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Re: REITs... buy more?

Yes 20% is too high. First why do you hold REITS which are just less then 2% of the market by market cap? The answer per Fama/French is that they don't correlate with other asset classes. That means they tend to go up when other classes don't do well, and go down when other classes do well. Followin...
by Occupier
Thu May 02, 2013 3:30 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: REITs... buy more?
Replies: 23
Views: 2205

Re: Finally ready to solicit some opinions [Physician]

Since you did not mention "her inactive 403" are you intending to roll that into an IRA? That is what I would have done yesterday. The higher costs there are going to add up to a lot of lost appreciation over 30 or so years. The other thing I notice is your proposed new allocation seems to...
by Occupier
Wed May 01, 2013 11:54 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Finally ready to solicit some opinions [Physician]
Replies: 5
Views: 630

Re: Seeking help with portfolio

Why waste your time with someone who does not want to listen? He has a hodgepodge of stuff that he read some article about and decided to buy. I.E. no coherent plan. He has next to no bonds and 32% of his money is in cash not even beating inflation and waiting for him to get excited about something ...
by Occupier
Tue Apr 30, 2013 8:34 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Seeking help with portfolio
Replies: 3
Views: 281

Re: Am I too conservative?

What I see and don't like is your tax placement. You have each account as a similar portfolio. In fact it's all you money and should be one portfolio with funds placed based on tax efficiency. In other words the three accounts don't need to look the same. In order of tax efficiency worst to best; ta...
by Occupier
Sun Apr 28, 2013 9:38 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Am I too conservative?
Replies: 17
Views: 1718

Re: Bond allocation for a 30 year old

I take it your thinking of the cash value pension is a sort of bond. I tend to agree. As a result you can have a lower bond percent in other accounts. I don't know the figure because I don't know how big the cash value pension is. There is nothing wrong with the total bond index available to you. I ...
by Occupier
Sun Apr 28, 2013 9:27 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bond allocation for a 30 year old
Replies: 5
Views: 678

Re: Portfolio Q&A -- Probably Some Low-Hanging Fruit!

You can roll the old IRA and 401 into a new IRA. Vanguard or other low cost fund family is fine. Now the expense in 10 years is fine if you allow for it in the taxable account. I would have a slightly higher bond allocation and call that my reserve for that expense. Most rebalance once or twice a ye...
by Occupier
Sun Apr 28, 2013 9:19 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio Q&A -- Probably Some Low-Hanging Fruit!
Replies: 66
Views: 2394

Re: Portfolio Review Request

In the taxable the expense ratio's are horrendous. That extra 1% a year adds up to a lot of lost appreciation over 20 years. Also international emerging markets are very tax efficient, so some VXUS (Vanguard international emerging total market) or the Fidelity equivalent is in order for this account...
by Occupier
Sat Apr 27, 2013 10:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio Review Request
Replies: 10
Views: 865

Re: Telemarketers

If you want to complain to the people who enforce the do not call law, go to www.FTC.gov and in their consumer protection section you can fill out a complaint online. They do periodically chase the bad guys out of business. Dave
by Occupier
Tue Apr 23, 2013 10:51 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: [stopping] Telemarketers
Replies: 29
Views: 1479

Re: my take on the sharp drop in gold

There was a wonderful quote in an article over at Bloomberg.com William Buffet was saying, that over a long period of time he has at some point criticized holding about every asset class. But when he has criticized holding gold, it's the only time people get belligerent, threatening, etc. Interestin...
by Occupier
Tue Apr 23, 2013 10:44 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: my take on the sharp drop in gold
Replies: 25
Views: 2562

Re: Portfolio Review - Just Starting Investing for Retiremen

You get rewarded if you go to a lower cost fund. That extra 1% a year adds up to a lot of lost appreciation over 30 years. Note in the HSA and 401 the two low cost funds are the 500 index, and the Dodge & Cox fund is reasonable. You don't need to have an identical portfolio in each account. It's...
by Occupier
Tue Apr 23, 2013 11:01 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio Review - Just Starting Investing for Retirement
Replies: 2
Views: 382

Re: General Partner vs. LLC

I believe the answer depends on the state. I know of one state where the answer is flat out no. If you want to go after an entity not named, you file another lawsuit. I know of another where you get an expedited proceeding in the original case where you show alter ego, fraudulent conveyances etc. an...
by Occupier
Sat Apr 20, 2013 7:15 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: General Partner vs. LLC
Replies: 5
Views: 631

Re: General Partner vs. LLC

Ok I am another one of those [darn --admin LadyGeek] lawyers. Every time you add a corporate layer you inconvenience the plaintiffs lawyer who is trying to collect on a claim. So the fact you have a corporate form in the way gives you some protection. Adequate insurance is the only real protection. ...
by Occupier
Fri Apr 19, 2013 4:27 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: General Partner vs. LLC
Replies: 5
Views: 631

Re: Jack Bogle: We need to fix the bond index

It kinda shows that even the biggest advocates of indexing market time a little when valuations get to extreme levels. What he is advocating is that treasuries are so overpriced that you should mostly be in corporates. I happen to agree with him, but he is backing off the traditional total market Bo...
by Occupier
Fri Apr 19, 2013 3:17 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Jack Bogle: We need to fix the bond index
Replies: 48
Views: 6100

Re: VWAHX (High Yield MUNI) and AMT?

Back in the 1960's Some really wealthy people paid no taxes on some really big incomes. Ms. Phelps Dodge was one, she had a million dollar income, 0% paid in tax. So Congress enacted the Alternative Minimum Tax which basically limited deductions, exclusions. You calculate your tax both ways if your ...
by Occupier
Wed Apr 17, 2013 11:46 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: VWAHX (High Yield MUNI) and AMT?
Replies: 8
Views: 531

Re: Need your help with asset allocation

A simple portfolio for someone your age would be 30% Vanguard Total Stock Market, 20% total International. The rest in fixed income. I would just leave half in a ladder of CD's given the pathetic rates on bonds, and fact you seem to be used to CD's. Dave
by Occupier
Wed Apr 17, 2013 11:24 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Need your help with asset allocation
Replies: 4
Views: 385

Re: IRA and 401K investing questions from a newb

I try to dodge tax questions and hope the accountants respond. You can learn the answers to your questions if you go over to www.IRS.gov and run IRA and retirement savings through their search engine. Dave
by Occupier
Wed Apr 17, 2013 10:07 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: IRA and 401K investing questions from a newb
Replies: 3
Views: 255

Re: AA and Portfolio Review

I think the basic plan is fine. Cost differences between Vanguard Admiral funds and ETF's are not significant. I don't understand why you go to TD Ameritrade instead of Vanguard if your going to hold Vanguard products. What is significant is is your getting away from those really expensive USAA fund...
by Occupier
Wed Apr 17, 2013 10:03 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: AA and Portfolio Review
Replies: 7
Views: 565

Re: Help Me with Bond Duration

I'll shoot my mouth off again. The conventional wisdom is to hold intermediate term bond funds. That's based on the yield curve. As you go out longer, you don't get paid a lot for the additional risk your taking. Interest rate movements are very difficult to call. Right now rates across the spectrum...
by Occupier
Tue Apr 16, 2013 11:44 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Help Me with Bond Duration
Replies: 13
Views: 831

Re: Please help picking funds for 401K

I think your split is a good choice. Both funds are low cost. The additional costs of the other funds add up to a lot of lost appreciation over 30 years. When you get more money you can add it to an IRA and hold some other asset classes in that. I did not see a low cost bond fund, but I know Fidelit...
by Occupier
Tue Apr 16, 2013 9:32 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Please help picking funds for 401K
Replies: 6
Views: 448

Re: Help Me with Bond Duration

I can explain duration. Suppose you have a bond with a 3% coupon and over time interest rates go up. In other words people won't buy a bond that yields 3%, they want one that yields 5%. So the bond sells for a discount and if your holding it you cant sell it for face value. Duration is a rule of thu...
by Occupier
Tue Apr 16, 2013 9:24 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Help Me with Bond Duration
Replies: 13
Views: 831

Re: Bond or not?

You get a reminder about holding bonds on days like today where the stock market goes down by 200+ points and bonds went up. So you want to have some. Note I want to point out that in my earlier post where I pointed out that you could hold foreign bonds does not mean to go overboard. They may do bet...
by Occupier
Mon Apr 15, 2013 9:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bond or not?
Replies: 32
Views: 2369

Re: "Bond Fund Duration: An Art, Not a Science"

I realize that measuring things is not an exact science. Price to earnings, price to book value, duration may not be an exact science, but they remain important. Even if you don't know exactly how much your bond fund will go down if interest rates go up you should be able to grasp the basic point. A...
by Occupier
Mon Apr 15, 2013 9:05 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Bond Fund Duration: An Art, Not a Science"
Replies: 22
Views: 1287

Re: Bond or not?

The trick is to keep your average duration fairly short. There are still reasons to have bonds such as stabilizing your portfolio. Take a look at Vanguards Short Term Investment grade fund. With a duration of about 2.8 your not taking a lot of interest rate risk. Further the world economy does not m...
by Occupier
Sun Apr 14, 2013 9:13 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bond or not?
Replies: 32
Views: 2369

Re: Allocation help needed please ... thanks

Yes a 529 is good anytime you can achieve tax free compounding do it. I don't see any IRA on your list. I don't have a problem with your desired allocation either. Dave
by Occupier
Sun Apr 14, 2013 10:48 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Allocation help needed please ... thanks
Replies: 5
Views: 280

Re: iShares MSCI Frontier 100 (FM) [ER 0.79%]

I got into Emerging Markets and China quite early about 2002. It had big returns and I paid a lot of gains taxes when I reduced my allocation in 2006 and 2007 due to their becoming more popular. Maybe because of that I picked up some FM. The only other frontier etf I looked at was really just a Sout...
by Occupier
Sat Apr 13, 2013 8:48 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: iShares MSCI Frontier 100 (FM) [ER 0.79%]
Replies: 34
Views: 1858

Re: Portfolio Advice - Starting Out

Like others have said. You have different accounts, but they don't have to be the same. You only have one portfolio and it's all your money. Generally tax efficient assets in taxable, tax inefficient in tax free. In order of tax efficiency worst to best. Taxable bonds, REIT, Small Value, Large Value...
by Occupier
Sat Apr 13, 2013 2:36 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio Advice - Starting Out
Replies: 10
Views: 962

Re: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds

What does he know? If you dump your bonds, how will you know when to get back in? Dave
by Occupier
Fri Apr 12, 2013 7:53 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds
Replies: 122
Views: 9733

Re: Small Cap Value in Taxable?

When your talking about small cap stocks having more seems to be better than having less. The reasoning sometimes is explained that you increase the odds of holding one that get's hit out of the park. Also there are a lot more small cap stocks than large cap stocks. Note that the S and P has 600 sto...
by Occupier
Tue Apr 09, 2013 7:57 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Small Cap Value in Taxable?
Replies: 24
Views: 1309

Re: Int'l Small Cap: ETF in taxable or Mutual Fund in 403b?

VSS is fairly tax efficient due to the foreign tax credit so I think your fine with it in taxable. Dave
by Occupier
Tue Apr 09, 2013 4:50 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Int'l Small Cap: ETF in taxable or Mutual Fund in 403b?
Replies: 7
Views: 475

Re: Small Cap Value in Taxable?

Morningstar publishes a tax cost ratio. I don't follow it that much but here it is for VTI, VB and VBR that is Vanguard Total Stock Market, Small Blend, and Small Value for the couple of years that they calculated it. VTI .45, .35, .37, .31 VB .64, .44, .50 VBR .89, .67, .60 So you see it's slightly...
by Occupier
Tue Apr 09, 2013 11:08 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Small Cap Value in Taxable?
Replies: 24
Views: 1309

Re: Placement of assets

I would put the LCB in taxable.
If you go over to morningstar and run the tax cost ratio for VB Vanguard Small Blend, and VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market you get:

VB .64 .44 .50
VTI .45 .35 .37 .31

Not much of a difference though, but see

Potential Gains VB 14.47 VTI 21.50 Dave
by Occupier
Mon Apr 08, 2013 9:31 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Placement of assets
Replies: 4
Views: 468

Re: Confused by intermediate vs. long term duration for Vang

Both these funds are actively managed. That is to say the managers have the power to shorten the duration of their bonds as long as they stay within the range of the prospectus. I think the intermediate fund is 5-7 years, and the long term 6 to 12 years. So both managers have the shortest durations ...
by Occupier
Mon Apr 08, 2013 12:39 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Confused by intermediate vs. long term duration for Vanguard
Replies: 7
Views: 788

Re: First-time DIY portfolio/Long-time BH - need input pleas

The only thing I see is that the taxable and tax free are identical portfolios. This can waste some tax efficiency. In order of tax efficiency worst to best; taxable bonds, REIT, Small Value, Large Value, Large Blend, International/Emerging due to the foreign tax credit. So depending on capital gain...
by Occupier
Sun Apr 07, 2013 8:07 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio Help - Long-time BH but first-time DIY
Replies: 2
Views: 289

Re: Please Help with my Portfolio

My guess is your wondering what to do with the taxable. Since your almost on your stock allocation I would look over Vanguards, tax exempt bond funds. Two come to mind the Vanguard High Yield Tax Free and Intermediate Term Tax Exempt. There is a difference in yield and duration with the high yield f...
by Occupier
Sun Apr 07, 2013 7:52 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Please Help with my Portfolio
Replies: 5
Views: 342

Re: 32 Year Old Needs Some Advice

Re: the 125k I would open a taxable account and Vanguard or Fidelity. If the latter you want to use their low cost Spartan funds. Since you did not list the costs of the funds in the 401 I really don't want to comment on your choices , except for this. Most don't recommend more than 5% of your asset...
by Occupier
Sat Apr 06, 2013 8:22 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: 32 Year Old Needs Some Advice
Replies: 5
Views: 613

Re: Going all bonds?

I think the guy's get paid to trade. Your mom is going to incur a lot of capital gains on stocks I suspect she has held for years, just to buy an asset class that is yielding 2-3 %. It's ridiculous. Dave
by Occupier
Fri Apr 05, 2013 5:50 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Going all bonds?
Replies: 18
Views: 1670

Re: Investment/Portfolio Question

Don't walk away from those high cost Oppenheimer funds - run away. That extra 1% a year adds up to a lot of lost appreciation over 30 years. Do the math. 13 years ago when I joined the old list I made the change to Vanguard for all my accounts, and I have never regretted it. Take the loss, learn the...
by Occupier
Fri Apr 05, 2013 12:28 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Investment/Portfolio Question
Replies: 11
Views: 773

Re: File a claim or not?

There is a rule of thumb that you should never insure for a claim you can afford to pay yourself. That just raises your rates. Also excessive claims can lead to your policy getting canceled which will cause you to pay more for insurance. That mostly applies to deciding how high a deductible to have ...
by Occupier
Thu Apr 04, 2013 11:24 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: File a claim or not?
Replies: 14
Views: 1239

Re: the obsession with growth investing

Yup. It took me years to learn this. And the major factor was reading your first book that said small growth stocks were the lowest performing asset class because such stocks are always bid up to unreasonable levels by investors seeking to find the next Microsoft. (or Apple). Only a few of such stoc...
by Occupier
Thu Apr 04, 2013 11:12 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: the obsession with growth investing
Replies: 2
Views: 711

Re: Bernstein: Make Peace With T-Bills

I agree with the gist of the article. If you look at two bond funds and one yields 3% and the other 6% there is a reason for the difference. The difference is risk. I don't buy the theory that inflation and precipitously high rates of interest are around the corner. You just don't get high inflation...
by Occupier
Tue Apr 02, 2013 10:18 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bernstein: Make Peace With T-Bills
Replies: 50
Views: 4551

Re: Need a Fresh Start with Portfolio

No to the 15% small cap and 15% REIT. I did not mean to confuse you. REITS generally fit into the small value category on the Morningstar box of stock market components. Or put another way most REITS are also small value stocks. In terms of market capitalization REITS are about 2% of the total stock...
by Occupier
Mon Apr 01, 2013 12:09 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Need a Fresh Start with Portfolio
Replies: 11
Views: 902

Re: Bond holding duration

You are about what I suggest people to be duration wise. If you go much shorter yields get close to non existent, if rates rise you wont get killed compared to folks with long term bonds - 15-20 year duration. Dave
by Occupier
Sun Mar 31, 2013 10:58 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bond holding duration
Replies: 5
Views: 250

Re: Need a Fresh Start with Portfolio

I don't completely agree with the advice you just got. I often post the order of tax efficiency of asset classes worst to best. It is Taxable bonds, REIT, Small Value, Large Value, Large Blend, International/Emerging due to the foreign tax credit. Ideally you have just Total Stock and/or Total Inter...
by Occupier
Sat Mar 30, 2013 9:30 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Need a Fresh Start with Portfolio
Replies: 11
Views: 902

Re: Liability insurance coverage abroad

I don't know the economics for covering car's but most motorcyclists going to Central or South America use www.motorcycleexpress.com for coverage. Dave
by Occupier
Sat Mar 30, 2013 8:59 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Liability insurance coverage abroad
Replies: 6
Views: 361

Re: Liability insurance coverage abroad

deleted duplicate
by Occupier
Sat Mar 30, 2013 8:58 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Liability insurance coverage abroad
Replies: 6
Views: 361

Re: Portfolio critique

The reason for the suggestion to stick with the fidelity small was costs. Also tax placement because VBR is not super tax efficient. My opinion is that when you own separate European and Pacific stock indexes you trade more rebalancing than you would if you just had total international. Hence not ta...
by Occupier
Mon Mar 25, 2013 11:31 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio critique
Replies: 21
Views: 1017

Re: Why Can't I Bring Myself to Buy Me a Nice Watch?

I wonder if this is Petrocelli posting in drag, and he is just laughing himself crazy. Dave
P.S I gave up on my watch a year ago and just look at my cell phone to see what time it is.
by Occupier
Sun Mar 24, 2013 10:27 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Why Can't I Bring Myself to Buy Me a Nice Watch?
Replies: 160
Views: 8161

Re: Portfolio critique

I would substitute Total US Stock Market and Total International for the 500 and three international funds in taxable and call it done. Mostly I would do this for tax effiency and simplicity. Dave
by Occupier
Sun Mar 24, 2013 7:32 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio critique
Replies: 21
Views: 1017

Re: Saving for home down payment

The problem with I-bonds is you lose several months interest if you sell em before 5 years. Tale a look at Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade, and compare with a CD at your local Credit Union. Dave
by Occupier
Sat Mar 23, 2013 8:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Saving for home down payment
Replies: 8
Views: 689

Re: Investing in Roth and taxable for house down payment

You don't want to use a tax free account for something like saving for a house down payment because you pay a penalty if you withdraw from it. The conventional wisdom is to use a bond fund which has a duration about the same as the period your saving for. I would use Short Term Investment Grade. but...
by Occupier
Thu Mar 21, 2013 10:19 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Investing in Roth and taxable for house down payment
Replies: 8
Views: 543
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