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Re: Help w/ a $55M portfolio?

Although we have all our mutual funds at Vanguard and sleep well, at some portfolio size, and I think you are there, it would seem to make sense to put a sizable chunk of your portfolio into some of Fidelity's low cost index funds. It would cost you practically nothing and adds diversification. If ...
by dodonnell
Sun Apr 21, 2013 4:50 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Help w/ a $55M portfolio?
Replies: 51
Views: 6485

Re: Bond quiz

moneywise3 wrote:Is there a tutorial on this somewhere?


.. here is a real quick one:
http://www.moneychimp.com/articles/finworks/fmbondytm.htm
by dodonnell
Mon Apr 15, 2013 11:18 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bond quiz
Replies: 25
Views: 1738

Re: Bond quiz

1) the interest rate paid by the fund doesn't change, 2) the interest rate paid by the fund doubles the day after your invest to 3.2%, and 3) the interest rate paid by the fund increases the day after your invest to 5%. So, do bond fund yields increase quickly to match interest rate increases, then...
by dodonnell
Mon Apr 15, 2013 10:01 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bond quiz
Replies: 25
Views: 1738

Re: Need help with interest calculation

$290.00 FV payment due, in conjunction with the final (104th) payment of $58. Final 104th Balloon payment = 290+58= $348 due at 104 weeks elapse to settle balance to zero. PV = $6000 i = 5%/52weeks = 0.096% weekly N = 104 weeks PMT= $58/week FV = 290.00 (HP21C financial calculator) FV = 290.00 (Exc...
by dodonnell
Sun Apr 14, 2013 4:41 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Need help with interest calculation
Replies: 9
Views: 663

Re: Bond quiz

Dan, The point being that the long-term investor is better off with a large increase in rates, as your numbers illustrate. All nominal bonds are subject to inflation risk. If one is more worried than most about inflation, investing in inflation protected securities seems the answer. Good work! Rich...
by dodonnell
Thu Apr 11, 2013 9:19 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bond quiz
Replies: 25
Views: 1738

Re: Bond quiz

The Vanguard Total Bond Market fund (admiral) has a yield of 1.6%, average maturity of 7.2 years and average duration of 5.3 years. Pretend the duration is 5 years, as it makes the math easier. How much will you have after 5 years and after 10 years if you invest $10,000 today in this fund in your ...
by dodonnell
Wed Apr 10, 2013 6:29 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bond quiz
Replies: 25
Views: 1738

SAI: Statement of Additional Information

Trading Costs are usually listed in the "Statements of Additional Information" or SAI. For example, you can find (if you dig) the SAI for Vanguard's S&P 500 Index fund here: http://edgar.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?company=&match=&CIK=VFINX&owner=exclude&Find=Find+Comp...
by dodonnell
Tue Jan 29, 2013 9:33 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Are Trading Costs Included in Expense Ratio?
Replies: 28
Views: 1565

"The Chase for Yield"

What is a Guaranteed Rate Really Worth?, Moshe Milevsky (article overviews process of calculating VA guaranteed return) The best part about this article: So they throw out fancy numbers like 7% guarenteed... but in reality you might only get $122,940 worth of annuity payments, which means your $100...
by dodonnell
Tue Jan 22, 2013 11:57 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Does my Variable annuity have a guaranteed (?) 4% return?
Replies: 15
Views: 1496

Re: Does my Variable annuity have a guaranteed (?) 4% return

According to the experts ... probably not. In fact, at 4%, it may have a negative return:

What is a Guaranteed Rate Really Worth?, Moshe Milevsky (article overviews process of calculating VA guaranteed return)

Image
by dodonnell
Mon Jan 21, 2013 3:20 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Does my Variable annuity have a guaranteed (?) 4% return?
Replies: 15
Views: 1496

Re: Annuity for Dad

My 75 year old dad lives on social security and a small draw from his stocks and cash. His total net worth is about $100K now and I thought it might make sense to buy an annuity with those funds. AARP seems to be a good place to start and they offer an annuity that would guarantee him about $500 pe...
by dodonnell
Wed Jan 09, 2013 10:46 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Annuity for Dad
Replies: 10
Views: 778

Re: Investing With Fidelity

My wife has an old 401K kicking around from a prior employer. The account is with Fidelity. The specific fund is Fidelity Freedom 2010 (FFFCX). Kind of a high ER, though, for a target retirement fund. One of these days we'll roll it into her Vanguard TIRA. She called Fidelity a couple of years back...
by dodonnell
Fri Jan 04, 2013 11:27 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Investing With Fidelity
Replies: 14
Views: 822

Re: Wayne Gretzky reflects on going through life with goals.

Annuity ? ... prefer putting money in Bank ? ... TD Bank ? Wayne Gretzky is a Stanley Cup champion, entrepreneur, founder of the Wayne Gretzky Foundation for less fortunate youth, and brand ambassador for TD Bank . While I'd be an even bigger fan if he said 3-fund portfolio, his financial moves wer...
by dodonnell
Wed Jan 02, 2013 11:16 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Wayne Gretzky reflects on going through life with goals.
Replies: 11
Views: 1311

Re: Wayne Gretzky reflects on going through life with goals.

Annuity ? ... prefer putting money in Bank ? ... TD Bank ?

Wayne Gretzky is a Stanley Cup champion, entrepreneur, founder of the Wayne Gretzky Foundation for less fortunate youth, and brand ambassador for TD Bank.
by dodonnell
Wed Jan 02, 2013 10:53 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Wayne Gretzky reflects on going through life with goals.
Replies: 11
Views: 1311

Re: When are funds available after selling a Vanguard fund?

FYI:

Many banks will charge an "incoming wire fee" of $20 or $25 or so.
... many do not charge for incoming ACHs.
by dodonnell
Wed Dec 26, 2012 6:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: When are funds available after selling a Vanguard fund?
Replies: 8
Views: 377

Re: Value averaging and MYR -A safer approach to margin?

Welcome back. Yes, your margin account rate was good for your small portfolio size. It is not as effective as the effective rate achieved using equity index futures: http://indexarb.com/yieldCurve.html Your "arbitrage" idea regarding investing excess margin cash (~90% futures) in BND is no...
by dodonnell
Sun Dec 23, 2012 12:57 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Value averaging and MYR -A safer approach to margin?
Replies: 39
Views: 3253

Re: Fidelity Personal Retirement Account/Variable Annuity

Don't forget that Investor A had to earn $1.54M gross to achieve $1M after tax, using your assumed overall tax rate. ... snip Investor B also had to earn $1.54M gross to buy a $1M VA ? I don't understand your point ? ... unless, of course, we are buying both assets inside an tax deferred account, t...
by dodonnell
Tue Dec 18, 2012 2:14 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Fidelity Personal Retirement Account/Variable Annuity
Replies: 10
Views: 857

Re: Fidelity Personal Retirement Account/Variable Annuity

OK. Hypothetical VA tax illustration: Investor A: Buys $1M worth SP500 index fund Investor B: Buys a $1M VA and puts the entire balance in identical SP500 index fund Magical assumption that the exorbitant extra fees associated with VA are zero . then 7 years later: Investor A: holds $2M of SP500 ind...
by dodonnell
Sun Dec 16, 2012 1:36 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Fidelity Personal Retirement Account/Variable Annuity
Replies: 10
Views: 857

Re: 401K doing 15.37 percent for the year

Can you please explain rebalancing? Rebalancing forces investors to "sell high" and "buy low" systematically over their lifetime. Preventing increased risk and generating increased portfolio returns over your lifetime (if you didn't rebalance). http://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Reb...
by dodonnell
Sun Oct 21, 2012 2:07 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 401K doing 15.37 percent for the year
Replies: 22
Views: 1784

Re: 401K doing 15.37 percent for the year

Can you please explain rebalancing? Rebalancing forces investors to "sell high" and "buy low" systematically over their lifetime. Preventing increased risk and generating increased portfolio returns over your lifetime (if you didn't rebalance). http://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Reb...
by dodonnell
Sat Oct 20, 2012 7:45 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 401K doing 15.37 percent for the year
Replies: 22
Views: 1784

Re: 401K doing 15.37 percent for the year

29palms wrote:How are your stocks doing so far? Am I doing all right for the year at 15.37 percent?


More importantly, have you rebalanced back to your target AA ?
by dodonnell
Sat Oct 20, 2012 2:32 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 401K doing 15.37 percent for the year
Replies: 22
Views: 1784

Re: The Fine Print on Stable Value Funds

The disclosed management fee of a stable value fund is readily available. For example, that fee for the popular stable value fund described earlier is 90 basis points. But other more opaque fees are difficult to ascertain. For example, wrap contract fees, administrative expenses, and subadvisory fe...
by dodonnell
Mon Oct 08, 2012 9:31 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The Fine Print on Stable Value Funds
Replies: 31
Views: 2118

Re: The Fine Print on Stable Value Funds

... snip ... The interest rate risk is horrific. Help. What am i missing ? I must be missing something. Why do you care what the interest rate risk is, since you're not taking that risk directly? Obviously the provider has to account for probable cash flows, etc., and some do have restrictions on w...
by dodonnell
Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:47 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The Fine Print on Stable Value Funds
Replies: 31
Views: 2118

Re: The Fine Print on Stable Value Funds

I'm a big fan of the one at MyMegaCorp. It's virtually all synthetic GICs, meaning that the plan maintains ownership of the underlying securities. They have a group of investment managers for the various component GICs. There's also a separate pool of insurers. The current rate for 4th quarter is 2...
by dodonnell
Sat Oct 06, 2012 3:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The Fine Print on Stable Value Funds
Replies: 31
Views: 2118

Re: LinkedIn and jobs

Since the consensus seems to be "what have you got to lose", how I am not sure how much to put on the profile. Does one basically replicate one's resume? I cut my resume off at about 10 years though I have more experience than that. What do you do about unemployment gaps? Comments? You ca...
by dodonnell
Sat Oct 06, 2012 11:56 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: LinkedIn and jobs
Replies: 23
Views: 1750

Re: LinkedIn and jobs

I know there is a thread below about social media, but I am specifically interested in LinkedIn as a job search device. Have people had "luck" with it? Has anyone with a LinkedIn account been contacted and have an interview and even a job resulting from it? Is it worth my time to get an a...
by dodonnell
Fri Oct 05, 2012 10:41 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: LinkedIn and jobs
Replies: 23
Views: 1750

S&P500: 1,553 - 3/24/2000 intraday high (12 years ago)

Remember,

Some bought into the S&P500 on March 24, 2000 .... 12 1/2 years ago at:

1,553.11

... it is difficult to keep perspective with recency bias.
by dodonnell
Tue Oct 02, 2012 10:24 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Gurus having a tough year
Replies: 12
Views: 1682

Re: Equation to calculate inflation in x number of years?

Anyone know it or something that would work? Or could anyone tell me if I want to comfortably retire with $60,000 per year in today's money. How much would I need in 40 years, or how much would that be worth? Using the average inflation rate of 3.46% The value of the money after x years of inflatio...
by dodonnell
Tue Sep 25, 2012 8:58 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Equation to calculate inflation in x number of years?
Replies: 8
Views: 390

Re: Why Rates Went Up?

It appears rates declined in anticipation of the previous three Fed announcements (QE1, QE2, and OpTwist) ... then rose or stayed flat after the news. (chart last updated 9/7 so rates do not reflect this past weeks increases) http://i48.tinypic.com/10zy8g4.gif http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/u...
by dodonnell
Sat Sep 15, 2012 4:56 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why Rates Went Up?
Replies: 16
Views: 2014

Re: Did Your Portfolio Close at an All-Time High Today?

Lazy Portfolios appear to be at a all time nominal high, but if 5 year inflation is 10%, then we still have a ways to go: http://www.marketwatch.com/lazyportfolio http://i46.tinypic.com/pvx46.png Aren't the numbers in the chart average annual returns, whereas the 10% inflation number is total 5 yea...
by dodonnell
Sat Sep 15, 2012 1:08 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Did Your Portfolio Close at an All-Time High Today?
Replies: 49
Views: 3352

Re: Did Your Portfolio Close at an All-Time High Today?

Lazy Portfolios appear to be at a all time nominal high, but if 5 year inflation is 10%, then we still have a ways to go:

http://www.marketwatch.com/lazyportfolio
Image
by dodonnell
Fri Sep 14, 2012 5:05 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Did Your Portfolio Close at an All-Time High Today?
Replies: 49
Views: 3352

Re: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 201

+1 As a Registered Investment Advisor, isn't Ray Lucia subject oversight by FINRA as well as by the SEC? He has a series 7, according to the SEC document, so he is a broker/dealer as well as an registered investment adviser (RIA) and has dual oversight by FINRA for the broker/dealer and the SEC for ...
by dodonnell
Wed Sep 12, 2012 8:48 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 2012
Replies: 136
Views: 10974

Re: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 201

Browser, yes, SEC was responsible for investigating potential fraud. However, SEC did not "regulate" Madoff. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hedge_fund#US_regulation Madoff's hedge fund was exempt from regulation. Madoff did not sell to "retail investors". Ray Lucia is directly regu...
by dodonnell
Wed Sep 12, 2012 5:55 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 2012
Replies: 136
Views: 10974

Re: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 201

The surprise isn't that the Buckets approach is complete hooey - a 10-year old would be able to see that (although apparently not a large number of presumably knowledgeable "investors"). The surprise is that the SEC is involved. Were't these the same guys who completely missed the Madoff ...
by dodonnell
Wed Sep 12, 2012 2:31 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 2012
Replies: 136
Views: 10974

Re: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 201

The SEC charges are severe. It occurred to me that many may not understand why. Ray Lucia's firm is a "Registered Investment Adviser" (RIA) and Ray Lucia is a representative of his firm (RIAR). RIA and RIARs are subject to an additional Security law that most "financial advisers"...
by dodonnell
Sun Sep 09, 2012 8:24 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 2012
Replies: 136
Views: 10974

Re: Purchasing an apartment while being a student. Bad idea?

IMHO, it would be speculating. The flow of foreign capital into Scandinavian real estate markets due to the European debt crisis should be (hopefully) transitory. The Varied Cycles of European Housing Markets, Moody's Analytics, Feb 2012 From the article: http://i46.tinypic.com/paxdj.png http://i47....
by dodonnell
Sun Sep 09, 2012 10:10 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Purchasing an apartment while being a student. Bad idea?
Replies: 9
Views: 1109

Re: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 201

"Buckets of Money" has been mentioned, suggested, and discussed on this forum in the past. Some have even read Lucia's book. ... it appears to be a complete fraud:.... I don't recall participating in a Buckets of Money discussion (could be wrong) because I haven't read the book, nor am I ...
by dodonnell
Sat Sep 08, 2012 2:07 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 2012
Replies: 136
Views: 10974

Re: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 201

letsgobobby wrote:Was it fraud or was it incompetence or some of both? I agree with previous poster, his sin is so small compared to many of the psychopaths in our corporate world and even in the investment world.


Lies imply Fraud.
by dodonnell
Fri Sep 07, 2012 3:05 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 2012
Replies: 136
Views: 10974

"Buckets of Money" strategy FAILS

Lets be clear about the SEC claims (IMO): Ray Lucia clearly lied and cheated. His "Buckets of Money" is a failing strategy. Investors following this strategy may have been, or may be seriously damaged. The SEC backtested his claimed " Buckets of Money " strategy and found out it ...
by dodonnell
Fri Sep 07, 2012 2:10 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 2012
Replies: 136
Views: 10974

Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 2012

"Buckets of Money" has been mentioned, suggested, and discussed on this forum in the past. Some have even read Lucia's book. ... it appears to be a complete fraud: SEC Press Release A few of the Bogleheads threads: Bogleheads vs Lucia three Buckets Lucia's Bucket #2 Ray Lucia Ben Stein pro...
by dodonnell
Fri Sep 07, 2012 9:25 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ray Lucia charged by SEC - "Buckets of Money" Sep 5, 2012
Replies: 136
Views: 10974

Re: Vanguard's taxable bond chief sounds a cautionary note.

Returns on SPIA have never been lower.
by dodonnell
Tue Sep 04, 2012 11:54 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard's Ken Volpert: cautionary outlook on bonds
Replies: 16
Views: 1279

Re: Question re: moving parents' retirement accounts to Vang

jdouge wrote:...snip... The Vanguard CFP also pointed out that some of the bonds may be worth holding (rather than liquidating) even at Vanguard, ...snip...


The only reason not to SELL these bonds is if they can't get the right price on liquidation.
by dodonnell
Tue Sep 04, 2012 11:43 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Question re: moving parents' retirement accounts to Vanguard
Replies: 14
Views: 1133

Re: Question re: moving parents' retirement accounts to Vang

... What am I missing? Where is ML hiding their greedy hand/pocket/siphon? Or where I should look (must admit to glazed eyes running over those account and transaction statements)? Any informed guesses or hard facts appreciated. Generally, the bond "buys" and "sells" typically h...
by dodonnell
Sun Sep 02, 2012 9:58 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Question re: moving parents' retirement accounts to Vanguard
Replies: 14
Views: 1133

Re: Understanding my 401k fees

Aren't all the fees an employee pays in a 401k ... embedded into the price changes on the fund NAVs ?
Don't they list fund NAVs in the 401k ?

In other words, the funds choices used in the 401k must be a separate share class for a 401k with much higher expense ratios ?
by dodonnell
Sat Sep 01, 2012 5:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Understanding my 401k fees
Replies: 16
Views: 1363

Re: pay off house in our situation?

Do Not Pay Off your mortgage now. ... snip ... Paying off your mortgage is equivalent to buying a 2-year bond at 3.35% (2.34% after tax) ... snip ... Unlike buying a 2 year bond, which can be sold immediately in an emergency ... ... paying off your mortgage is " irreversible ". Once done,...
by dodonnell
Wed Aug 29, 2012 1:29 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: pay off house in our situation?
Replies: 32
Views: 1925

Re: pay off house in our situation?

Do Not Pay Off your mortgage now. ... snip ... Paying off your mortgage is equivalent to buying a 2-year bond at 3.35% (2.34% after tax) ... snip ... Unlike buying a 2 year bond, which can be sold immediately in an emergency ... ... paying off your mortgage is " irreversible ". Once done,...
by dodonnell
Mon Aug 27, 2012 7:59 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: pay off house in our situation?
Replies: 32
Views: 1925

Re: Any cost for using the Vg Prime as a conduit?

Langkawi and grabiner,

thank you. dan
:)
by dodonnell
Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:43 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Any cost for using the Vg Prime as a conduit?
Replies: 8
Views: 819

Re: Any cost for using the Vg Prime as a conduit?

"annual ER / 252" That is not correct. Weekends aren't free. Help me understand: ... at 4:15pm on Friday, a mutual fund company posts the day's NAV by first subtracting the annualized management fee pro-rata (i say 1/252th, you say 1/365th) for that Friday's management services. What happ...
by dodonnell
Fri Aug 24, 2012 2:22 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Any cost for using the Vg Prime as a conduit?
Replies: 8
Views: 819

Re: Any cost for using the Vg Prime as a conduit?

+1 One can figure that the e.r. is paid daily as in "annual e.r. / 365". This may not be exackalackaly true, but it is close enough. ... well ;) , to be more precise, the annualized expense ratio is debited against the funds NAV at the end of each trading day of year before posting the day...
by dodonnell
Thu Aug 23, 2012 8:29 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Any cost for using the Vg Prime as a conduit?
Replies: 8
Views: 819
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