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Re: The new profitability factor, US and int'l evidence

AQR and DFA is only accessible through advisors and require a hefty minimum of ~$1MIL correct? So for the rest of us, momentum and profitability factors are out of reach?

FYI, ETFs-of-the-day that pop up with momentum and profitability in the title do not count as desirable investment products.
by AndroAsc
Wed May 22, 2013 7:09 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The new profitability factor, US and int'l evidence
Replies: 167
Views: 7381

Re: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available

Has the Vanguard Developed Market Bond Fund been launched yet?
by AndroAsc
Wed May 15, 2013 9:04 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Emerging Market Bond Fund is available
Replies: 75
Views: 4254

Re: why a 7% return estimate going forward

two main ways financial economists estimate returns today First is the Gordon Model Take dividends, say 2%, add estimate of real growth (say 2.5%, though some think less is more appropriate) that gets you the estimated real return and then add in inflation, say 2.5% for total of 7. Then there is th...
by AndroAsc
Sun May 12, 2013 5:23 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: why a 7% return estimate going forward
Replies: 55
Views: 5475

Re: Dollar Cost Average (DCA) VS. Value Averaging (VA)

The problematic aspect of VA is implementation, how to accurately estimate expected returns, how to ensure you have enough cash for the crash but not sit on too much cash during the bull run, etc... And that really is a fatal flaw of value averaging. You need to decide AHEAD OF TIME how much cash t...
by AndroAsc
Sun May 05, 2013 4:15 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Dollar Cost Average (DCA) VS. Value Averaging (VA)
Replies: 21
Views: 1123

Re: Dollar Cost Average (DCA) VS. Value Averaging (VA)

VA is not "market timing" in the traditional sense. There is a specific formula for projecting the VA path, and you basically top up or withdraw from your portfolio based on your current portfolio value relative to the VA path. There is a plan, and one sticks to it, just like DCA with reb...
by AndroAsc
Sun May 05, 2013 4:11 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Dollar Cost Average (DCA) VS. Value Averaging (VA)
Replies: 21
Views: 1123

Re: Dollar Cost Average (DCA) VS. Value Averaging (VA)

Basically it's a combination of selling off shares when they are high and then buying a lot of shares when they are low. I don't believe this method is trying to "time" the market so to speak, but I'm also not really sure. To the more seasoned investors I ask, what do you think is better?...
by AndroAsc
Sun May 05, 2013 1:08 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Dollar Cost Average (DCA) VS. Value Averaging (VA)
Replies: 21
Views: 1123

Re: Dollar Cost Average (DCA) VS. Value Averaging (VA)

Most of the papers I've read (just Google for it) has shown that VA outperforms DCA by 0.5-1.0% p.a. Of course, that's dependent on getting the correct expected return for your portfolio relative to reality... My guess is that the further off your expected return inputs are from reality, the more th...
by AndroAsc
Sun May 05, 2013 1:06 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Dollar Cost Average (DCA) VS. Value Averaging (VA)
Replies: 21
Views: 1123

Re: 4% rule and dying broke

Don't your beneficaries get something if you die... say 2 years after purchasing a SPIA? The capital minus the amount paid out?
by AndroAsc
Sun May 05, 2013 1:03 am
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: 4% rule and dying broke
Replies: 62
Views: 5917

Re: Only after a 150% stock market rally in 4 years...

Didn't realize there was such a strong rally... no wonder I'm sitting on a load of cash right now (using VA strategy and 7%/4% assumption for stock/bond returns)...

How can the stock market have risen so quickly? Employment situation still sucks out there, am I missing something?
by AndroAsc
Sat May 04, 2013 7:46 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Only after a 150% stock market rally in 4 years...
Replies: 115
Views: 12245

Re: Reduction in TIAA Traditional rates in IRAs

Does this apply for 403b/401k?
by AndroAsc
Wed May 01, 2013 8:04 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Reduction in TIAA Traditional rates in IRAs
Replies: 23
Views: 1112

Is TIAA Traditional a "free lunch" in the bond market?

I know there is no free lunch, so why does it seem that the TIAA Traditional fund looks like a free lunch in the current bond market? Right now my company's TIAA Traditional SRA (can take out money at any time, no restrictions) is yielding 3%, compared to total market bond SEC yield of ~2%. That's e...
by AndroAsc
Sun Apr 14, 2013 7:45 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is TIAA Traditional a "free lunch" in the bond market?
Replies: 13
Views: 1522

Re: Living with Less. A Lot Less (NYTimes Article)

Paying for more square footage usually translates to higher rent/mortgage, and less money to savings. Definitely not the Boglehead way, unless a large house is your "splurge".
by AndroAsc
Mon Mar 11, 2013 7:21 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Living with Less. A Lot Less (NYTimes Article)
Replies: 74
Views: 9207

Re: Helaine Olen: Pound Foolish

Her article is half correct, but more on the political side (not going to that). Here's my observations of what people spend money on that is unnecessary: Starbucks - $5 x 365 = $1825. Alternative, don't drink coffee or make your own. I'm the former. Instant $1800 savings. Cable/Internet - $100+ x 1...
by AndroAsc
Sun Mar 10, 2013 2:30 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Helaine Olen: Pound Foolish
Replies: 72
Views: 7480

p2p lending (Lending Club, Prosper)

I've known about p2p lending for some time, and I think there may have been a few posts last year, with largely negative response. I've been thinking about p2p lending, and they may be similar to bonds. Some ways to mitigate risks that I thought about - It seems that you can lend out very small amou...
by AndroAsc
Fri Mar 08, 2013 8:27 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: p2p lending (Lending Club, Prosper)
Replies: 41
Views: 2290

Re: 16.6% [Savings Rate for Americans]

17% sounds too low. Historically, US stock returns have been stellar (remember than the US was a developing economy for most of the 20th century). Ditto for the EU nations if those were included in the analysis. I personally feel that 33% is the minimum savings rate. It's just an opinion, I have not...
by AndroAsc
Sat Feb 16, 2013 10:13 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 16.6% [Savings Rate for Americans]
Replies: 22
Views: 2439

Re: Finally arrived: The Vanguard Total International Bond F

Is the product live yet? I'm trying to find data about the fund's geographical distribution. Is this going to be an EU-centric bond like BWX or a true total international, which includes "developed" economies in Asia like S.Korea, Pacific region countries like Australia and the always negl...
by AndroAsc
Mon Feb 11, 2013 12:03 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Finally arrived: The Vanguard Total International Bond Fund
Replies: 187
Views: 16465

Re: Pension Envy: Why do most people favor pensions?

While I will admit that pensions have the flexibility of using money paid in by existing employees to "top up" any shortfall in their investments to pay out to existing retirees, I think the aging demographic dictates that this flexibility has a practical limit, which will probably diminis...
by AndroAsc
Mon Jan 21, 2013 9:37 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Pension Envy: Why do most people favor pensions?
Replies: 25
Views: 2114

Re: Update: The Incredible Shrinking Market

What happens if the public "investable" market keeps shrinking, until private "non-investable" firms dominate? Does existing research based on TOTAL market index funds assumes that the majority of the market is "investable"? How would such a trend affect things 30-40 ye...
by AndroAsc
Mon Jan 21, 2013 9:26 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Update: The Incredible Shrinking Market
Replies: 87
Views: 8956

Pension Envy: Why do most people favor pensions?

Even amongst Bogleheads, I get the feeling that most people favor pensions over DIY investments (IRA, 401k, etc...). Honestly, I don't understand The commonly claimed pros of pensions is basically "ease and convenience", in the sense that the money management is outsourced to the pension, ...
by AndroAsc
Mon Jan 21, 2013 9:03 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Pension Envy: Why do most people favor pensions?
Replies: 25
Views: 2114

Re: Confused about rollover options for Traditional + Roth 4

Does this also mean that one should invest Traditional 401k money into stuff like bonds that won't increase much in value over time, and Roth 401k money into stuff like REITs that has a chance for large capital gains? In order to minimize taxes when rolling over to Roth IRA? This is from the perspec...
by AndroAsc
Tue Jan 08, 2013 10:08 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Confused about rollover options for Traditional + Roth 401k
Replies: 15
Views: 793

Re: Article in NY Times on Compound Interest

Essentially this is why we're not all rich: nothing consistently offers returns above inflation. That's because you're looking in terms of absolutes, which is wrong way to analyze investments. It should be about probabilities. The probability of stocks outperforming other asset class (i.e. bonds) i...
by AndroAsc
Tue Jan 08, 2013 10:04 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Article in NY Times on Compound Interest
Replies: 16
Views: 2646

Re: Article in NY Times on Compound Interest

You guys are really missing the point of the article, which is save early, i.e. starting from the first day of your job. Sacrificing your "wants" in your early years, makes one's financial health much better due to compounding interest.
by AndroAsc
Tue Jan 08, 2013 10:01 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Article in NY Times on Compound Interest
Replies: 16
Views: 2646

Re: Confused about rollover options for Traditional + Roth 4

To reply to my own question, I called up the other mutual fund manager that my employer uses and here's what they claim: Q1. Still no separation of accounts, but they assure me they are tracking/bookkeeping on the back end. The model they use is Case 2, where the ratio of Traditional to Roth money i...
by AndroAsc
Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:56 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Confused about rollover options for Traditional + Roth 401k
Replies: 15
Views: 793

Confused about rollover options for Traditional + Roth 401k

I am rather confused as to how rollovers are done if my 401k have both Traditional and Roth contributions. This issue is compounded by the fact that my employer's selected fund manager does not open separate accounts for Traditional and Roth contributions. So for e.g., if I have $5k of Traditional 4...
by AndroAsc
Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:35 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Confused about rollover options for Traditional + Roth 401k
Replies: 15
Views: 793

Re: Divorce to save money

petrico wrote:Is there such a thing as tax policy pornography?

--Pete


The numbers make sense. For some reason at the highest tax bracket, it's MUCH cheaper to file as single vs separately but married.
by AndroAsc
Sun Jan 06, 2013 11:05 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Divorce to save money
Replies: 84
Views: 5679

Re: Questions about Roth 401k Conversions

Q1: So am I correct that if you convert from Traditional 401k to Roth 401k, when the valuation at conversion is greater than your total contributions, it's an unwise decision, cause you would pay more tax than if you did contribute to Roth 401k from Day 1? No. You should consider whether the tax co...
by AndroAsc
Sun Jan 06, 2013 11:03 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Questions about Roth 401k Conversions
Replies: 12
Views: 1118

Re: Questions about Roth 401k Conversions

So back to the original question: Q1: So am I correct that if you convert from Traditional 401k to Roth 401k, when the valuation at conversion is greater than your total contributions, it's an unwise decision, cause you would pay more tax than if you did contribute to Roth 401k from Day 1? Q2: If th...
by AndroAsc
Sun Jan 06, 2013 2:59 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Questions about Roth 401k Conversions
Replies: 12
Views: 1118

Re: Questions about Roth 401k Conversions

1. Use TurboTax to calculate the tax. Your reasoning appears to ignore some laws of arithmetic which I really don't want to explain, but I will link an explanation: http://www.mathsisfun.com/associative-commutative-distributive.html 2. As ordinary income. How so? Using the example above... If my em...
by AndroAsc
Sat Jan 05, 2013 12:28 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Questions about Roth 401k Conversions
Replies: 12
Views: 1118

Questions about Roth 401k Conversions

I just realized that my employer started offering a Roth 403b option this year! First, I'm assuming that the legislation for Traditional 401k to Roth 401k conversion also applies to 403b. Please correct me if I am wrong. Question 1: How do we calculate the tax for the conversion. For example, I have...
by AndroAsc
Sat Jan 05, 2013 12:09 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Questions about Roth 401k Conversions
Replies: 12
Views: 1118

Re: Max time to file dispute on CC transactions

Ok, I found an article on the time limit, this wasn't what I've read before, but the information is similar: http://www.ehow.com/info_8188839_far-dispute-credit-card-charge.html For disputes under the billing errors category, the cardholder must file a dispute with the card issuer within 60 days of ...
by AndroAsc
Sat Dec 15, 2012 11:25 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Max time to file dispute on CC transactions
Replies: 4
Views: 357

Max time to file dispute on CC transactions

What's the maximum time that one has to file dispute on credit card transactions? I know that card issuers have their own policy (60-90 days I guess?) as to the time limit of filing dispute, but I swore I read an article (now can't find it online) that one can file dispute for fraudulent transaction...
by AndroAsc
Sat Dec 15, 2012 9:22 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Max time to file dispute on CC transactions
Replies: 4
Views: 357

Re: Are Even 3% Withdrawal Rates Excessive for Retirees Toda

Not surprising at all. The 4% rule study was extremely US-centric and specific to a time where the US economy was booming (post WW2). An updated study published a few years back on 10+ countries indicated that the 4% rule only worked in the minority of countries based on historical performance. The ...
by AndroAsc
Mon Nov 12, 2012 8:28 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Are Even 3% Withdrawal Rates Excessive for Retirees Today?
Replies: 96
Views: 7976

Re: AARP: Workers’ 401(k) Balances Hitting Record Levels

Buckeye wrote:I have a friend with a 5 figure 401k but who has a 7 figure IRA.


How is that possible? With a $5k limit of IRA, even 40 years gives you $200k of contributions...

EDIT: Stupid me, I forgot about rollovers...
by AndroAsc
Mon Nov 12, 2012 12:19 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: AARP: Workers’ 401(k) Balances Hitting Record Levels
Replies: 24
Views: 2314

Re: Vanguard delays international bond fund introduction

At this rate they will never release it, cause it's going to take a decade for the EU to be economically strong again....
by AndroAsc
Fri Nov 09, 2012 5:27 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard delays international bond fund introduction
Replies: 26
Views: 4601

Re: When an Ebay Buyer Doesn't Pay

Do you answer emails that just says that they are interested and then ask you to call them? I am not sure what there is to talk about except that they want to give me a sob story so I would lower the price. You'll have to call/text the buyer eventually... so why not? Besides, still need to figure o...
by AndroAsc
Thu Nov 08, 2012 5:40 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: When an Ebay Buyer Doesn't Pay
Replies: 31
Views: 2918

Re: Sickening Quicken...

And I cannot abandon Quicken. I like to monitor my personal finances and spending. I like looking at the monthly reports and observe spending trends across time, and I like having a historical record for all my financial transactions. So... I need Quicken. Doing in Excel would be even worse... Both...
by AndroAsc
Thu Nov 08, 2012 4:17 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Sickening Quicken...
Replies: 41
Views: 3226

Re: When an Ebay Buyer Doesn't Pay

I had a laptop on ebay for a month, with two non-payers, and sold it without haggling on CL in a few days. That has not been my experience. On Craigslist I get alot of emails lowballing my price. I get questions about wanting Microsoft Office on the laptop even though the description clearly does n...
by AndroAsc
Thu Nov 08, 2012 4:07 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: When an Ebay Buyer Doesn't Pay
Replies: 31
Views: 2918

Re: When an Ebay Buyer Doesn't Pay

A guy from Ukraine allegedly bought my old iPhone 4 for about $245. But after 24 hours I haven't heard from him and he has not paid. Best case scenario is that he pays soon. What happens if he doesn't pay and I don't hear any more? I'll owe Ebay money for a sale that didn't actually conclude. And w...
by AndroAsc
Thu Nov 08, 2012 3:58 pm
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: When an Ebay Buyer Doesn't Pay
Replies: 31
Views: 2918

Re: Death to ING Banking.... dang you Capital one....

tjstogner wrote:daily interest accrued (instead of monthly..)


Doesn't the fact that interest is reported as APY, negates any differences in the interest compounding method (i.e. daily vs monthly)?
by AndroAsc
Thu Nov 08, 2012 3:52 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Death to ING Banking.... dang you Capital one....
Replies: 46
Views: 7414

Re: Sickening Quicken...

prudent wrote:What are sub-accounts?


Separate savings account for specific purposes. Alliant, Ally, ING can do that.
by AndroAsc
Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:19 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Sickening Quicken...
Replies: 41
Views: 3226

Re: Sickening Quicken...

I have about 25 bank/credit union/investment/credit card accounts that I download into Quicken, and only a couple give me issues. Penfed credit card and one bank account I have to download from their respective sites after logging in, instead of doing it directly from within Quicken. I do have an F...
by AndroAsc
Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:18 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Sickening Quicken...
Replies: 41
Views: 3226

Re: Sickening Quicken...

Thanks for the suggestion guys, but not every suggestion is feasible for me. Simplifying my accounts is not an option because I play the CC game, so I need Quicken to pull my data as I have >10 CC at any time. As for banking accounts, I use sub-accounts and I have redundancy in my banking system tha...
by AndroAsc
Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:11 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Sickening Quicken...
Replies: 41
Views: 3226

Sickening Quicken...

This is really starting to piss me off, and I was wondering if other Quicken users have the same problem. I use Quicken because I have dozens of bank account and credit cards, and I need to pull timely updates from all sources so that I can have real-time tracking of my expenses. However, everything...
by AndroAsc
Tue Nov 06, 2012 9:01 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Sickening Quicken...
Replies: 41
Views: 3226

Do you have a standalone PC to access retirement accounts?

I've just started out my journey to saving for retirement, but already I am feeling the pressure to get a standalone PC to access retirement accounts. I was wondering if it is a common practice amongst the older Bogleheads (more net worth, so greater risks involved). Ideally, I was thinking of setti...
by AndroAsc
Sun Oct 28, 2012 11:35 am
 
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Do you have a standalone PC to access retirement accounts?
Replies: 42
Views: 2715

Re: Amazon Business Practice and Cust. Service

Amazon and Telecheck are to blame here. The OP did not comment on whether or not the check bounced... even if it did, Amazon should have tried to contact the customer. And Amazon should have waited for the check to clear, before shipping it out. If they don't have the brains to wait for payment befo...
by AndroAsc
Thu Oct 11, 2012 7:22 am
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Amazon Business Practice and Cust. Service
Replies: 31
Views: 2255

Re: Do you overweight emerging markets?

Doesn't total international intentionally underweight emerging markets in the first place? China is the world's 2nd largest economy but it's only 3.5% of the index compared to UK's 15%... Ditto for the other large populous countries with sizable economies like India, Brazil, etc...
by AndroAsc
Tue Oct 09, 2012 8:34 am
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Do you overweight emerging markets?
Replies: 75
Views: 4137

Re: Shifts in VG Tracking Indexes Announced

So can we have a summary on the impact of index changes? Please correct me if I am wrong: Domestic Index Funds From MSCI to CRSP indexes. Supposedly CRSP indexes are more efficient, etc etc... No change in style (value/growth), composition or size (large/med/small) for all index funds Vanguard Inter...
by AndroAsc
Tue Oct 02, 2012 10:37 pm
 
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Shifts in VG Tracking Indexes Announced
Replies: 155
Views: 11611

Re: Apple Computers & Laptops

I understood that people feel very strongly pro or anti Apple, but refusing to eat apples and substituting them with other fruit sounds way excessive. I mean, do you also evaluate the worthiness of people based on the brand of their smartphone? Like you think less of them if they have an iPhone, bu...
by AndroAsc
Sat Sep 29, 2012 10:39 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Apple Computers & Laptops
Replies: 55
Views: 3357

Re: Apple Computers & Laptops

Only iSheep buy iDevices like iPhone, iPad, iPod, etc... It expect that most Bogleheads would not be in this category. Apple products are the least value-for-money in my opinion. Their crap is 2X more expensive than comparable counterparts, and for the iPhone/iPad, they lock down the OS. Emphasizing...
by AndroAsc
Sat Sep 29, 2012 9:47 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Apple Computers & Laptops
Replies: 55
Views: 3357

Re: Rent vs. Buy (Midwest Edition)

I would like to know how do you account for the additional maintenance cost of owning a house? And how much does that increase your monthly mortgage?
by AndroAsc
Tue Sep 25, 2012 10:56 pm
 
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Rent vs. Buy (Midwest Edition)
Replies: 6
Views: 837
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