of illiquidity. Bank accounts are frozen, banks re-open but tell depositors they cannot withdraw ...
by midareff
Thu Apr 11, 2013 1:26 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Malkiel & Ellis Champions of Indexing Warn About Bonds
Replies: 85
Views: 6890

Re: Malkiel & Ellis Inventors of Indexing Warn About Bonds

Vanguard is telling us the total bond fund will be returning 1.6-something% for a very long time. Do you really understand what this means for savings you put in there now if inflation rises to 4% a year? If you do, and can accept losing that buying power, fine. If you don't, you really need to com...
by midareff
Thu Apr 11, 2013 8:02 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Malkiel & Ellis Champions of Indexing Warn About Bonds
Replies: 85
Views: 6890

Re: Malkiel & Ellis Inventors of Indexing Warn About Bonds

Midareff, Each alternative suggested comes with a rationale. It's up to the intelligent investor to choose the options whose rationale works best for them. Agreed I wouldn't invest in the Emerging Market bond fund because it looks too risky to me. But the case the authors make in the text is for Au...
by midareff
Thu Apr 11, 2013 7:57 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Malkiel & Ellis Champions of Indexing Warn About Bonds
Replies: 85
Views: 6890

Re: Ideas for Charleston, SC in June

You might check out the Vendue Inn on Queen Street in the Historic District. ... of if I remember right the Admiralty Inn right across the street. Short walk into the heart of the historic district, 1/2 block from the pier .... both are historic locations and if memory serves both have breakfast and...
by midareff
Thu Apr 11, 2013 7:41 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Ideas for Charleston, SC in June
Replies: 19
Views: 738

Re: Malkiel & Ellis Inventors of Indexing Warn About Bonds

So are you folks Flagship that you received this for free and us lowly Voyager and Voyager Select folks are left peering in the window sans book? :beer I'm a Flagship client and have not received a copy of this book. Any other Flagship clients NOT receive the book? When the authors are quoted as sa...
by midareff
Wed Apr 10, 2013 8:40 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Malkiel & Ellis Champions of Indexing Warn About Bonds
Replies: 85
Views: 6890

Re: Malkiel & Ellis Inventors of Indexing Warn About Bonds

Yes, this was a Flagship perk. Re "Stay the Course." I don't think I have ever read anything from any of these investment gurus that says, "Never reevaluate your portfolio, but stick to whatever investment decision you made at one point in your life and never change it. The "sta...
by midareff
Wed Apr 10, 2013 8:36 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Malkiel & Ellis Champions of Indexing Warn About Bonds
Replies: 85
Views: 6890
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