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Re: The new profitability factor, US and int'l evidence

Let's see... the value factor is supposed to be more persistent and positive than the size factor or the market factor. However, recent evidence suggests that MOM, a growth factor, is also persistent and positive. Now we have another positive factor, profitability, associated with growth. So two fa...
by Gauntlet
Wed May 15, 2013 9:25 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The new profitability factor, US and int'l evidence
Replies: 167
Views: 7173

Re: Deciding How Much to put in International

The choice of an investor's percentage of equities that are international is much less important than the choice of percentage of the overall portfolio that is in bonds. Having said that, I really don't understand why some are so against holding international. If an investor owns zero international ...
by Gauntlet
Thu May 09, 2013 9:47 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Deciding How Much to put in International
Replies: 54
Views: 3583

Re: Maine or Vanguard 529 plan

I use the Vanguard plan. I like it. The expense ratio for the age-based solution is .25. The age-based solution has my favorite funds: Total US, International, and US Bond. The Vanguard plan also doesn't have any annual fee.
by Gauntlet
Wed May 08, 2013 12:56 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Maine or Vanguard 529 plan
Replies: 9
Views: 1094

Re: Now's the time to buy bonds - Gundlach

During the past 5 years, it has never felt better to be a boglehead. The market tanked and the world was going to end. I did nothing but re-balance into equities and everything turned out great. Bond bubble talk has been going on for 2 years. Again, I have done nothing and bonds just kept going up w...
by Gauntlet
Tue May 07, 2013 5:05 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Now's the time to buy bonds - Gundlach
Replies: 11
Views: 2085

Re: A good day to take some money off the table

I take money off the table or put money on the table once a year. When times are good follow your plan. When times are bad follow your plan. my 2 cents.
by Gauntlet
Fri May 03, 2013 8:49 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: A good day to take some money off the table
Replies: 96
Views: 7411

Re: Time to Leave F Fund for G Fund?

VictoriaF wrote:I keep all my TSP fixed income in the G Fund. If I wanted 'regular' bond funds, I could find them elsewhere.

Victoria


+1

However, if all of my retirement money was within the TSP, I would probably have my fixed income be a 50/50 split between F and G for life.
by Gauntlet
Fri Apr 26, 2013 12:16 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Time to Leave F Fund for G Fund?
Replies: 37
Views: 2315

Re: I-Bonds and EE Bonds vs. Total Bond Index Fund

Not to dissuade anyone from investing in Savings Bonds because I like them and buy them every year, but I don't see how they protect an investor from a rise in interest rates which I think is what the OP is worried about. Or maybe I'm reading too much into the "uncertainty in bond market"...
by Gauntlet
Thu Apr 25, 2013 11:27 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: I-Bonds and EE Bonds vs. Total Bond Index Fund
Replies: 16
Views: 924

Re: I-Bonds and EE Bonds vs. Total Bond Index Fund

Not to dissuade anyone from investing in Savings Bonds because I like them and buy them every year, but I don't see how they protect an investor from a rise in interest rates which I think is what the OP is worried about. Or maybe I'm reading too much into the "uncertainty in bond market" ...
by Gauntlet
Thu Apr 25, 2013 11:15 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: I-Bonds and EE Bonds vs. Total Bond Index Fund
Replies: 16
Views: 924

Re: I-Bonds and EE Bonds vs. Total Bond Index Fund

you don't hold the paper bonds anywhere...they are no longer available for purchase (except maybe via tax refund overages) Maybe I was reading outdated info but my understanding was that an individual was eligible to purchase $5,000 of electronic I-Bonds through the treasury website and $5,000 of p...
by Gauntlet
Thu Apr 25, 2013 10:48 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: I-Bonds and EE Bonds vs. Total Bond Index Fund
Replies: 16
Views: 924

Re: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds

I see that your signature states that you are 23 and just getting started. I highly recommend that you sleep on this decision for a month before making this sort of change to your portfolio. In my opinion, bonds are still a very important part of a portfolio even in the current environment. Keep re...
by Gauntlet
Fri Apr 12, 2013 9:07 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds
Replies: 122
Views: 9728

Re: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds

Alright... after reading thread, I've mostly decided to sell my bonds and move them into stocks. However, I've purchased my bonds within 1 year. If I sell now I'll be hit with what.. 14% "short term gain tax" on my bonds correct? Is it still worth it after that? I'm guessing so. I see tha...
by Gauntlet
Fri Apr 12, 2013 8:37 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Charles Ellis says stay out of bonds
Replies: 122
Views: 9728

Re: Post your asset allocation here:

Age: 35

Stocks: 70%; Bonds: 30%

Total stock: 47%
Total international: 23%
Total Bond: 12%
I Bonds: 3%
G Fund: 15%

Just an observation. I was surprised at how complicated and aggressive so many members' portfolios are. Lots of slicing and dicing etc. Is anyone else surprised?
by Gauntlet
Tue Apr 09, 2013 5:11 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Post your asset allocation here:
Replies: 136
Views: 10215

Re: Why do people care about the Dow?

Even worse than only having 30 stocks is that the Dow is price-weighted, which in my opinion, is not as good as market-weighted. Each has its flaws and biases. Why do you prefer the flaws and biases of a cap-weighted index to those of a price-weighted index? Because, for example, if a company like ...
by Gauntlet
Tue Mar 12, 2013 11:36 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why do people care about the Dow?
Replies: 50
Views: 2843

Re: Why do people care about the Dow?

Even worse than only having 30 stocks is that the Dow is price-weighted, which in my opinion, is not as good as market-weighted. Each has its flaws and biases. Why do you prefer the flaws and biases of a cap-weighted index to those of a price-weighted index? Because, for example, if a company like ...
by Gauntlet
Tue Mar 12, 2013 10:53 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why do people care about the Dow?
Replies: 50
Views: 2843

Re: Why do people care about the Dow?

Even worse than only having 30 stocks is that the Dow is price-weighted, which in my opinion, is not as good as market-weighted.
by Gauntlet
Tue Mar 12, 2013 9:55 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why do people care about the Dow?
Replies: 50
Views: 2843

Re: Poll: Have you recently changed your bond duration?

I made no changes. My bond allocation for that last 10 years has always been pretty conservative at half G Fund and half Total bond with a few I bonds sprinkled in.
by Gauntlet
Fri Mar 08, 2013 10:48 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Poll: Have you recently changed your bond duration?
Replies: 66
Views: 4661

Re: Vanguard announces emerging markets bond index fund (aga

Investors that I respect (Swedroe, Bernstein, Malkiel, etc) recommend that investor's bond allocation to be low risk. This fund does not seem to be that. Personally, this is not a bond fund I would want as part of my bond allocation. Especially during times like 2007. I suppose an investor could tre...
by Gauntlet
Fri Mar 01, 2013 10:54 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard announces emerging markets bond index fund (again)
Replies: 27
Views: 2017

Re: Is the 8606 generated by TurboTax(TT) correct?

gsk, my 8606 developed by TT looks just like yours. I tried to manually fill in lines 6-12 because it seems more accurate to do so but TT would not let me. I looked at my previous tax year 8606s done by TT and they also skipped lines 6-12. I'm thinking Emergdoc probably has the right thinking and it...
by Gauntlet
Mon Feb 25, 2013 10:45 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Is the 8606 generated by TurboTax(TT) correct?
Replies: 4
Views: 593

Re: Finally arrived: The Vanguard Total International Bond F

Folks may find this blog post on the subject by "Long-term returns" to be helpful.

http://www.longtermreturns.com/2013/02/ ... -fund.html
by Gauntlet
Fri Feb 08, 2013 10:18 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Finally arrived: The Vanguard Total International Bond Fund
Replies: 187
Views: 16394

Re: Finally arrived: The Vanguard Total International Bond F

This is one of those funds that I know Gus Sauter doesn't believe in, but investors want it, so they get it. Vanguard is considering alternative investments as well. They don't believe in them, but investors what them, so Vanguard will provide them. There is no academic reason to own these funds, b...
by Gauntlet
Wed Feb 06, 2013 3:47 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Finally arrived: The Vanguard Total International Bond Fund
Replies: 187
Views: 16394

Re: argument against indexing on morning star...

I don't really see how this is a group think issue. There are countless studies that show over the long-term (decades) that active fund investing will lose to passive fund investing (after expenses, taxes, turn over etc.). Will there be a few active funds that do better? Yes. However, finding these ...
by Gauntlet
Wed Feb 06, 2013 2:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: argument against indexing on morningstar...
Replies: 44
Views: 2986

Re: Ibonds as Emergency Fund and Bond allocation

Livesoft once described money has being fungible. The idea of money being fungible really resonated with me and the light bulb went off. I realized that I don't need to have "buckets" for everything. I don’t need an emergency fund bucket as long as I have access to money in the event of an...
by Gauntlet
Wed Feb 06, 2013 10:39 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Ibonds as Emergency Fund and Bond allocation
Replies: 29
Views: 2704

Re: argument against indexing on morning star...

Before the article gets taken down, I'll go ahead point out one of several glaring issues. The author does not compare "after expense, after tax" returns. As we know, these 2 items would eat into the actively managed fund returns more so than the passive funds. I don't see where it said f...
by Gauntlet
Tue Feb 05, 2013 3:46 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: argument against indexing on morningstar...
Replies: 44
Views: 2986

Re: argument against indexing on morning star...

Before the article gets taken down, I'll go ahead point out one of several glaring issues. The author does not compare "after expense, after tax" returns. As we know, these 2 items would eat into the actively managed fund returns more so than the passive funds.
by Gauntlet
Tue Feb 05, 2013 2:34 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: argument against indexing on morningstar...
Replies: 44
Views: 2986

Re: Buy I-bonds this week or six months from now?

I don't see a reason to over analyze the purchase of I Bonds. They are not going to get you rich and no matter when you purchase them it likely won't make a huge difference in your portfolio. Especially, with the low yield we get these days. Personally, I purchase I Bonds in January of each year but...
by Gauntlet
Fri Jan 25, 2013 11:13 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Buy I-bonds this week or six months from now?
Replies: 15
Views: 1331

Re: How Bogleheads made me a worse Investor

UpstateNY86 wrote:What are the con's of the target retirement fund if the AA is always accurate for the investor? Why monkey around with the 3 fund?


Because a saver might have several accounts and taxable money. This situation makes a 3-fund more tax efficient and probably easier to maintain.
by Gauntlet
Wed Jan 23, 2013 10:41 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: How Bogleheads made me a worse Investor
Replies: 76
Views: 6925

Re: How Bogleheads made me a worse Investor

I have a rule that I am only allowed to make changes to my portfolio once a year. This rule has helped me greatly. There is no way I could stay away from this forum for more than a week:)
by Gauntlet
Wed Jan 23, 2013 10:38 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: How Bogleheads made me a worse Investor
Replies: 76
Views: 6925

Re: Rebalancing and the TSP

Kevin.m, I think you might be over thinking it. A couple thoughts. 1) Consider looking at your IRA, TSP, and other investments together as one portfolio, if you are not already. This might change how frequently you need to rebalance your TSP. 2) In my opinion, if you still want to rebalance your TSP...
by Gauntlet
Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:14 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Rebalancing and the TSP
Replies: 36
Views: 2209

Re: Increasing Bond Allocation: G Fund or VG Funds

Another way to look at the G Fund and the F Fund is that the F Fund has greater risk so one should expect a great return over the long run. I think that based on the notion that the market prices things that way. But the G fund is not part of the market. It's a perk for government employees. I'm lo...
by Gauntlet
Wed Jan 09, 2013 5:44 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Increasing Bond Allocation: G Fund or VG Funds
Replies: 16
Views: 1238

Re: Increasing Bond Allocation: G Fund or VG Funds

Another way to look at the G Fund and the F Fund is that the F Fund has greater risk so one should expect a great return over the long run. I too have debated on how to split up my bond allocation between the G Fund with total bond market type funds. I decided to put my G Fund and I bonds together b...
by Gauntlet
Wed Jan 09, 2013 2:25 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Increasing Bond Allocation: G Fund or VG Funds
Replies: 16
Views: 1238

Re: Should I pay off student loan right now!!

You already have a lot of answers on here but I'll answer anyway. [Inappropriate advice and promotion of unrelated website removed by admin LadyGeek] . I'm not trying to be mean here but I have to say that this is bad advice. No one knows how long this "bull mode" will go and when it will...
by Gauntlet
Tue Jan 08, 2013 4:25 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Should I pay off student loan right now!!
Replies: 29
Views: 1863

Re: Tax Law Changes: Roth

You can still fund your Roth IRA using the "back door" method for 2013.
by Gauntlet
Thu Jan 03, 2013 2:24 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Tax Law Changes: Roth
Replies: 3
Views: 411

Re: Question about rebalancing in the TSP

LIke NYBoglehead said, it is the price at the end of the day. I have a TSP account.
by Gauntlet
Fri Dec 21, 2012 11:22 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Question about rebalancing in the TSP
Replies: 2
Views: 204

Re: International Equity volatility

I'm no expert and I have great respect for Bogle. However, my opinion is that if you do not invest some of your money in international markets, you are missing out on the opportunity to invest in industries and companies that the US just doesn't have. For example, the US is becoming more and more of...
by Gauntlet
Mon Dec 17, 2012 9:56 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: International Equity volatility
Replies: 47
Views: 1821

Re: How Much Cash??

It's interesting to note how the perception of cash in the portfolio has changed so markedly in the last twenty years. In the first edition of Roger Gibson's classic book, Asset Allocation , published in 1990, cash was considered a legitimate asset class with positive portfolio attributes and diver...
by Gauntlet
Wed Dec 12, 2012 10:51 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: How Much Cash??
Replies: 40
Views: 3093

Re: Good Asset Allocation, But Should I Do Roth and Traditio

ef11, you might find this article by TFB to be helpful. http://thefinancebuff.com/case-against-roth-401k.html as for maxing out a 401(k) and traditional IRA, I believe that if you max out a 401(k) that the IRS usually won't let you also put pre-tax dollars in an IRA. There are several rules but I ca...
by Gauntlet
Tue Dec 11, 2012 12:58 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Good Asset Allocation, But Should I Do Roth and Traditional?
Replies: 11
Views: 745

Re: Portfolio only for retirement?

When I speak of my portfolio, it's all assets intended for retirement. College savings have their own specific timeline and are invested accordingly. Short-term needs or specific identified projects are kept in a liquid FDIC insured account or a short-term bond fund. +1 This is exactly how I have m...
by Gauntlet
Tue Dec 11, 2012 10:09 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio only for retirement?
Replies: 12
Views: 1050

Re: Tax Efficiency vs. Slow-Growing Roth

Captaino, another data point to think about is that sometimes the "higher expected" returning asset gets beat by the "lower expected" returning asset. And this can happen for many years in a row. For example, the 30-year bond bull market we just had.
by Gauntlet
Tue Dec 04, 2012 10:17 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Tax Efficiency vs. Slow-Growing Roth
Replies: 32
Views: 1768

Re: Tax Efficiency vs. Slow-Growing Roth

Gauntlet: My biggest issue is that if I have all of my bonds in my tax-deferred account, I feel like it throws off my AA because after taxes that account is likely to be smaller. The solution (if you think you know the perfect asset-allocation :wink: ) is to change your stock/bond allocation accord...
by Gauntlet
Mon Dec 03, 2012 4:59 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Tax Efficiency vs. Slow-Growing Roth
Replies: 32
Views: 1768

Re: Tax Efficiency vs. Slow-Growing Roth

I have a hard time looking at all my accounts as truly one portfolio even though I think I understand the logic. My biggest issue is that if I have all of my bonds in my tax-deferred account, I feel like it throws off my AA because after taxes that account is likely to be smaller. I do keep an overa...
by Gauntlet
Mon Dec 03, 2012 10:58 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Tax Efficiency vs. Slow-Growing Roth
Replies: 32
Views: 1768

Re: Why Permanent Portfolio is so tempting yet..

Interesting discussion. I would like to clarify something. I have seen mentioned in this thread a few times that gold is a way to hedge inflation. My understanding is that it is not. TIPs and short-term bonds are a much better inflation hedge.
by Gauntlet
Tue Nov 13, 2012 10:56 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Why Permanent Portfolio is so tempting yet..
Replies: 92
Views: 4788

Re: Thrift Savings Plan advisory board considers mutual fund

As a TSP participant, I think that this is a bad idea. I would rather the board take a look at changing some indexes around. Maybe offer a total US stock market index and an improved international index.
by Gauntlet
Fri Nov 09, 2012 10:52 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Thrift Savings Plan advisory board considers mutual funds.
Replies: 7
Views: 702

Re: Taxable Investment Help

xrw1, I think what the posters are telling you is that both ways make sense. There is no real correct answer. If you want to make several transactions a year and have your dividends immediately reinvested into the fund then set your cost basis to average and you will be all set. I only make one tran...
by Gauntlet
Fri Oct 19, 2012 3:52 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Taxable Investment Help
Replies: 12
Views: 778

Re: CRSP and MSCI: comparing US indexes

Rick, thank you for this analysis. It is the best comparison I have seen so far. I look forward to your article on the international funds.
by Gauntlet
Thu Oct 04, 2012 2:06 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: CRSP and MSCI: comparing US indexes
Replies: 21
Views: 1977

Re: Poll: What percent equity do you have in international?

Nisiprius, you make a heck of a lot of sense. Thank you for your great posts.
by Gauntlet
Wed Oct 03, 2012 9:34 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Poll: What percent equity do you have in international?
Replies: 42
Views: 3096

Re: Shifts in VG Tracking Indexes Announced

Since Vanguard plans to use FTSE Global All Cap ex US Index for Total US, I would feel better if it went with FTSE US All Cap for the Total International. I'm sure it doesn't matter too much and that CRSP is fine but the anal part of me would like it better.
by Gauntlet
Tue Oct 02, 2012 10:09 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Shifts in VG Tracking Indexes Announced
Replies: 155
Views: 11595

Re: Is TSM most "Efficient?"

Then why not gold? It, too, is a diversifier in theory and in practice, and it, too, over the last twenty years has produced good returns when stocks didn't, and vice versa. I hold both SCV and gold: 30% Small cap value 20% Emerging market 30% Long term treasuries 20% Gold, rotated with "cash&...
by Gauntlet
Fri Sep 21, 2012 1:04 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Will Your (TSM) Equity Bet Pay Off?
Replies: 222
Views: 9330

Re: MAGI for Roth Purposes

NYBoglehead, if I were you, I would do a "backdoor Roth" contribution this year. This way you would not have to worry about the MAGI calculation. Then next year go back to your straightforward contribution to the Roth. Just a thought.
by Gauntlet
Fri Sep 21, 2012 9:25 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: MAGI for Roth Purposes
Replies: 3
Views: 228
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